New Dynamics of Security in East Asia May 18, 2006 Regional Anatomy I Ken JIMBO.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
China in East Asia - Emerging Nation, Emerging Region
Advertisements

Current and Future Cooperation between the ARF and other Regional Organizations by Manasvi Srisodapol Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Thailand at the ARF.
Preventive Diplomacy and the ASEAN Regional Forum Ralf Emmers Coordinator, Multilateralism and Regionalism Programme Tan See Seng Head of Research, Institute.
IR3001 Asian Security. Asian Security Background: Recent colonisation & decolonisation Vast and diverse territory Several new threats Numerous traditional.
Dr. David Mickler School of Social and Political Sciences Security Issues and Australian Foreign Policy.
“Fit to Command, Qualified to Advise and Capable to Plan” “Fit to Command, Qualified to Advise and Capable to Plan” “Fit to Command, Qualified to Advise.
Europe and Asia Evolving U.S Views on Asia's Future Institutional Architecture Tian Fengjun 4013R353-4.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Longman.
US Foreign Policy in the Age of Obama Renewal, Return, and Continuity Michael Baun Valdosta State University.
Asian Regionalism Evolution Characteristics Limitations Contributions Prospects and Reforms.
Government E-1275: Nov. 6, 2007 Session #7. The Korean Peninsula.
SOUTH KOREA – EU SECURITY COOPERATION: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS Bruxelles 25 June 2014 Dr. Stefano Felician Beccari, Ph.D. SOUTH KOREA AND EU: A SECURITY.
Russia in the East Asian Context. 4 of the world’s 10 most populous countries China: 1,337 mln. (No.1) USA: 313 mln. (No.3) Russia: 143 mln. (No.7)
Asian Regionalism? ASEAN Northeast Asia. Outline Economic development –Flying geese, falling geese Economic interdependence ASEAN Northeast Asia.
Dr Alessio Patalano Department of War Studies Temple University Japan 02 April 2010.
China’s Aggressive Actions 1.Political 2.Economic 3.Military.
Japanese Steps towards Regional and Global Confidence Building Collective Security in Space – Asian Perspective Panel III: Regional and International Space.
China’s Changing Role In Asia by Wang Jisi,2004 Wu-Chia-Jung r
United States and Japan Security and Economic Relations.
U.S. Foreign Policy. What is “ foreign policy ” Goals that nations pursue in relation to other international actors –Goals Survival Territorial Integrity.
Cooperation Vs. Confrontation: Asia’s New Multilateralism Hannah Perry 4013R360-8.
Conceptual definition of the European Union as a security actor
Overview and Introduction: What is Regionalism? April 13, 2006 Regional Anatomy I Ken JIMBO.
European Geopolitical Forum-EGF Research on: “OLD POWERS RE-EMERGING IN THE WIDER BLACK SEA: SECURITY AND REGION-BUILDING STRATEGIES IN EUROPE’S EASTERN.
US and Asia Today 4 developments with Asian countries over the past ten years.
Security Environment U.S. Japan China South Asia.
GLOBALISASI 5 NOVEMBER CONTENTS 1 Current International Landscaping 2 The Role of Indonesia.
NATO- organization and policies NATO’s character as a self-defence Alliance -A collective defence alliance; -A forum for political consultation; -The American.
1. The Indo-US relationship has evolved gradually in the last two decades from estrangement to engagement heading an alliance. 2. The conversion interests.
Chapter The United States + The World. Goals of Foreign Policy.
Australia’s National Security Apparatus Ms Vikki Templeman Director Strategic Assessments and Long Range Planning.
NATO- organization and policies
PEAP : L8 The Role of US in the Cold War Period Shunji Cui Department of Political Science School of Public Affairs Zhejiang University
3. Post-9/11 US Strategy How much has changed? How much has stayed the same?
The EU and NZ Security Relationship. OUTLINE: Research Question Security Mechanisms Methodology Chapter Proposals.
France’s security culture. Cold war experiences Historical experiences: the war in Indochina ( ) and the war in Algeria ( ) Philosophical.
Bilateral Agreements: A Path to Regional Regulation of Migration in East Asia? David Chiavacci Pathways to Legitimacy? The Future of Global and Regional.
Security Overview of the Asia-Pacific. Outline - Characteristics of the Security Environment - Regional Perspectives South East Asia North East Asia South.
ASEAN and the Asia Pacific’s Role in Regional Architecture
Agenda Command Structure Mission Operating Environment Conclusion.
Russia in the East Asian Context. 4 of the world’s 10 most populous countries China: 1,286 bln. (No.1) USA: 290 mln. (No.3) Russia: 145 mln. (No.7)
APEC Then and Now APEC Then and Now Peter Drysdale The Australian National University Conference on The Catalytic Role of the APEC Process, Chiba University,
1 Change in China’s Foreign Policy and The Belt and Road Initiative CHEN WENLING.
DR KEVIN H.R. VILLANUEVA DIRECTOR, ARISE SENIOR RESEARCH ADVISOR, HZB SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL AND DIPLOMACY SAVING NEIGHBOURS: REGIONAL MECHANISMS IN EAST.
Copyright © 2014 Cengage Learning FOREIGN POLICY AND NATIONAL SECURITY Chapter Seventeen.
Operační program Vzdělávání pro konkurenceschopnost Název projektu: Inovace magisterského studijního programu Fakulty ekonomiky a managementu Registrační.
Prof. Jaechun Kim Sogang University. Major Contents of the Lecture Strategic Environment of Korea Strategic Challenges of Korea Foreign Policy Response.
Unclassified MG. L. HOXHA Skopje, 21 st of June 2005 REPUBLIC OF ALBANIA MINISTRY OF DEFENCE GENERAL STAFF OF THE ARMED FORCES.
NATO “The leaders of NATO are creating a transatlantic monstrosity worthy of Mary Shelley. The Atlantic alliance is being buried. In its place, NATO, led.
1 Sino - US Relations in the Asia-Pacific: New Dynamics 苏浩 教授/博士 外交学与外事管理系 外交学院.
Introduction to International Relations Spring 2013 Department of Political Science Prof. Hyun Seok YU.
Prospects for Security Cooperation in Northeast Asia By Carl Baker.
Chinese perspectives on building an East Asian Community in the 21th century CHEN YANZHU 2013R041-6.
Asian Multilateralism Korean Perspectives December 09, 2013 You-Ra Kim.
US Policy in the Asia-Pacific Assessing the “Rebalance” Terence Roehrig Professor, National Security Affairs Director, Asia-Pacific Studies Group US Naval.
Maritime Security as an Integral Part of an
International Security and Peace
Week14: The U.s. and East asia.
The Strong in the World of the Weak
ASEAN, Japan, & China.
ASEAN Regional Forum Prof. Philip Yang National Taiwan University
Postwar Outcomes The end of WW II found Soviet forces occupying most of Eastern and Central Europe. Germany was broken into East (communist) and West Germany.
As a Responsible Country in the World (2001- )
* What are containment, the Truman Doctrine, and the Marshall Plan?
Asia-Pacific Regionalism Prof. Philip Yang National Taiwan University
U.S. Japan China South Asia
ASEAN, Japan, & China.
How did WWII change the world? (politically and economically)
China’s Foreign Affairs and International Relations
Effective BTWC Implementation: the Case of the Philippines
Presentation transcript:

New Dynamics of Security in East Asia May 18, 2006 Regional Anatomy I Ken JIMBO

Regionalism in Asia-Pacific / East Asia Political & Security Dimension 1) April 13Overview and Introduction: What is Regionalism? 2) April 20Regionalism & Regional Integration 3) April 27Regionalism in Asia 4) May 11East Asian Community and East Asian Summit 5) May 18New Dynamics of Security in East Asia

Introduction: Understanding Asia-Pacific Security Security Environment in Asia-Pacific European Theater and Asia Pacific Theater Impact of the End of Cold War Strategic Circumstances US Engagement Rise of Multilateral Security Prevailing Double Track Approach New Dynamics of Security in East Asia Strategic Circumstances US Strategy and Engagement in East Asia Japan-US Alliance / Korea-US Alliance Renovated Cooperative Security: Multi-Layered Cooperation Ad-hoc Functional Mechanisms

Warsaw Pact NATONATO European Theater and Asia-Pacific Theater (During the Cold War) Bilateral (Hub-Spokes) Alliances European Theater (Regional Approach) European Theater (Regional Approach) Asian Theater (Bilateral Approach) Asian Theater (Bilateral Approach)

Impact of the End of the Cold War Four Dimension In Europe … Dissolution of Warsaw Pact NATO Expansion European Security & Defense Policy (ESDP) ⇒ In Asia, Hub-Spokes Remain the Same! But … Four Dimension Strategic Circumstances US Engagement Rise of Multilateral Security Prevailing Double Track Approach

Declining of Large Scale Threat Demise of East-West Confrontation Transformation of USSR Rising Regional Agenda Korean Nuclear Crisis ( ) Taiwan Straits Tensions (1996) End of the Cold War 1) Strategic Circumstances

End of the Cold War 2) US Military Engagement Bush Sr. Administration ( ) East Asian Strategic Initiative (EASI) > Force Reduction Plan Clinton Administration ( ) East Asian Strategic Report I (EASR I, 1995) > US-Japan Alliance East Asian Strategic Report II (EASR II, 1998) > Comprehensive Engagement

End of the Cold War 3) Rise of Multilateral Security Track-I Framework ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF ) Track-II Dialogues Council for Security Cooperation in Asia Pacific (CSCAP) Northeast Asian Cooperation Dialogue (NEACD)

US East Asian Regional Security EASI-I (1990) US Department of Defense, A Strategic Framework for the Asian Pacific Rim: Looking toward the 21st Century. April 19, “Our friends and allies in East Asia are reluctant to enter into multilateral consultation on security concern for a variety of reasons. Foremost is the wide cultural, political and economic diversity among most of the Asian states which makes bilateral security arrangements much more appropriate” ―February 1990

US East Asian Regional Security EASR (1995) US Department of Defense, The United States Security Strategy for East Asia-Pacific Region, February 1995 “Some in the United States have been reluctant to enter into regional security dialogues in Asia, but I see this as a way to supplement our alliances and forward military presence, not to supplant them” ―February 1995

Prevailing “ Double Track Approach ” ( ?) Alliance Mechanism Deterrence/Response CBM / Preventive Diplomacy Cooperative Security US-Japan Security Alliance US-Korea Security Alliance ARF Korean Peninsula Taiwan Straits

New Dynamics of Security in East Asia (2001-Present) Strategic Circumstances US Strategy and Engagement in East Asia Japan-US Alliance / Korea-US Alliance Renovated Cooperative Security: Multi-Layered Cooperation Ad-hoc Functional Mechanisms

New Dynamics of Security in East Asia 1) Strategic Circumstances Rise of Asymmetrical Warfare Terrorist Networks Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Lingering Traditional Risks Reloaded Korean Nuclear Crisis (2002-present) Taiwan Straits Rise of China Rising Military Capability “ Responsible Stakeholder ” ? (Robert Zoellick)

Traditional Risks Reloaded North Korean Missile Range (status 1994)

Traditional Risks Reloaded North Korean Missile Range (status 1998-)

Traditional Risks Reloaded Proliferation Risk A.Q. Kahn’s Nuclear Black Market

Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) 2001/05 Capability-Based Approach Static to Dynamic Defense Posture Transformation of US Military and the Global Posture Review (GPR) Reducing Size of US Forces Increase US Military Capability Enable Rapid Power Projection Regional-Global Forward Presence New Dynamics of Security in East Asia 2) US Strategy and Engagement in East Asia

Japan-US Alliance: Toward ‘ Global Alliance ’ “ Common Strategic Objective ” on Regional / Global Context Roles, Missions and Capabilities (RMC) Sharing Relocation of US Bases in Japan Korea-US Alliance: Constraint Transformation Future of Alliance Initiatives > FOTA > SPI Reduction of 12,500 US Troops from DMZ “ Cooperative Autonomous Defense ” New Dynamics of Security in East Asia 3) Japan-US Alliance / Korea-US Alliance Renovated

Region-wide Security Mechanisms ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Shangri-la Dialogue Sub-Regional Security Mechanisms Six-Party Talks Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Various Types of Military Exercises New Dynamics of Security in East Asia 4) Cooperative Security: Multi-Layered Cooperation

Counter- / Anti- Terrorism Cooperation Proliferation Security Initiatives (PSI) Trafficking Controls / Information Sharing Non-Traditional Security Cooperation SARS / Aviation Flu Anti-Piracy Cooperation Transnational Organized Crimes New Dynamics of Security in East Asia 4) Ad-hoc Functional Mechanisms

Members Functions Inclusive / Regional ( Geographical Cooperation ) Exclusive / Functional ( Regional Security Complex ) Forceful Competitive (Deterrence/Response) (Collective Security) Japan-US Alliance Korea-US Alliance Unforceful Cooperative ( CBM / PD ) Shanghai Cooperation Organization ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) Shangri-la Dialogue Proliferation Security Initiative Anti-Terrorism Cooperation Non-Traditional Security New Dynamics of Security in East Asia