Long Range Visioning Workshop November 13,14,15 th 2007 Tim Watkins Envision U

1. What is Envision Missoula 2. What happens tonight 3. A few things to consider

Tomorrow’s roads, transit lines, and trails are born here! Hundreds of millions of dollars will be spent in the next few decades to keep Missoula mobile Hundreds of millions of dollars will be spent in the next few decades to keep Missoula mobile These investments will follow a transportation plan that has its kickoff tonight! These investments will follow a transportation plan that has its kickoff tonight!

R e g i o n’ s F u t u r e L a n d P l a n s Transportation Typical Transportation Decisions…

“If you don’t know where you’re going, you’ll probably end up somewhere else.” Alice in Wonderland

? ? ?

Contrast today’s potential choices by projecting long-term consequences 200,000 Transportation and Land use Vision Transportation and Land use Vision

Development Ideas Transportation Ideas Air Quality Area Developed Transit Use Traffic CO 2 Miles of Driving Open Space Housing Variety Scenarios contrast choices and consequences What-If?Scenario

About How we Grow, not How Much we Grow Envision Missoula looks at the range of decisions we could make today Envision Missoula looks at the range of decisions we could make today Projects impacts to 200,000 population simply to help us see the potential very long-term consequences Projects impacts to 200,000 population simply to help us see the potential very long-term consequences

Did you know… Bend, Oregon metro area doubled from 75,000 to 150,000 between 1990 and Boise, Idaho metro area doubled from 295,000 to nearly 600,000 between 1990 and St. George, Utah metro area nearly tripled from 48,000 to almost 135,000 between 1990 and 2007.

Envision Missoula Overview Workshops: November 13 to 15 Workshops: November 13 to 15 Become… Become… Alternative Scenarios: released in January Alternative Scenarios: released in January Envision Missoula Summit: February Envision Missoula Summit: February Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Principles: March Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Principles: March Transportation Plan that responds to the vision Transportation Plan that responds to the vision

Scenarios Overview What they have in common What they have in common Same population and employment totals Same population and employment totals How they differ How they differ Transportation Ideas Transportation Ideas Development patterns Development patterns We can attribute the projected consequences to the different strategies We can attribute the projected consequences to the different strategies

Scenarios compared against a Baseline Scenario Control in the experiment Control in the experiment Extrapolates past trends Extrapolates past trends Assumes existing plans Assumes existing plans Value-neutral – no claim as to whether it is ‘good’ or ‘bad’ Value-neutral – no claim as to whether it is ‘good’ or ‘bad’

What might ‘Business as Usual 200,000’ look like? Driving distances increase about 30% per home Time stuck in traffic per home increases by 14 times Over 100 new square miles of development 1 to 1 1/2 acres per new home

Tonight we start developing alternative Scenarios…

Tonight’s Workshop Brainstorm your favorite ideas for the future of the 5 valleys… With 7 other strangers…. Where is development not preferred? Where is development not preferred? Vision desired new places Vision desired new places What would development for the next 100,000 look like? What would development for the next 100,000 look like? What transportation ideas will help people get around? What transportation ideas will help people get around?

Materials Basemap Basemap Markers Markers Transportation Tape Transportation Tape Chips Chips

Open Space Where would you prefer to not have growth?Where would you prefer to not have growth?

IF Missoula were to double, how would you want it to happen? 100K more people 100K more people 50K more homes 50K more homes 60K more jobs 60K more jobs

Trade Your Chips 500 HH

Rural Estate DU per Acre: 1/5 Employment per Acre: N/A Rural Cluster DU per Acre: 1/5 Employment per Acre: N/A

Suburban Low DU per Acre: 2 Employment per Acre: N/A Suburban High DU per Acre: 14 Employment per Acre: N/A Suburban Medium DU per Acre: 4 Employment per Acre: N/A

Village Residential DU per Acre: 8 Employment per Acre: N/A Neighborhood Center DU per Acre: 14 Employment per Acre: 10

Suburban Commercial DU per Acre: N/A Employment per Acre: 20 Office Park DU per Acre: N/A Employment per Acre: 40 Big Box Center DU per Acre: N/A Employment per Acre: 30

Town Center DU per Acre: 24 Employment per Acre: 20 Urban Core DU per Acre: 60 Employment per Acre: 120 City Center DU per Acre: 36 Employment per Acre: 80

Transportation Tape types Walking/ Bicycling Walking/ Bicycling Bike dedicated lanes or routes Bike dedicated lanes or routes Trails (walk and bike) Trails (walk and bike) Auto Auto Collectors Collectors Arterials Arterials Highways Highways Transit Transit Frequent bus service Frequent bus service High capacity transit (e.g., BRT or streetcar) High capacity transit (e.g., BRT or streetcar)

Consider street characteristics and place types together… do they fit?

Bike Facilities Cost per Mile: $ x.xx Trails & Pedestrian Paths Cost per Mile: $ x.xx

Highway Arterial Road Cost per Mile: $ x.xx Collector Road Cost per Mile: $ x.xx

High Capacity Transit (brt or rail) Frequent Bus Service Cost per Mile: $ x.xx

Tonight’s Workshop 1. Cross hatch areas where growth is not preferred (open space, ag, or just ‘the last place to grow’) 2. Place chips to create desired communities for the next 100,000 people 3. Contemplate key transportation facilities to handle the growth challenge 4. Groups select a spokesperson and present key ideas to all participants

Each table presents its ideas

Guidelines Not creating a plan tonight Not creating a plan tonight Vision, avoid predicting Vision, avoid predicting Everyone’s opinions count – seek rough consensus Everyone’s opinions count – seek rough consensus Facilitators are there to help, but you are in control Facilitators are there to help, but you are in control

A Few Things to Consider…

Development tends to follow new transportation Employers and Homeowners simply want to minimize the time it takes to get around Employers and Homeowners simply want to minimize the time it takes to get around

Places can grow on vacant land…

New places can also grow on underutilized land

People that can walk to transit are 5 times more likely to ride Employment and housing near transit stations tends to increase ridership

The closer we put homes to destinations, the shorter trips will tend to be

Connect the Streets?

Same Total Lanes More Capacity

Case Study: Merced, CA

Merced Alternative’s advantages: Fewer Vehicle Trips: Fewer Vehicle Trips: 20% lower Shorter Driving Distances: Shorter Driving Distances: 30% lower Fewer busy streets : Fewer busy streets : 30% fewer streets above 30,000 average daily trips

Digital comparison of results What transportation ideas did people explore and where? What transportation ideas did people explore and where? What types of new places were the most popular? What types of new places were the most popular? What unusual and interesting ideas emerged? What unusual and interesting ideas emerged? After The Workshops ….

February Summit How did hundreds of people’s ideas become transportation and development scenarios? How did hundreds of people’s ideas become transportation and development scenarios? How did the scenarios perform? What would they mean for our quality of life? How did the scenarios perform? What would they mean for our quality of life? Use interactive keypad polling to anonymously vote on which ideas in the scenarios you like Use interactive keypad polling to anonymously vote on which ideas in the scenarios you like

Envision Missoula Overview Workshops: November 13 to 15 Workshops: November 13 to 15 Become… Become… Alternative Scenarios: released in January Alternative Scenarios: released in January Envision Missoula Summit: February Envision Missoula Summit: February Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Reaction to scenarios’ ideas Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Principles: March Vision Scenario and Transportation Planning Principles: March Transportation Plan that responds to the vision Transportation Plan that responds to the vision

Tonight’s Workshop 1. Cross hatch areas where growth is not preferred (open space, ag, or just ‘the last place to grow’) 2. Place chips to create desired communities for the next 100,000 people 3. Contemplate key transportation facilities to handle the growth challenge 4. Groups select a spokesperson and present key ideas to all participants

Long Range Visioning Workshop November 13,14,15 th 2007 Tim Watkins Envision U