KOBE EARTHQUAKE Jan.17.1995. 7.2 Scale earthquake Cost more than 70 billion pounds to repair Nekkei 225 index fall only 400 points -Leeson to bet on price.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Financial Derivatives and Conflicts of Interest Chapters 13 and 14.
Advertisements

VIII: Options 25: Options Strategies II. Chapter 25: Options Strategies © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Collar  Hedging strategy on long shares  Long 10,000.
1 Chapter 15 Options Markets-The applications. 2 outline Features of options –Call vs., put, Long vs. short –In the money, out of the money and at the.
Chapter 11: Financial Markets Section 3
Nicholas Leeson sinks Barings single-handedly Outline How Leeson traded The damage Who’s to blame: The anatomy of a murder Management’s responsibility.
The Collapse of Barings Finance 443 International Finance Jay Yoo Alan Yeung Stuart Sutton Jennie Kretchmar.
The Basics of Risk Management
Derivatives: Instruments whose values are derived from the prices of underlying assets DerivativesUnderlying Assets Forward contractsStocks Futures contractsStock.
CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management
The International System
CHAPTER SIXTEEN MANAGING THE EQUITY PORTFOLIO ( CONTINUED ) © 2001 South-Western College Publishing.
Foreign Exchange Foreign Exchange Market Exchange Rate Appreciation/Depreciation Effective Exchange Rate Trade Weighted Dollar Real Exchange Rate Interbank.
© K. Cuthbertson and D. Nitzsche Figures for Chapter 1 DERIVATIVES : AN OVERVIEW (Financial Engineering : Derivatives and Risk Management)
By Anuj Jain Suresh Attal Diana Cho Alice Kim 88888: “Five Fat Pigs”
Chapter 15. International Business Finance n Exchange Rate: the price of one currency in terms of another.
Asset Management Lecture 19. Agenda Behavioral finance (Chapter 12) Challenges to market efficiency Limits to arbitrage Irrational investors.
Copyright 2014 by Diane S. Docking1 Risk Management: Hedging with Futures.
Nick Leeson at Barings Bank in Singapore So famous that he became a movie: ” Rogue Trader” (1999) Bo Sjö VT 2014.
Chapter 16 Commodities and Financial Futures. Copyright © 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved Commodities and Financial Futures Learning.
Using Options and Swaps to Hedge Risk
Corporate Financial Theory
Copyright © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 15 Commodities and Financial Futures.
Chapter 16 Foreign Exchange Risk, Forecasting, and International Investment.
Silicon Flat Irons June 5, 2009 Kimberly D. Krawiec.
© 2008 Pearson Education Canada13.1 Chapter 13 Hedging with Financial Derivatives.
Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management Lecture 9 Gareth Myles.
Hedging & Futures Today We will return to Capital Budgeting & Financing. We will discuss how to reduce risk. Topics How to eliminate risk in capital budgeting.
AIM How can we use derivative investments to enhance our portfolio? DO NOW What are stock options? OPTIONS AND FUTURES.
Asset/liability Management for Universal Life Grant Paulsen Rimcon Inc. November 15, 2001.
Lecture # 13. "Bankers who hire money hungry geniuses should not always express surprise and amazement when some of them turn around with brilliant, creative,
Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives to reduce interest rate risk CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management.
 Born on Feb. 25, 1967 in Watford, England  After finishing school in 1985, he got a job as a clerk with an exclusive private bank called Coutts  He.
Value at Risk of Commercial Bank The Banking industry of Taiwan
What is a Derivative? In its most simple form, a derivative is a leveraged bet on anything that can be measured. Interest rates Currency exchange rates.
Chapter 29 – Applications of Futures and Options BA 543 Financial Markets and Institutions.
2-1 Use of Derivatives Not all firms choose to use derivatives for the following reasons Transaction costs of dealing in derivatives The requirement for.
(C) 2001 Contemporary Engineering Economics 1 Investing in Financial Assets Investing in Financial Assets Investment Strategies Investment Strategies Investing.
Hedging and speculative strategies using index futures Finance S. Mann, Fall 2001 Short hedge: Sell Index futures - offset market losses on portfolio.
Chapter 24 Appendix 1 More on Hedging with Financial Derivatives.
More Winter ahead…. Trade, FDI, and the Economy offset by capital surplus F U.S. trade deficit – offset by capital surplus reduces U.S. imports F U.S.
Financial Markets, Institutions & Derivative Instruments ECO 473 – Money & Banking – Dr. D. Foster.
© K.Cuthbertson and D.Nitzsche 1 Lecture Stock Index Futures Version 1/9/2001 FINANCIAL ENGINEERING: DERIVATIVES AND RISK MANAGEMENT (J. Wiley, 2001) K.
Hedging Concepts. Short Hedge A short hedge means to hedge by going short in the futures market. A hedger who holds an asset and is concerned about a.
Financial Institutions and Markets FIN 304 Dr. Andrew L. H. Parkes Day 19 “How do financial markets work?” 卜安吉.
The Basics of Investing Stocks, Bonds & Cash Accounts.
99002 vs : Legitimate error account, every bank has one
The Basics of Investing Stocks, Bonds & Cash Accounts.
SWAPS: Total Return Swap, Asset Swap and Swaption
CHAPTER 14 (Part 2) Money, Interest Rates, and the Exchange Rate.
Chapter Fourteen Financial Futures. Hedgers A hedger is at risk if a given potential price movement happens. Hedgers seek to create a profit from this.
Institutions & Derivative Instruments
CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management
Copyright © 2004 by Thomson Southwestern All rights reserved.
Institutions & Derivative Instruments
Options Greeks: The Vega
FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES/SNSCT/MBA
Single Stock Futures and Stock Index Futures
Chapter 11: Financial Markets Section 3
Story of how he bought down Barings Bank
Global Financial Instruments
CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management
Chapter 15 Commodities and Financial Futures.
Class 5: Derivatives- Financial WMDs?
Institutions & Derivative Instruments
Chapter 18 Derivatives & Risk Management
Definition of Risk Variability of Possible Returns Or The Chance That The Outcome Will Not Be As Expected copyright anbirts.
Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management
CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management
Institutions & Derivative Instruments
Corporate Financial Theory
Presentation transcript:

KOBE EARTHQUAKE Jan Scale earthquake Cost more than 70 billion pounds to repair Nekkei 225 index fall only 400 points -Leeson to bet on price would go up -jan. 20 bought short Japanese Government Bonds

AFTER KOBE EARTHQUAKE Jan.23 Nikkei 225, dropped 1,175 points Jan.27 Leeson bought more on long holding in the Nikkei 225 had risen to 27,158 contracts The Bank of England’s investigators start to question on Leeson’s motives -Leeson could hold up the share market -losses on jan.23 was future position lost 34mil pounds and for the options portfolio lost was 69mil pounds Accounting to 27 Jan revenue 5 mil pounds however, it was 47 mill pounds lost

ASSET AND LIABILITY COMMITTEE(ALCO) Cross-purposes -Miscommunication -Raised margin-call limit at Citibank by $100 mill Rumors about margin-call -Not trusted it but worry about harmed on Barings’ good name -Not to increase the positions, and reduce share in Nikkei -On report Baring held a 29% of market share in the Nikkei and a 26% of market share in the Japanese Government Bond Far Bigger More pressure

FRAUD, FRAUD, FRAUD!!! Forgeries to create $50 mill premium -Letter,Photocopy, Fax message Used account convince Seet that the 50 mill pounds had been received from SLK Create Citibank transaction between two Baring accounts Use input error on date -30/12 to be 03/12

KINGS RETURN? 30.Jan Leeson had 6,500 contract -Nikkei was up 700 points Long Nikkei position psotion had shot up to 30,600 -by Feb Nikkei option point pit in a big way “I was not offsetting the risk. I was looking for return” –Leeson-

FALLING A PART After first week of Feb Nikkei start to dropped -for every 100 points the Nikkei index dropped Leeson loss 144 mil pounds 30 Jan Top-up was 150mil pounds, by 24 Feb Top-up was 306 mil pounds Loss on the account 8888 from July 1992 to 6 Feb was 253 mil pounds Baring bankrupt on 26 Feb ING bought Baring for a 1 pound - Real cost was 660 mil pounds