Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment Guide Comprehensive Preparedness Guide (CPG) 201

THIRA is Part of a Larger Effort  The National Preparedness System outlines an organized process for achieving the National Preparedness Goal.  The foundation of the System is identifying and assessing risks.  THIRA is one process that a community can use to identify and assess their risks.

What is a Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (THIRA)?  CPG 201 is the guidance; THIRA is the output  THIRA does not replace the Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (HIRA) or Hazard Mitigation Plan (HMP)

Who Is Required to Complete a THIRA? All grantees receiving Homeland Security Grant Program (HSGP) and Emergency Management Performance Grant (EMPG) – Typically, this means states, commonwealths and territories All Urban Areas receiving funding under the Urban Areas Security Initiative (UASI) grant program

2012 FEMA THIRA ANALYSIS  FEMA Regional THIRAs were submitted September 2012  Urban area, state, territorial, and tribal nation THIRAs were submitted on December 31, 2012  FEMA Reviewed THIRA Analysis and Provided Feedback to States on:  THIRA outputs  Desired outcomes/Capability Targets  Objective of FEMA Review Analysis:  Inform national preparedness efforts

THIRA COMPONENTS

Step 1: Threat and Hazard Types Identify types of threats/hazards: Natural Technological Human-caused

Step 1: Example Threats and Hazards of Concern

Step 2: Give the Threats and Hazards Context Focused on hazards and threats of greatest concern Show how a threat or hazard can affect your jurisdiction Multiple threats or hazards occurring at the same time Cascading effects of a threat or hazard

Step 3: Examine the Core Capabilities Using the Threats and Hazards

3.a Determine the Desired Outcomes

Step 3: Examine the Core Capabilities Using the Threats and Hazards 3.b Consider Estimated Impacts  For each threat and hazard, determine the impacts on the community through the lens of the core capabilities  Consider impacts related to the mission areas

Step 4: Set Capability Targets Capability targets are based on the greatest impact combined with the desired outcomes The output of this step is to have a target for each of the Core Capabilities These targets will serve as the basis for the State Preparedness Report capability assessment

Step 5: Apply THIRA Results After the THIRA is completed, apply result to the community’s risk management efforts A jurisdiction may find it simply needs to sustain existing capabilities, or it may identify a resource shortfall or capability gap

THIRA Benefits Strategic planning for prioritizing resources Inform Mitigation planning and projects Use to build planning scenarios Utilize results for exercises and training

Next Steps / On-going Activities Review and update THIRA annually Coordinate THIRA process with stakeholders including whole community Encourage local jurisdictions to conduct their own THIRA (A maybe…down the road)

THIRA: Things to Remember Required for Grantee (State) Funding Eligibility Informs, but does not take the place of, our HIRA and other risk analyses Our plans and programs should be risk-based We should allocate resources according to our risk (get more bang for our buck)

Questions Patrick Sheehan, Chief Plans Branch