John P. Avlon. 201 1 41 22 32 1939-2011 2006 - Independent Voters Swung 17 points for Democrats 2008 - Independent Voters Gave Obama an 8-point edge.

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Presentation transcript:

John P. Avlon

Independent Voters Swung 17 points for Democrats Independent Voters Gave Obama an 8-point edge Independent Voters Swung 18 points for GOP

In the past five years, thought of yourself as…% A Republican22 A Democrat23 Both Rep and Dem9 Neither in past 5 years Pew Research Center August 25-September 6, Based on independent registered voters. Figures may not add to 100% because of rounding.

Why do you think of yourself as an independent? Major Reason (%) Both parties care more about special interests than average Americans64 I agree with Reps on some issues, Dems on others58 I don’t trust either political party53 Politics isn’t that important to me19 Pew Research Center August 25-September 6, Based on independent registered voters. Figures may not add to 100% because of rounding.

Independents in 1990: 432,926 Independents in 2009: 2,467,566 Increase:  470% Independents in 1990: 1,516,078 Independents in 2010: 3,820,886 Increase:  152% Independents in 1990: 464,698 Independents in 2010: 708,347 Increase:  52% Independents in 1990: 212,527 Independents in 2010: 388,220 Increase:  83%

Should help more needy people, even if it means debt Best way to ensure peace is through military strength Labor unions are necessary to protect the working person Stricter laws are needed to protect the environment

Values index:

Let me now take a more comprehensive view, and warn you in the most solemn manner against the baneful effects of the spirit of party generally… The alternate domination of one faction over another, sharpened by the spirit of revenge, natural to party dissension, which in different ages and countries has perpetrated the most horrid enormities, is itself a frightful despotism… …The common and continual mischiefs of the spirit of party are sufficient to make it the interest and duty of a wise people to discourage and restrain it. It serves always to distract the public councils and enfeeble the public administration. It agitates the community with ill-founded jealousies and false alarms, kindles the animosity of one part against another, foments occasionally riot and insurrection. …There being constant danger of excess, the effort ought to be by force of public opinion, to mitigate and assuage it. A fire not to be quenched, it demands a uniform vigilance to prevent its bursting into a flame, lest, instead of warming, it should consume.