Comprehensive Watershed Management for the Valley of the Sun David Walker University of Arizona Environmental Research Laboratory

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Summer 2009 Western Fire Season Outlook Overview Significant fire potential is expected to be above normal across much of California, Florida, central.
Advertisements

Overview of CEDM work on climate and weather. A1: Water and low carbon energy technology A2: Hurricane impacts, and DA of modification A3: Climate change.
Describe the general atmospheric and oceanic circulation patterns that characterize La Nina and El Nino Describe the effects of La Nina and El Nino Explain.
Dendroclimatology. Dendroclimatologists are interested in past climate so that the variation and trend of modern climate can be put into perspective Synoptic.
Impacts of Climate Change on Western Forests Dr. Mark Johnston Saskatchewan Research Council and Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative.
2014 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, and Hurricanes.
Note: This product is published by the Oregon Department of Agriculture (ODA), in cooperation with the Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF). Contact: Pete.
PDO/PNA The PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) is an index derived from North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies and it has a high correlation to.
Jim Noel Service Coordination Hydrologist March 2, 2012
Shanese Breitkreitz. Meaning – La Nina  The little girl  El Viejo – Old Man  A cold event  A cold episode.
Primary Productivity of Water Kevin Fitzsimmons, Ph.D. Professor, University of Arizona Visiting Fulbright Professor, Thailand President, World Aquaculture.
Mel Kunkel & Jen Pierce Boise State University Climatic Indices: Predictors of Idaho's Precipitation and Streamflow.
Excerpts of the AAAS Fiscal Year 2009 Appropriations Summary ( September 2008 summary: Congress has made little progress on the federal.
Alan Hamlet Dennis P. Lettenmaier JISAO Climate Impacts Group and the Department of Civil Engineering University of Washington March, 2001 CIG Water Resources.
Climate, Drought, and Wildfire Effects on Water Quality.
Chapter 25.1 “Factors that Affect Climate”
Details for Today: DATE:14 th April 2005 BY:Mark Cresswell FOLLOWED BY:NOTHING Impacts: Extreme Weather 69EG3137 – Impacts & Models of Climate Change.
Introduction Data collection, analysis, and interpretation from all reservoirs and watersheds surrounding the Valley since 1999 makes this project the.
Algal Toxin Production in Arid-Land Reservoirs David Walker University of Arizona NSF/UA Water Quality Cen ter.
Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources: Is it an Issue for Emergency Managers? Richard Palmer Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering University.
Climate and Food Security Thank you to the Yaqui Valley and Indonesian Food Security Teams at Stanford 1.Seasonal Climate Forecasts 2.Natural cycles of.
Ocean Currents. Huge Rivers in the Ocean Ocean currents are huge rivers flowing within the ocean. Each current has its own temperature and its own saltiness.
Pomme de Terre Lake Water Quality Summary Pomme de Terre Lake Water Quality Summary US Army Corps of Engineers Environmental Resources Section.
DEER LAKE MERCURY CONTAMINATION A Brief History and Overview of the Amended Consent Judgment Steve Casey DNRE Upper Peninsula District.
Andean snowpack and streamflow variations in recent and historic times in central Chile and central-western Argentina Mariano Masiokas Ricardo Villalba.
Southwest Hydrometeorology Symposium Tempe, AZ September 28, 2011 Kevin Werner NWS Colorado Basin River Forecast Center : A Year of Extremes.
The Atmosphere B7: Global Changes in the Atmosphere.
December 2002 Section 2 Past Changes in Climate. Global surface temperatures are rising Relative to average temperature.
Meteorological Influences on Arizona Precipitation Mark Sinclair Meteorology Dept. Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University.
Dynamic Climate An overview of Climate Oscillations.
TRENDS IN U.S. EXTREME SNOWFALL SEASONS SINCE 1900 Kenneth E. Kunkel NOAA Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC David R. Easterling National.
The La Niña Influence on Central Alabama Rainfall Patterns.
Drought! Bill Patzert 26 February 2014.
Joe Ramey Winter Outlook for the Mountain Valleys of Colorado Uh Oh… No Niño Again! National Weather Service Grand Junction not quite El Niño.
July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.
Abnormal Weather October 22, Teleconnections Teleconnections: relationship between weather or climate patterns at two widely separated locations.
Water Resources 101 Arizona’s Water: Supplies and Usage.
2012 Wildfire Season Outlook. “Recent” Wildfire History Winter – VERY DRY followed by the Summer 2002 – Colorado Hayman Fire Coal Seam Fire.
Alan F. Hamlet, Philip W. Mote, Nate Mantua, Dennis P. Lettenmaier JISAO/CSES Climate Impacts Group Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering University.
A Drought History of Alabama, Georgia and the Panhandle of Florida David Emory Stooksbury, Ph.D. State Climatologist – Associate Professor Engineering.
Water Resources Development Commission (HB 2661) Water Supply & Demand Working Group – Water Supply Sub Committee Major Existing Supply Data and Studies.
Improved Drought Planning for Arizona Katharine Jacobs and Barbara Morehouse.
"The Gulf of Alaska Seward Line & 2006 Russell R. Hopcroft, Kenneth O. Coyle, Tomas J. Weigngartner, Terry E. Whitledge Institute.
Photo courtesy Corey Deards. What is El Nino? El Nino Signal.
“Pacific Decadal Oscillation” in SST [Mantua et al. 1997] Updated time series available online at: “warm” phase;
By: Allison Gordon, Christin Garrison, Jacob Ivey, Juda.
 El Nino is an abnormal warming of surface ocean waters in the Pacific Ocean  This occurs every 3-5 years  Part of what's called the Southern Oscillation.
 On a climograph, what data are represented with bars? ◦ What data are represented with a line graph?  How can you determine the climate classification.
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Huanghe Using the ENSO index, and river water and sediment discharge to understand changing climate, and human.
Northeast Regional Climate Information Projected Climate Changes for the Northeast More frequent and intense extreme precipitation events, 100-year storm.
Climate Change Threat Reduced Snowpack 1. Potential Impacts Related to Reduced Snowpack How might our community be impacted by reduced snowpack? 2.
2010 Water Quality Monitoring Activities -Medicine Lake -Twin Lake Keith Pilgrim Barr Engineering March 17, 2011 brain huser is great.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO): What is it?
Weather Hazards and Hazard Climatology
Climate Change & India’s Monsoons
El Niño and La Niña.
The Effect of Climate on Rocks of the Superstition Mountains
Reservoir Operations and Water Supply Planning at Salt River Project
1. Why do we have climate zones? 2. Can pollution change a climate?
Climate The average weather conditions for an area over a long period of time.
2012 NWSA Annual Meeting 2012 Weather Forecast for the spring and summer months with a historical perspective.
Ocean Circulation.
El Nino Southern Oscillation
Water on Earth All living things need water in order to carry out their body processes and maintain their habitats Where is water found? Oceans- 97%
Short term Climate change
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Ocean Currents El Niño and La Niña.
Climate Changes due to Natural Processes
Variability of the North American Monsoon
2.2.
Presentation transcript:

Comprehensive Watershed Management for the Valley of the Sun David Walker University of Arizona Environmental Research Laboratory

Scope Analytes –Physico-chemical –General Chemistry –Nutrients –TOC/DOC –Total and Filtered Metals –Chlorophyll a –Perchlorate –Algae ID and Enumeration –Zooplankton –Aquatic Macroinvertebrates –Algal Toxins –MIB and Geosmin –Sediment Metals –Sediment Nutrients

Issues of Concern Eutrophication Drought Urbanization Response to disturbance (e.g. Rodeo/Chedeski fire) Perchlorate in Colorado River and offshoots (CAP canal, Lake Pleasant) Algal toxins Narrative Nutrient Criteria Biocriteria for reservoirs

Ongoing Drought According to some climate experts, the most recent drought began in Dry conditions have been worsening over the past four years; by the summer of 2002 most of Arizona and New Mexico were considered to be in "extreme" drought.

Long-term Climatic Trends and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) PDO is not a ten-year La Niña. Regular (20 – 30 year) pattern of high and low pressure systems over the northern portions of the Pacific Ocean. Correlates with relatively wetter or drier periods in the western portion of North America.

What does it mean for Watersheds in the Southwest? Positive PDO phases tends to enhance El Niño conditions and weaken the effects of La Niñas. Negative PDO phases enhance the effects of La Niñas and weaken the effects of El Niños

Negative PDO phase starting around This may result in drier La Niña winters. An extended period of drier than usual winters would likely produce a decrease in renewable water supplies in the desert southwest.

Although winter precipitation accounts for only 50 to 60% of our annual precipitation, it is responsible for 80 to 95% of the annual streamflow.

The UA’s Climate Assessment Project for the Southwest (CLIMAS), conducted an analysis of the effects of prolonged drought in the Phoenix and Tucson Active Management Areas (AMAs). Impact of Severe Drought on Water Resources

The research team assumed a ten-year drought of the magnitude that occurred in the 1950s and demand levels projected by ADWR for Even assuming full availability of CAP water, the Phoenix AMA could well exceed its renewable water supply by 39 percent.

The greater Phoenix metro area has experienced explosive growth in the past years, an era when climate has been relatively wet.

Assuming that relatively wet conditions will continue into the indefinite future is unwise given all that we have learned about the climate history of the southwest.

Rodeo/Chedeski Fire and it’s Effect(s) on the Salt River Reservoirs

Salt River Above Roosevelt Nutrient Levels by Sampling Period

Nutrient Loading via the Salt River by Year (all data from late August/early September)

Mean Chlorophyll Levels (mg/m 3 ) in Roosevelt for Summer 2002 and Summer 2003.

Correlates of Primary Production in Roosevelt

DO Levels by Depth in Roosevelt for the Summers of 2002 and 2003

Mean D.O. Levels by Year

Insert fig 10 from write up

Conclusions There is no single “slug” of water from the fire. Episodic events, especially during monsoons, will continue to bring heavy nutrient and sediment loads to Roosevelt. These events will, hopefully, diminish over time as vegetation becomes established in the watershed. The long-term, chronic effects of the fire on downstream water quality are unknown.

Hypolimnetic Anoxia within Lake Pleasant Complaints of H 2 S at Waddell Dam. Complaints of dissolved Mn at downstream municipalities.

Why Bottom Release? Implemented since 1997 to alleviate taste and odor problems in the CAP canal. Recommendation was made not because it was believed that MIB/geosmin produced within Pleasant was problematic to receiving cities. Recommended to withdraw anoxic hypolimnetic water as soon as possible in the year. Oxygenated water over the sediments as soon as possible in the year = decreased phosphorous, Mn, and H 2 S accumulation within the hypolimnion.

Did it Work? Divisional shift from periphytic cyanobacteria to green filamentous algae and diatoms (non taste and odor producing species). Taste and odors are no longer a significant problem in the CAP canal.

Two things that will hinder the original plan of hypolimnetic withdraw are; –Decreased amount of water released from the hypolimnion and, –Increased amount of time sediments are exposed to anoxic conditions.

Both may occur due to increased amount of bypass pumping of Colorado River water, delay of release from Pleasant until later in the year, etc.

Questions?