Belgian Road Research Centre SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY ? YOU CAN GET WHAT YOU WANT IF… Optimism Final Conference – 16 th September 2013 Wanda DEBAUCHE Head of the Mobility – Safety - Road Management Division

2 Belgian Road Research Centre Shortage of resources Pressure on the environment Technology changes Social and demographic changes The main challenges we are facing

3 Belgian Road Research Centre Urban population will still increase

4 Belgian Road Research Centre GENERATION EFFECTS

5 Belgian Road Research Centre SilentBaby boomer X (baby bust) NIX Generation Y Peter Pan Z C generation Looks for long- term, stable employement Low birth rateDigital natives (wide access to the internet and to computers C=communication, creativity, connection and collaboration Longer educationWeb 2,0, (social media) Expansion of physical workspace : development of satellite offices and teleworking Working hours concept disappears Zapping generationNot the location, but the activity on the worldwide web is important Shift in old age limit (60 to 80 years=period of full independence Mobility demand High professional mobility Nomads, constantly on line Higher purchasing power and car ownership Less attached to the car as a status symbol

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7 Vehicle technologies and energy  Improvement in fuel consumption  Diversity of vehicles running on unconventional fuels  But…

8 Belgian Road Research Centre There are still profound uncertainties in energy issues

9 Belgian Road Research Centre Connectivity   Huge changes in consumer attitude and behaviour, as well as in transport and mobility  Wide range of online services  “The world in my pocket”

10 Belgian Road Research Centre The shape of future passenger transport

11 Belgian Road Research Centre Will transport demand still continue to grow ? OECD PASSENGERS Passengers-kilometres GOODS Tonnes-kilometres - -

12 Belgian Road Research Centre The car will remain the major transport mode but… EU: car = 70 % of passenger- kms in % in 2050

13 Belgian Road Research Centre What could bring ICT in this context ? ICT technologies should contribute to a : Smarter Cleaner Safer passenger transport system

14 Belgian Road Research Centre ICT … in travel demand information Static Dynamic Separate transport mode Multimodal approach Displayed for all travellers Customized

15 Belgian Road Research Centre Single mode Multimodal ICT … in mobility services Ownership Use

16 Belgian Road Research Centre Ownership Transport modes use Private Rent Fleet Car pool Share

17 Belgian Road Research Centre Stand-alone system Cooperative systems ICT … in traffic management Communication Infra-to-infra Vehicle-to-infra Vehicle-to-vehicle

18 Belgian Road Research Centre  Autonomous vehicle: the technology is available, but … ICT … and vehicles ROBOT CROSSING AHEAD ROBOT CROSSING AHEAD

19 Belgian Road Research Centre Transport SYSTEM Human factors Physical factors Environment How to make that all efficient? Technologies

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21 Belgian Road Research Centre …in infrastructure

22 Belgian Road Research Centre Urban public space should be redesigned and optimized

23 Belgian Road Research Centre …in new vehicles

24 Belgian Road Research Centre …in management and funding  Greater coordination of all authorities  Evaluation culture (prioritization)  New ways of funding

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27 Belgian Road Research Centre BRRC: Belgian Road Research Centre Mobility, Safety, Road Management Division