TFIAM, 25 - 27 May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Activities of ICP M&M 2004 - 2006 and Results of the 21 st TF meeting Till Spranger.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Air Pollution and Climate
Advertisements

PM work plan under the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution Henning Wuester Secretariat of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe.
Marion Wichmann-Fiebig II 5 Abteilungsleiterin „Luft“ 1 Review of the Gothenburg Protocol Link to potential PM control under CLRTAP: – Specifies control.
Cross Cutting Group B: Ammonia policy context and future challenges Chair: Till Spranger Rapporteur: Zbigniew Klimont Attendees: 13.
NitroEurope IP The nitrogen cycle and its influence on the European greenhouse gas balance 6 th FRAMEWORK PROGRAMME PRIORITY GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS.
European Nitrogen Assessment: Supplementary Material: Powerpoint Graphics to Chapter 5. Source: Sutton, M.A., Howard, C.M., Erisman J.W., Bealey J.W.,
Russian experience within the UNECE LRTAP Convention: Bridging policy with science for effective mitigation of transboundary air pollution Mrs. Kristina.
EU Wetland conservation policy. Communication on the Wise Use and Conservation of Wetlands (1995) => first European document dedicated exclusively.
Integrated Assessment Modeling, cost-effectiveness, and agricultural projections in the RAINS model Zbigniew Klimont International Institute for Applied.
Towards an integrated approach for nitrogen in Europe Jan Willem Erisman, ECN, The Netherlands.
Modelling regional impacts of trends and policies on EU and global level: Integrating agriculture, land use, environmental and socio- economic aspects.
RAINS review 2004 The RAINS model: The approach. Cost-effectiveness needs integration Economic/energy development (projections) State of emission controls,
NitroEurope IP The nitrogen cycle and its influence on the European greenhouse gas balance Mark Sutton, Francesca Cotrufo, Claus Beier, Klaus Butterbach.
The inclusion of near-term radiative forcing into a multi-pollutant/multi-effect framework Markus Amann Centre for Integrated Assessment Modelling (CIAM)
LINKAGES AND SYNERGIES OF REGIONAL AND GLOBAL EMISSION CONTROL Workshop of the UN/ECE Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling January 27-29, 2003.
1 Introduction, reporting requirements, workshop objectives Workshop on greenhouse gas and ammonia emission inventories and projections from agriculture.
European Commission: DG Environment Overview of projections data use in the European policy-making process TFEIP Workshop on Emission Projections, 30 October.
U.S. Multi-Agency Critical Loads Workshop – Charlottesville, VA, May 2006Spranger 1 Application of critical loads in European air pollution abatement.
Transboundary Air Pollution and related Integrated Assessment Modelling Tiziano Pignatelli Enea – Atmospheric Pollution Unit
Clean Air The revision of the National Emission Ceilings Directive and agriculture FERTILIZERS FORUM 23 June 2015.
LBG/LB 1 Working Group on Effects, ICPM&M-Coordination Center for Effects, J.-P.Hettelingh, Gothenburg, October 2004 New developments on air pollution.
ICP Modelling and Mapping, 30th Task Force 24th CCE Workshop Rome, 7 – 10 april 2014.
European critical loads work by ICP Forests and ICP Modeling and Mapping Outline of presentation Background of Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air.
Coordination Centre for Effects Jean-Paul Hettelingh, EC4MACS kick off meeting, IIASA, 6-7 March 2007 EC4MACS Task 3: Ecosystem Impact Assessment by the.
1 MULTILATERAL NEGOTIATIONS ON AIR POLLUTION LARS NORDBERG ScandEnvironment, Stockholm Adviser
Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling Review of the Gothenburg Protocol UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC.
ICP Integrated Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Ecosystems - ICP IM Activities & Priorities Lars Lundin Swedish University of Agricultural.
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no Contribution from MSC-W to the review of the Gothenburg protocol – Reports 2006 TFIAM, Rome, 16-18th May, 2006.
RAINS Review Review of the RAINS Integrated Assessment Model Contract with CAFE Dec Sept 2004.
ICP Integrated Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Ecosystems - ICP IM Activities & Priorities Lars Lundin, chairman.
Integrated Assessment of Air Pollution and Greenhouse Gases Mitigation Janusz Cofala International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Laxenburg,
International and National Abatement Strategies for Transboundary air Pollution New concepts and methods for effect-based strategies on transboundary air.
Future challenges for integrated assessment modelling Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
38 th Session of the Working Group on Strategies and Review, Item 3, Review of the 1998 protocol on heavy metals Coordination Centre for Effects(CCE),
ICP Forests Progress Report ICP Forests Progress since 28th session of WGE Revision of the monitoring system Data quality assurance Database management.
1 Monitoring and assessment in Europe Joining forces between EMEP and EEA Roel van Aalst 30 May 2001.
Laurence ROUÏL Chair of the EMEP Steering Body (CLRTAP)
Coordination Centre for Effects, Workshop to Promote the Ratification of the Protocols, St. Petersburg, October 2009 Critical Loads and their exceedances;
JEG DM: common work items Targets & ex post analysis Robustness Links with biodiversity Trends in selected modeled/measured parameters.
Krzysztof OLENDRZYŃSKI Secretariat of the LRTAP Convention UNECE CONVENTION ON LONG-RANGE TRANSBOUNDARY AIR POLLUTION (LRTAP) UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION.
Scientific Plan Introduction –History of LBA Background –Definition of Amazon –7 Themes with achievements Motivation for Phase II –Unresolved questions.
Developments in Critical Loads and Dynamic Modelling Maximilian Posch Coordination Center for Effects (CCE) ICP Modelling & Mapping (ICP M&M) Working Group.
WGE September 20111Brit Lisa Skjelkvåle Trends in precipitation chemistry, surface water chemistry and aquatic biota in acidified areas in Europe.
1 A VIEW FROM INDUSTRY Special event, 25 th Anniversary of the 1979 Geneva Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution Geneva, 1 December 2004.
The extent to which a satisfactory basis exists for the application of an effects- based approach for Pb, Cd, Hg Report of the Working Group on Effects.
ICP Modelling and Mapping, 30th Task Force 24th CCE Workshop Roma, 7 – 10 april 2014.
1 Emission data needs for assessments and international reporting Joint UNECE and EIONET workshop on emission inventories and projections 9-11 May 2001,
Hemispheric transport – Why is EMEP interested? Peringe Grennfelt, Jurgen Schneider.
The European Nitrogen Assessment Regional nitrogen assessments and implications for aquatic systems: European perspective Bruna Grizzetti European Nitrogen.
Joint Expert Group on Dynamic Modelling (JEG DM) current status
Joint meeting on the harmonization of land-cover information for applications under the Convention on LRTAP presentation of work by CCE (J.Slootweg) and.
ICP Integrated Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Ecosystems -
ICP Integrated Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Ecosystems -
Harald Dovland, Ministry of Environment, Norway
Thirtieth meeting of the Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling
ICP Integrated Monitoring of Air Pollution Effects on Ecosystems -
Thematic Session Proposal
Results: ICP M&M call for data Jean-Paul Hettelingh, Max Posch, Jaap Slootweg, Anne-Christine Le Gall 3rd Joint session of the Working Group.
Clean Air for Europe and Research Needs
Meeting of the Task Force on Integrated Assessment Modelling Prague, May 2-4, 2007 EC4MACS European Consortium for Modelling of Air Pollution and Climate.
of lead, cadmium and mercury German Federal Environment Agency
Integrated measures to reduce Ammonia emissions
CAFE baseline dissemination workshop
Methods for Benefits Assessment and CBA for the NEC Directive Revision
CAFE baseline dissemination workshop
9th CAFE Steering Group meeting
Update on WGE and Convention issues
Integration of the work between EMEP and WGE
Tentative Ideas for Co-operation
Presentation transcript:

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Activities of ICP M&M and Results of the 21 st TF meeting Till Spranger

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger back-to-back with CCE WS: April 2005, Berlin 45 participants from 24 NFCs + (Secretariat), WGE, EMEP Centres and ICPs.... had the following main subjects:... had the following main subjects:  cooperation with EMEP (land cover, base cation deposition, HM deposition)  call for data results (HM)  Call for data results (N&S: critical loads and dynamic modelling results)  Nitrogen The 2005 Task Force meeting...

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Much higher CL(N, S) exceedances than 1998 dataset mostly due to land cover specific MSC-West Unified Model Harmonized Land Cover Will (hopefully) be available late summer 2005: CORINE LC where available; SEI elsewhere; hierarchical links to national LC databases by NFCs Ecosystem classification: EUNIS Base cation deposition Important for CL(acid); backup for NFC data New data available (MSC-West UM) To be further tested and amended Historical S, N (and not BC) deposition Important for dynamic modelling Heavy metal deposition Critical load exceedance report with EMEP MSC-East Cooperation with EMEP

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Heavy Metals: Call for data results See WGE document /10 Add.1; CCE / MSC-East Report CLs for various effects on ecosystems and on human health 17 NFCs submitted CL data (16 for Cd, Pb; 9 for Hg), mostly for effects in or via terrestrial ecosystems Further work on timescales of recovery / damage

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger 14 NFCs submitted revised CL data (overall data from 25 NFCs) 14 (13) NFCs submitted additional input data for dynamic modelling and target loads Rest of Europe filled in by background database ensures that information on sensitive ecosystems is representative on a European scale „CL and TL data robust for policy application“ (i.e. IAM) -> can / should be used as basis for Gothenburg Protocol revision and CAFE Sulfur and Nitrogen: Call for data results See WGE document 2005/10 and CCE Status Report

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Exceedances have been reduced, but remain widespread especially for eutrophication: –Area exceeded for acidification in 1980 / 2010 in total Europe: 49% / 7% in EU25: 49% / 13% –Area exceeded for eutrophication in 1980 / 2010 in total Europe: 38% / 29% In EU25: 81% / 66% –Maxima mostly in areas dominated by NH 3 emissions Sulfur and Nitrogen: CL exceedances See CCE Status Report

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger CLs of nutrient nitrogen remain strongly exceeded even after GP implementation Strong links to biological processes, climate change Aim: (dynamic) modelling of biodiversity and other N deposition related effects on a European scale in an IAM framework Further work necessary on, a.o.: Choice of effects indicators (e.g. C/N,... ), dose/effect relations, and critical limits Assessment of interactions between air pollution and climate change (e.g. long-term C and N sequestration, long-term N 2 O, CH 4 etc. emissions) National approaches (NL, D, SE, DK,...) Cooperation with other ICPs, JEG and external networks Nitrogen

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger But nitrogen is more than LRTAP: The nitrogen cascade

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger production scaled to: - > Population increase relative to > N. American per capita Nr production after Galloway and Cowling, 2002 and it´s getting worse: Nr production in 1995 and 2050 Tg N/y

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger An integrated approach to Nitrogen pollution FCCC CLRTAP NEC Dir. AQ Directive Directives on emission control Manure Combustion Soil NO 3 N 2 O Effects on ecosystems o.a.decrease in biodiversity Effects on materials and cultural heritage Climate change Effects on human and animal health NH 3 4 NO 3 HNO 3 NO x Fertilizer industry CO 2,CH 4, SF 6, HFK, PFK,.. SO 2, (NH 4 ) 2 SO4 N2N2 Aquatic NO 3 Nitrate Directive Water Directive CBD ?

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Nitrogen and M&M: Links to external developments NitroEurope etc. (primary research) COST Action 729 (research synthesis, source-receptor links) ESF Project (multiple N forms& impacts; management) International Nitrogen Initiative CBD Indicators (SEBI 2010): N Deposition

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger European Transboundary Nitrogen Activity CBD EEA/ECNC SEBI 2010

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger COST 729 Challenges Much knowledge on causal chain and interaction with other cycles Development and extension of IAM necessary Source - receptor modelling, including atmosphere biosphere interactions and climatic influences Non-linearities and coupling with other cycles –Nr affects climate (N 2 O, aerosols) –Climate change affects SRM through meteo and chemistry –Feedback mechanisms

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Conclusions on Nitrogen CLRTAP effects-based emission abatement policy has been successful for S but not as much for N; it needs to be extended / linked to biodiversity and climate change policies and targets Multi-media and multi-effect research and policy development needed to –reduce uncertainties –link and optimize management and abatement strategies

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Summary: M&M Future Classic tasks: Input to Multipollutant and HM Protocol review / possible revision Input to EU CAFE process New focus: Nitrogen deposition – biodiversity – climate change Aim: Modelling of biodiversity and other effects of nitrogen in an IAM framework Instruments: dynamic modelling with feedbacks, using effects indicators such as C/N, BS; help with extension of IAMs? Cooperation with CLRTAP internal and external organisations

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger ICP M&M Website

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger

NitroEurope Challenges What are the quantitative components of nitrogen budgets for European ecosystems and how do these respond to the drivers of global change? How much does nitrogen control carbon exchange and net greenhouse gas budgets for European terrestrial ecosystems? How could a European N emissions strategy contribute to EU objectives in reducing greenhouse gas emissions?

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger ESF Proposal: Nitrogen in Europe: Assessment of current problems and future solutions Assessment of alteration of (European) N cycle Scientific Network Programme (5 years): –Provide overviews of literature, current studies, databases and models relevant for the N cascade –Grants for exchange visits –Workshops –Summer schools –Conferences –Databases, models –Webpage, dissemination

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger Review of the EU NEC Directive CAFÉ / Thematic Strategy CBA & LCA Don´t use CLs in full CBA Use in MCA is OK Impact factors for LCA Data rules (Other) uses of critical loads data

TFIAM, May 2005, BerlinTill Spranger International Nitrogen Initiative Synthesis of international nitrogen science activities for improved nitrogen management Overall goal: “optimize nitrogen’s beneficial role in sustainable food production and minimize nitrogen’s negative effects on human health and the environment resulting from food and energy production” European Nitrogen Centre (ENC): Jan Willem Erisman (ECN) feeding into…