1 Retirement Planning By: Lyle K. Benson, Jr., CPA, PFS, CFP L.K. Benson & Company, P.C Chesapeake Tax Conference MACPA September 17, 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Retirement Planning By: Lyle K. Benson, Jr., CPA, PFS, CFP L.K. Benson & Company, P.C Chesapeake Tax Conference MACPA September 17, 2009

2 The Changing Definition of Retirement

3 One baby boomer will turn 59 1/2 every seven seconds between now and THE AGE WAVE IS COMING ASHORE!

4 Life Expectancy at Birth Year of Birth Age at Death Our Life Expectancy is LONGER

5 Probability of a 65-year-old living to various ages 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Male Female At least one spouse Age Probability Source: Annuity 2000 Mortality Tables 86 91

6 BOOMERS REJECTING “ RETIREMENT ” DESIRE TO STAY MENTALLY ACTIVE DESIRE TO STAY MENTALLY ACTIVE DESIRE TO STAY PHYSCIALLY ACTIVE DESIRE TO STAY PHYSCIALLY ACTIVE DESIRE TO REMAIN PRODUCTIVE AND USEFUL DESIRE TO REMAIN PRODUCTIVE AND USEFUL Nobody says “I WANT TO CONTINUE TO WORK SO I CAN AFFORD TO FEED MYSELF,” even if that’s true. Nobody says “I WANT TO CONTINUE TO WORK SO I CAN AFFORD TO FEED MYSELF,” even if that’s true.

Gallup Annual Personal Finance Poll 78% will work part-time after they “retire” 78% will work part-time after they “retire” 21% Major Source of Income 21% Major Source of Income 52% Minor Source 52% Minor Source 57% will fully retire after 65 57% will fully retire after 65 49% Say they Want to Work 49% Say they Want to Work 49% Say they Don’t Want to Work but Will 49% Say they Don’t Want to Work but Will

8 THE BOOMER FINANCIAL WANTS/NEEDS DEBT FREE DEBT FREE DEPENDENT FREE DEPENDENT FREE DISTRIBUTION (CASH FLOW) NOT ACCUMULATION DISTRIBUTION (CASH FLOW) NOT ACCUMULATION INFLATION (REAL CASH FLOW) INFLATION (REAL CASH FLOW) NEXT CAREER OPTIONS NEXT CAREER OPTIONS

9 Market Volatility Retirement is being impacted Retirement is being impacted Changes in family cash flow Changes in family cash flow Education funding is being impacted Education funding is being impacted Gifting and wealth transfer strategies Gifting and wealth transfer strategies Restructure debt Restructure debt

10 Drawdown Studies and Thoughts

11 Mechanics of Drawdown Studies “Initial Withdrawal Rate” (IWR) – The percentage of the portfolio withdrawn in the first year. “Initial Withdrawal Rate” (IWR) – The percentage of the portfolio withdrawn in the first year. Safe – Highest IWR that guarantees the required portfolio longevity.; 4-4.5% Safe – Highest IWR that guarantees the required portfolio longevity.; 4-4.5% Practical – IWR that anticipates modest failure(10% or less); 5% Practical – IWR that anticipates modest failure(10% or less); 5% Simulation Software Simulation Software Monte Carlo Simulations Monte Carlo Simulations Limited database of return numbers Limited database of return numbers

12 Higher IWR can be tolerated when: Discretionary share of spending is high Discretionary share of spending is high Fixed income with COLAs as share of total resources is high Fixed income with COLAs as share of total resources is high Personal Inflation rate is below CPI Personal Inflation rate is below CPI Risk management coverage is adequate and have inflation protection Risk management coverage is adequate and have inflation protection Fixed income or other sources commence after start of projection period Fixed income or other sources commence after start of projection period Expenditures drop off after start of projection Expenditures drop off after start of projection 12

13 Drawdown Summary Drawdown should include portfolio, tax, withdrawal and longevity strategies Drawdown should include portfolio, tax, withdrawal and longevity strategies Drawdown studies provide insight into these strategies but should only be used as rules of thumb Drawdown studies provide insight into these strategies but should only be used as rules of thumb Individual withdrawal strategies should personalize spending behavior and coordinate with set aside reserves, tax management and the IWR Individual withdrawal strategies should personalize spending behavior and coordinate with set aside reserves, tax management and the IWR 13

14 Impact of Inflation

16 Return Assumptions What kind of returns can we expect? What kind of returns can we expect? Historical numbers often don’t go back very far for some asset classes. Historical numbers often don’t go back very far for some asset classes. How do we account for years like 2008? How do we account for years like 2008? Could depend on the client and how conservative they’d like to be. Could depend on the client and how conservative they’d like to be.

17 Conclusions CPA’s are uniquely positioned to give good financial advice to clients. CPA’s are uniquely positioned to give good financial advice to clients. People are changing their ideas and outlooks for retirement. People are changing their ideas and outlooks for retirement. We need to keep in touch with our clients in tough economic times like these. We need to keep in touch with our clients in tough economic times like these. It is important to understand drawdown rates and to establish one that works for each individual scenario. It is important to understand drawdown rates and to establish one that works for each individual scenario. Inflation is something that cannot be ignored when planning for retirement needs. Inflation is something that cannot be ignored when planning for retirement needs. There are many tax planning techniques that can be utilized in retirement planning There are many tax planning techniques that can be utilized in retirement planning