Consequences for land use and water Plant/KeGr Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch.

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Presentation transcript:

Consequences for land use and water Plant/KeGr Jan Verhagen & Peter Troch

Climate Change GHG emissions Impacts Mitigation Adaptation Vulnerability

Context No regret measures Precautionary principle CAP, WTO International treaties (FCCC, CBD, CCD, RAMSAR) Nota’s VROM/LNV/DGIS/V&W Participation in NoE/IP of EC FP 6 Sustainable development and global change Global change and ecosystems Water cycle/Monitoring

Climate policies Mitigation: emission reduction and C sequestration Vulnerability and adaptation: sustainable development Variability & extremes: risk management & flip over effects

Research questions What are the combined effects of global change on functions and services of land and water? What can land and water management contribute to mitigate climate change? What is the interaction with current land and water use and what are the social and economic consequences? What are barriers and opportunities to increase the adaptive capacity of land use and water systems?

Impacts Direct: energy balance, temperature, CO 2, rainfall Indirect: pest & diseases, floods, salt intrusion Vulnerability Areas: coastal zone, river valleys, (semi)-arid, peatlands. Groups: poor (low adaptive capacity), countries with economies rooted in climate sensitive sectors (agr./forestry)

The role of Land use Mitigation carbon sequestration: forest, nature, agriculture emission reduction: agriculture/animal husbandry Adaptation changes in farm and forest management changes in landscape patterns/land use change

The role of water Mitigation ground water management in peat lands Adaptation Water resource conservation “ruimte voor water” Risk management

Wageningen/CCB The Carbon Challenge conservation of existing C pools sequestration by increasing the size of C pools (forest, agriculture, land use change) Adaptation (sustainable development) Crop level (selection, stress tolerance) Farm/forest level (management) Regional level (choices of functions, integration)

Wageningen/CCB Water resources (co-operation with IVM and CKO) Acceleration of hydrological cycle Floods and droughts Monitoring, modeling and data assimilation Ecosystems Integrated approach

Wageningen/CCB Hotspots in the developing world Densely populated (coastal) areas Marginal areas Sharper tools (integration and scale linkages) Integrated natural resource management Integrated water management Multifunctional land use