18 May 2011 NASA’s Earth Science Division Bureaucratic Overview for the MODIS Science Team.

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Presentation transcript:

18 May 2011 NASA’s Earth Science Division Bureaucratic Overview for the MODIS Science Team

2 NASA Operating Missions (International Collaboration) Senior Review during Science - National Needs - Technical - Recommendations 6/11 Batt !!

3 BUDGET OUTLOOK (incl. FY11 Appropriation) FY11 PB FY12 PB FY10 PB Previous Admin.

4 Guiding Recommendation Documents medialibrary/2010/07/01/ Climate_Architecture_Final.pdf 2007 Decadal Survey Administration priorities and constraints Decadal survey, OCO-2, climate continuity missions, balanced program Integrated Program Research and Applications communities priorities No realistic budget constraint (calls for $2B funding [FY06 constant $$ beginning in FY10) Dec Surv + Administration priorities Executable for FY11 Pres. Bud. OSTP, USGCRP, OMB approval

5 Missions in Formulation and Implementation – 4/2011 GLORY 3/4/2011 Aerosols, TSI NPP 10/25/2011 w/NOAA EOS cont., Op Met. AQUARIUS 6/9/2011 w/CONAE; SSS LDCM 12/2012 w/USGS; TIRS GPM 7/2013 ??? w/ JAXA; Precip SMAP Early CY2015 w/CSA Soil Moist., Frz/Thaw ICESat-II Likely 2016 Ice Dynamics OCO ??? Global CO 2 X

6 Glory Aftermath/Status Glory mission was lost - LV failure (fairing non-sep) on 4 March – Total Irradiance Monitor (TIM) and Aerosol Polarimetry Sensor (APS) + Cloud Cameras – Refurbished Vegetation Canopy Lidar satellite bus – Taurus-XL failure has similar manifestations to OCO loss (24 Feb 2009) Way forward: Glory – Carbon-copy Glory recovery mission will not be developed – VCL bus obsolete Way forward: TIM – SORCE, ACRIMSAT missions continuing through at least 2016 – TSIS instrument development passed KDP-C in 1/2011 (reimbursable, NOAA-funding to NASA SMD/JASD) – Instrument delivery planned late CY2012; no s/c or LV yet identified – Way forward: APS – Science viability study – 90-days (due late June) o Utility of flight of APS-capability sensor in 3-5 years o Possible NRC (or ESS) review – Implementation study for APS replacement mission – 120 days (late July) o Cost, schedule, instrument approach, satellite approach, LV – No recovery mission without top-line ESD budget augmentation o Same programmatic approach as for OCO-2

7 DRAFT – FOR INTERNAL NASA USE ONLY Future Orbital Flight Missions – 2011 – 2022 (International contributions) XXXXXXXXXX XX ? - earthquake

8 VENTURE-CLASS UPDATE/STATUS Venture-Class is a Tier-I Decadal Survey recommendation – Science-driven, PI-led, competitively selected, cost- and schedule- constrained, regularly solicited, orbital and suborbital – Venture-class investigations complement the systematic missions identified in the Decadal Survey, and provide flexibility to accommodate scientific advances and new implementation approaches Venture-Class is fully funded, with 3 “strands” – EV-1: suborbital/airborne investigations (5 years duration) o Solicited in FY09 (selections in FY10) and every 4 years o 5 investigations selected; flights beginning in FY11 – EV-2: small complete missions (5 years duration) o Solicited in FY11 (selections in FY12) and every 4 years o Small-sat or stand-alone payload for MoO; $150M total development cost o Final AO release in May, 2011 – EV-Instrument: Spaceborne instruments for flight on MoO (5 years dev.) o Solicited in FY11 (selections in FY12) and annually thereafter o Final AO release in 2 nd half of FY11 o ~$90M development costs, accommodation costs budgeted separately o Common Instrument Interface specs being developed

NASA Airborne Science Aircraft (1) SIERRA Altitude (feet) Endurance (hours) (2) ER-2 (2) WB-57 (1) S-3B (3) B-200/UC12 (1) DC-8 (1) P-3B (1) Lear 23 (1) Twin Otter (1) Ikhana (2) Global Hawk (1) G-III 21km 15km 9km 3km

10 Airborne Science Program DS Missions INTEX-B2006 CC-VEX2006 Arctic Sea Ice2006 INTEX-B2006 MILAGRO2006 WRAP Arctic Ice CLASIC2007 TC ARCTAS2008 Calipso Caribean2008 CASIE2009 ASCENDS test flights2009 Racoro2009 GloPac2010 ABACATE2010 GLEAM2010 ASCENDS test flights2010 AID for ASCENDS2010 SIMPL2010 MACPEX2011 CAR2011 4Star2012 DC HEX2012 SEAC4RS2012 AVIRIS CONUS UAVSAR CLPX II SMAPVEX2008, OIB Earth Venture

Climate change increased NPP from 1982 to 1999 Nemani et al., 2003, Science AVHRR Data

Drought Decreased NPP from Zhao & Running 2010, Science MODIS Data ~0.1%/year decline

13 KEY INTERAGENCY INTERACTIONS USGCRP (Global Change Research Program) – Freilich is USGCRP Vice-Chair – Integrated Observations Lead – Jack Kaye is ex-Acting USGCRP Chair, Integrated Strategic Planning Team member, NASA Principal – NASA is a major contributor to the National Climate Assessment activity, the major contributor to USGCRP JPSS (Joint Polar Satellite System – ex-NPOESS) – JASD Lead, coordinates with ESD – ESD NPP mission will be used operationally after launch for JPSS – Significant issues with NGST, NOAA USGS/DOI – Landsat follow-on under discussion (reimbursable – will be JASD execution) Applied Science and R&A program investigations in collaboration with many Federal agencies (and non-Fed organizations) –Field campaigns, joint solicitations, joint centers (e.g., JCSDA) support, collaborative multi-agency projects

14 ESD Near-term Upcoming Launches Aquarius 6/2011Delta-II NPP10/2011Delta-II LDCM12/2012Atlas-V (NLS-1 contract) OCO-2 2/2013 !!Taurus-XL !! (contract) GPM Core 7/2013H-IIA (JAXA) [Jason-3 / NOAA 2014 ??]?? (Taurus-XL was possible, LSTO in process) SMAP 3/2015?? (LSTO in process) SAGE-III 2015SOMD – ATV, HTV to ISS ICESAT Atlas-V rideshare ?? GRACE-FO 2016Int’l Partnership [JPSS-1 / NOAA 2016/17 ??]?? OCO-3 (avail. 2015) is instrument for MoO, possibly ISS

15 BACKUP

16 NON-FLIGHT RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS ACTIVITIES

17 Integrated Program for Water Availability/Quality Precipitation TRMM (extended mission w/JAXA); Field Campaigns (e.g. GRIP, EV-1 Hurr. & Severe Storm Sentinel [HS3]); GPM (7/2013 w/ JAXA) Soil Moisture and Freeze/Thaw State SMAP (5/2015 w/CSA) Inland Waters SWOT (late 2019 w/CNES, CSA) Subsurface Ground Water (Aquifer Volume Changes) GRACE (extended mission w/ Germany); GRACE-FO (2016 w/ Germany) Glacier and Ice Sheet Volume Changes and Dynamics ICEBRIDGE (ongoing); ICESAT-2 (2016); DESDynI (2017) Coastal Water Quality PACE (2019/2020 w/ CNES [likely]) Northern Latitude Land, Lakes, Permafrost EV-1 CARVE, SMAP, SWOT, GRACE-FO, ICESAT-2, DESDynI Accelerated Operational Use of Research Measurements, …

18 Integrated Carbon Cycle Research, Monitoring, Products Based on existing Carbon Cycle and Ecosystem R&A Focus Area Global Measurements of Atmospheric CO2 OCO-2 (2/2013) OCO-3 (2015; instrument for flight of opportunity) ASCENDS ( ) Global Measurements of Terrestrial Aboveground Biomass ICESAT-2 (2016; supporting lidar measurements) DESDynI radar/lidar (2017) Global Measurements of Oceanic Productivity VIIRS(?) (2011/NPP, 2015??/JPSS) PACE (2019; ocean-optimized radiometry, polarimeter) Development, Evaluation, and Evolution of Observationally-Based Carbon Products Sustained Pilot Projects

19 Earth Venture-1 Summaries Airborne Microwave Observatory of Subcanopy and Subsurface (AirMOSS) - Univ Mich/JPL North American ecosystems are critical components of the global exchange of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide and other gases within the atmosphere. To better understand the size of this exchange on a continental scale, this investigation addresses the uncertainties in existing estimates by measuring soil moisture in the root zone of representative regions of major North American ecosystems. Investigators will use NASA's Gulfstream- III aircraft to fly synthetic aperture radar that can penetrate vegetation and soil to depths of several feet. Airborne Tropical Tropopause Experiment (ATTREX) - ARC Water vapor in the stratosphere has a large impact on Earth's climate, the ozone layer and how much solar energy the Earth retains. To improve our understanding of the processes that control the flow of atmospheric gases into this region, investigators will launch four airborne campaigns with NASA's Global Hawk remotely piloted aerial systems. The flights will study chemical and physical processes at different times of year from bases in California, Guam, Hawaii and Australia. Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) - JPL This investigation will collect an integrated set of data that will provide unprecedented experimental insights into Arctic carbon cycling, especially the release of the important greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane. Instruments will be flown on a Twin Otter aircraft to produce the first simultaneous measurements of surface characteristics that control carbon emissions and key atmospheric gases. Deriving Information on Surface Conditions from COlumn and VERtically Resolved Observations Relevant to Air Quality (DISCOVER-AQ) - LaRC The overarching objective of the DISCOVER-AQ investigation is to improve the interpretation of satellite observations to diagnose near ‐ surface conditions relating to air quality. NASA's B-200 and P-3B research aircraft will fly together to sample a column of the atmosphere over instrumented ground stations. Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) – GSFC/ARC The prediction of the intensity of hurricanes is not as reliable as predictions of the location of hurricane landfall, in large part because of our poor understanding of the processes involved in intensity change. This investigation focuses on studying hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean basin using two NASA Global Hawks flying high above the storms for up to 30 hours. The Hawks will deploy from NASA's Wallops Flight Facility in Virginia during the Atlantic hurricane seasons. 19

The Earth Science Technology Office (ESTO) is a targeted, science-driven, competed, actively managed, and dynamically communicated technology program and serves as a model for technology development. Competitive, peer-reviewed proposals enable selection of best-of-class technology investments that retire risk before major dollars are invested: a cost-effective approach to technology development and validation. ESTO investment elements include: Observation Technologies: Advanced Component Technologies (ACT) provides development of critical component and subsystem technologies for instruments and platforms Instrument Incubator Program (IIP) provides robust new instruments and measurement techniques Advanced Information Systems Technology (AIST) provides innovative on-orbit and ground capabilities for communication, processing, and management of remotely sensed data and the efficient generation of data products and knowledge Information Technologies: Earth Science Technology: Program Elements

Earth Science Technology: New Investments Enabling the Decadal Survey Upon publication of the Earth Science Decadal Survey in 2007, ESTO investments already supported all 18 of the recommended mission concepts. Since then, ESTO has awarded 74 additional technology projects representing an investment of over $172M directly related to the Earth Science priorities outlined by the Decadal Survey. Tier ITier IITier III

22 INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATIONS (1 of 2) European Space Agency – NASA-ESA Earth Science collaboration framework signed September 2010 (Weiler-Liebig) –Field Campaigns/Cal-Val; Ground systems, data products, mission “interoperability”; Flight missions ISRO (India) – Oceansat-2 scatterometer, ocean color instrument data exchange, validation – QuikSCAT re-orientation to allow use as transfer standard CNES (France) – SWOT (72%/28%$$ NASA/CNES work package agreed upon, Weiler/d’Escatha) – Polder-FO (polarimeter) for PACE under discussion CSA (Canada) – SMAP (Flight components, ground station under discussion; validation) – SWOT (Flight components; science participation)

23 INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATIONS (2 of 2) CONAE (Argentina) – COSMIC real-time data provision (w/ NOAA) – SAC-D/Aquarius full mission collaboration JAXA (Japan) – TRMM, ASTER, AMSR-E extended missions – ALOS-TDRSS operational data transmission until mission end (April 11) – GOSAT/ACOS/OCO-2 (validation, OCO-2 algorithm refinement) – GPM DLR/GFZ (Germany) – GRACE extended mission – GRACE-FO productive discussions, same workshare as GRACE – DESDynI Radar unlikely but under discussion INPE (Brazil) – GPM Low-Inclination Orbiter discussions increasing