Green & Gold Fund Recommendation: Buy D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)
Housing market indicators are strong Room for recovery Housing recovery began in mid 2011 Financially sound Overall, better than competitors Key Investment Points
Homebuilders and mortgage financiers Major companies DHI, PHM, MDC, RYL, NVR, KBH, LEN Home construction, sale, and financing Also some deal in land acquisition and development Industry Overview
Housing Starts
Housing Market Index
Construction Spending
S&P Case-Shiller HPI
New Home Sales
Housing Starts (16 April) 1.04 M (BC, prior.917 M) Housing Market Index (15 April) 42 (MC, prior 44) Construction Spending (1 April) M/M 1.2% (BC, prior M/M -2.1% S&P Case-Shiller HPI (26 March) M/M 1.0% (C, prior M/M 0.9%) New Home Sales (23 April) 417K (MC, prior 411K rev.) Economic Data Summary
Homebuilding and Financing Constructs, sells, and finances homes Domestic market Acquired Breland Homes (2012) 2011 Revenue: $130 M Q DHI Earnings 26 April at 10:00 AM Eastern Previous Close Year Target Price24.00 – Week Range14.37 – Average Volume (3M) 6.02 M Market Cap.$7.06 B P/E (ttm)8.49 EPS (ttm)2.8 Dividend and Yield0.15 (0.60%) Beta1.27 Employees3,500 DHI Company Profile
DHI Price Chart
DHI vs S&P vs XHB
DHI Financials
Low numbers leading up to the housing crash Recovering numbers coinciding with the better housing numbers Sales, revenue, net income, etc. are all expected to rise DHI Financials
CompanyMarket Cap. P/EPrice to Book Dividend (Yield) TD/TAROAROIROEProfit Margin DHI7.72 B (.64) MDC1.77 B (2.78) NVR4.95 B RYL1.90 B (.30) TOL5.70 B PHM7.61 B KBH1.84 B (.46) LEN7.97 B (.39) Comparison to Industry
SWOT Analysis Strengths Increase in Sales Order Backlogs Specialized Home Builders Integrated Operations Weaknesses Weak Profitability Indicators Business Concentration: the United States Opportunities Rising Demand of Senior Housing in the United States Growth Trends: Echo Boomer Population Real Estate Market Outlook: United States Threats Intense Competition Stringent Government Regulations Global Economic Scenario
We should own DHI because: Housing market still has much room to recover DHI has good financials and can capitalize on the recovery Beware of financial news indicating slowdown Investment Thesis
Sector : Industrials and Materials Industry Group: Residential Construction Current Holdings: UPS, GE, XLI, GDX, XYL, and SAND Buy 250 shares of DHI at $24.00 (approximately $ , 1.09% of portfolio) Current Portfolio and Recommendation SectorTarget Allocation Current Allocation Remaining Allocation Industrials6.19%5.77%0.4% Materials2.04%3.61%-1.6%