BSM: Fixed Income Portfolio Management Reference Curve Discussion.

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Presentation transcript:

BSM: Fixed Income Portfolio Management Reference Curve Discussion

For the Record Risk Free Curves Do not Exist! The Regulator should not prescribed the Curve, because swap and govie are both acceptable strategies. The regulator should not dictate investment or hedging strategy pursued by investment professionals Quantify and Measure Basis Risk and apply capital

The search for a “risk free” curve Definition of risk free Ability of the issuer or seller to meet obligations Guarantee that their will be a curve in a meltdown or severe dislocation Only two options to consider, the government (government bonds) or the banks (swap market) Europe does not have a euro government issued risk free curve, hence the swap curve was chosen to span all countries in the Euro area.

Considerations, Most life companies liabilities are funded, so is a government bond purchase. There is a premium to be received for tying up cash. A swap position only gets funded to the extend of the mark to market change. Swaps by its nature is a geared position. Governments can raise taxes, banks can’t Systemic risks can develop if both insurance companies and banks rely on the swap market. Why is SAM not concerned with Basis Risk (matching premium)?? Who will fund the government if swap is regarded as risk free and what does it say about bank versus government risk. Illiquid inflation linked swap market.

Illiquid Inflation Swap Market

If the ILB swap market was Liquid……

As Oppose to the ILBs