AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov. 12-15, 2012 Jacksonville, Florida National Hydrologic Model Calibration Lauren Hay US Geological.

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Presentation transcript:

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida National Hydrologic Model Calibration Lauren Hay US Geological Survey National Research Program (NRP) Modeling of Watershed Systems (MoWS) Denver, Colorado

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida THEN PRMS model applications with 1 stream gage

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida THEN PRMS model applications with 1 stream gage NOW PRMS applications with many stream gages HOW TO CALIBRATE??????

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida The green shaded area indicates area that will be modeled hydrologically. The black and white circle indicates USGS streamflow gage , near Kersey, CO. The green circles mark the 14 seed dispersal phenology field sites. 25,000km 2 S. Platte River Basin Colorado Ungaged HOW TO CALIBRATE?????? THEN PRMS model applications with 1 stream gage NOW PRMS applications with many stream gages PRMS applications in ungaged basins

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida 4 essential functions: constructs the stream network graph groups segments into rounds draws a schematic generates child parameter files Lumen Used to analyze a stream network represented within PRMS

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida S. Platte River Basin Ungaged Lumen reads parameter PRMS parameter file and generates schematic

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Initial parameter file in lumen Parameter file for regionalization in lumen Calibration gage (poi_type=1) Gage (poi_type=0) Stream segment break PRMS parameter poi_type ROUNDS

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Options for checking out child parameter files Check Out: Parameter File Calibration Session File Climate Input Files

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Options for checking out child parameter files Check Out: Parameter File Calibration Session File Climate Input Files

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Check Out Round 1 Calibrate Check In Check in for parameter files

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Luca wizard-style user-friendly GUI provides an easy systematic way of building and executing a multiple- objective, stepwise, automated calibration procedure for PRMS uses the Shuffled Complex Evolution global search algorithm Hay, L.E., Leavesley, G.H., Clark, M.P., Markstrom, S.L., Viger, R.J., and Umemoto, M., 2006, Step-Wise, Multiple Objective Calibration Of A Hydrologic Model For A Snowmelt-Dominated Basin, Journal of American Water Resources. Hay, L.E., Umemoto, M., 2006, Multiple-objective stepwise calibration using Luca: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report , 25p.

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Luca Session File

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Options for checking out child parameter files Round 2 Check Out: Parameter File Luca Session File Climate Input Files

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Using Lumen to Setup Parameter Regionalization Scheme Options for checking out child parameter files Round 2 Check Out: Parameter File Luca Session File Climate Input Files Calibrated in Round 1

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Spatially distributed parameters Calibrated in Round 1 Luca Session files generated by lumen

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Rodney Knight (TN WSC) Ana Maria Garcia (NC WSC) Jacob LaFontaine (GA WSC) Jeffrey Riley (GA WSC) Rodney Knight (TN WSC) Ana Maria Garcia (NC WSC) Jacob LaFontaine (GA WSC) Jeffrey Riley (GA WSC) WaterSMART Flow Model Comparison Project Time series of estimated daily flows compared using statistically- and physically-based models. 199 gages identified in the study domain as suitable for calibration/validation Leave-one-out cross- validation WaterSMART Flow Model Comparison Project Time series of estimated daily flows compared using statistically- and physically-based models. 199 gages identified in the study domain as suitable for calibration/validation Leave-one-out cross- validation Lumen application: NHM in SE Lumen

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida Summary Regionalization approach using Luca and Lumen o Ana Maria Garcia – Alabama o Jacob LaFontiane – ACF o Eddie Haj – Upper Missouri o Ana Maria Garcia – Alabama o Ashley Can Beusekom – Puerto Rico o Steve Markstrom – S. Platte Combine with Monthly Water Balance Model (MWBM) and with statistically based methods (SBM) o Bock – MWBM o Session in afternoon on SBM (Kiang, Over, Archfield, and Farmer)

AWRA Annual Water Resources Conference Nov , 2012 Jacksonville, Florida