Demographic Trends Northeast Landscape Plan Update 2012 Minnesota Forest Resources Council April 18, 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Demographic Trends Northeast Landscape Plan Update 2012 Minnesota Forest Resources Council April 18, 2012

Population: US Dept Commerce 2011 Population shrank by 7% Employment grew by 40% Personal income grew (in real terms) by 75%

Population Population Growth : Carlton = 3,715 (11.7%) Cook = 8 ( 0.2%) Lake = -192 ( -1.7%) St. Louis = -302 ( -0.2%) Region = 3,239 (1.3%) MN = 7.8% US = 9.7% U.S. Census 2010

Population Projections U.S. Census 2010, Minnesota Demographic Office

Seasonal Population US Dept. Commerce 2011

Population: Where is the growth? U.S. Census 2010

Population: Where is the growth? U.S. Census 2010 Population Change

Population: Density U.S. Census 2010 MN

Age MN Demographic Office

Gender MN Demographic Office 2007

Changing Population ACS Northeast Landscape

Race/Ethnicity ACS

Labor MN Demographic Office, 2000 Census Data

Earnings ACS

Employment

ACS

Employment ACS

Regional Highlights NE population = 251,654 (4.8% of MN) NE Region added 3229 residents between 2000 and 2010 (1.3% versus 7.8% increase for MN) County populations rank 6 th, 30 th, 66 th and 83 rd in state Carlton County grew faster than MN. Lake and St. Louis counties lost population Just over half of the population is “urban” Population density about 1/3 that of MN

Regional Highlights A significant seasonal population (12% housing) Fastest growth among (boomer) age group Population expected to increase at rate below MN Growth to occur in urban population? Gender balanced but differences by cohort Aging, shrinking (?) labor force Services driving employment and personal labor income Timber, mining and tourism set region apart from MN or US

Relative Performance, 2009 MFRC Northeast Landscape Minnesota Trends Population (percent change, ) -0.1%6.7% Employment (percent change, ) 0.8%3.1% Personal Income (percent change, ) 9.1%10.0% Average Earnings per Job (percent change, ) 1.2%1.1% Per Capita Income (percent change, ) 9.2%3.1% Prosperity Average Earnings per Job $42,744$50,751 Per Capita Income $37,560$43,884 Average Annual Wages - Services Related $33,605$46,761 Average Annual Wages - Non-Services Related $56,264$56,008 Average Annual Wages - Government Related $42,558$47,076 Stress Unemployment Rate (change ) 3.6%4.2% Unemployment Rate 8.0%7.3% Structure Percent of Employment in Proprietors 18.5%20.4% Percent of Personal Income in Non-Labor 42.6%34.4% Percent of Services Related Jobs 69.3%70.8% Percent of Non-Services Related Jobs 12.8%17.1% Percent of Government Jobs 16.9%12.2% Commuting (net residential adjustment share of personal income) -2.6%0.0%

Earnings ACS

Employment ACS

Housing Costs

Employment ACS

Population US Dept Commerce 2010

English as a Second Language ACS

Education ACS

Employment ACS

Employment: Commuting ACS

Income ACS

Poverty ACS