22nd Annual Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference CIC Research, Inc Vickers St. San Diego, CA Hotel Maya Long Beach, CA October 29, 2010
Where Have We Been?
3 And Travel is More Fun?
4 Potential 40% More PAX?
5 A La Carte Airfare Pricing
Southern California Perspective 6
23.6 Mil. population in SoCal - About 7.5 Mil. Households Unemp - More than 9.7 Mil. Employees12.2% California: million CA population (SoCal=61%) million CA employees (SoCal=61%)12.4% United States: million US population (SoCal=8%) million US employees (SoCal=7%) 9.6% 7
2010 SoCal Hotel Room Inventory 301,000 Rooms Mil. Room Nights Avail. 66.1% Occ. Rate 72.7 Mil. Room Nights Sold Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, & STR. 8 Room Inventory
SoCal Hotel Rooms Sold Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR. 9 Millions of Room Nights No change
10 SoCal Hotel Room Revenue Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR. Peak in 2007
International Visitors to the U.S. Millions Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, OTTI/CIC Research, Oct
LAX International Arrivals (monthly percent change to prior year) 2008
LAX Quarterly International Pax Arrivals Millions
SoCal Passenger Arrivals (comparison to prior year same quarter) Primarily domestic air travelers.
Arrivals in Millions Southern California Air Arrivals
Southern California Air Arrivals Arrivals in Millions 16
Overnight Visitors to SoCal 17
Domestic Overnight Visitors to SoCal Millions 18 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
SoCal Overnight International Visitors Millions 19 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
Total Overnight Visitors to SoCal 20 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
Total SoCal Overnight Visitor Spending 21 Source: CIC Research, Inc.
SoCal Overnight Visitor Forecast (2010 & 2011) Visitors 45.5 M (2010 Preliminary)Up (3.5%-4%) M (2011 Forecast)Up (2.4% to 3.3%) International Visitors 6.2 M (2010 Preliminary)up (10%-11%) M (2011 Forecast)Up (3% to 8%) Domestic Visitors 39.3 M (2010 Preliminary)Up (3%) 40.2 – 40.6 M (2011 Forecast)Up (2.3% to 3.3%) Spending $25.7 B (2010 Preliminary)Up (4.5%-5.5%) $27.3 B - $27.8 B (Forecast 2011)Up (6% to 8%) 22
LAX Monthly International Passenger Arrivals
SoCal Passenger Arrivals - Monthly Percent Change (comparison to same month of prior year)
In 000’s Southern California Air Arrivals
SoCal Ports of Entry- All Overseas Visitor Arrivals Arrivals in Millions Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security. 26