YEAR IN REVIEW SYMPOSIUM SOUTHEAST WI INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET Presentation by: Brian S. Parrish, MBA President & CEO PARADIGM Real Estate LLC Monday,

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Presentation transcript:

YEAR IN REVIEW SYMPOSIUM SOUTHEAST WI INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET Presentation by: Brian S. Parrish, MBA President & CEO PARADIGM Real Estate LLC Monday, December 8,

Talking Points Vacancy & Absorption Deal Velocity New Construction Factors Affecting Manufacturers Interesting Leases Interesting Sales Self Storage Building Boom Portfolio Sale Bonanza New Projects SE WI Industrial Real Estate Forecast PARADIGM Real Estate

VACANCY & ABSORPTION Vacancy rate hit 9.75% in 2008 Vacancy rate dropped from 6.68% (Q3 2013) to 5.53% (Q3 2014) 17+ quarters of positive absorption Q3 YTD Absorption 3,348,064 Sq. Ft. Source: Xceligent & BizTimes PARADIGM Real Estate

Net Absorption (SF) Vacancy Rate 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , , , , Q Q Q Q Q3 8.00% 7.50% 7.00% 6.50% 6.00% 5.50% 5.00% 4.50% 4.00% Total Vacancy & Total Net Absorption PARADIGM Real Estate Source: Xceligent

PARADIGM Real Estate Source: Xceligent

DEAL VELOCITY YearAvg Age# of SalesAvg $/SF $ $ $ $ $ * 40189$ should beat 2013; more comparable to % increase in $/SF since : 56% of sales in Q1 & 2, $30.85/SF Avg. $36.86/SF Avg. in Q3 & Q4 (up 19%!) Prices of existing buildings nearly half new construction. Source: Xceligent Data, PARADIGM analysis * Excludes some November and all December sales PARADIGM Real Estate

NEW CONSTRUCTION Shortage of land, materials, labor Prices are increasing 6.3mm Sq. Ft. under construction (88.9% is BTS or Owner Occupied, not Spec) Ideal lending environment for manufacturers – generally cheaper to build and own, than lease new construction from a developer. PARADIGM Real Estate

FACTORS AFFECTING MANUFACTURERS  ISM Milwaukee’s PMI rose to in November  Noted: gains in new orders, production, inventories, prices, backlogs of orders, exports and imports.  Cheaper oil, higher exports, low interest rates  Labor shortage is worsening  Construction costs are rising  Highly active industrial real estate market PARADIGM Real Estate

INTERESTING LEASES QuadGraphics leased 99,740 Sq. Ft. at the American TV building on Duplainville in Pewaukee Joy Global leased 305,065 Sq. Ft. at S Howell, Oak Creek. InSinkErator leased 160,000 Sq. Ft. at th Ave, Kenosha PARADIGM Real Estate

INTERESTING SALES Exeter Property Group purchased the 279,828 Sq. Ft. Staples building on Opus Dr. in Oak Creek for $17mm, or $61.81/Sq. Ft. Lease expires in 2017 (with extensions). Icahn Ent. Sold 208,882 Sq. Ft. on River Ln in Germantown and occupied by Rock-Tenn to Stag for $44.52/Sq. Ft. Ziegler sold 66,000 Sq. Ft. occupied by Tailored Label Products in Men. Falls to Hendricks Dev. for $68.18/Sq. Ft. PARADIGM Real Estate

INTERESTING SALES (CONTINUED) Founders Properties purchased a 440,202 Sq. Ft. building at 6400 W Enterprise Dr. in Mequon for $32.37mm, or $73.54/Sq. Ft. Leased to Rockwell Automation. Jonco purchased 202,592 Sq. Ft. at 2800 W Custer in Milwaukee for $7.77/Sq. Ft. Zilber purchased the former 246,348 Sq. Ft. building at S Franklin Dr. in Franklin for $39.37/Sq. Ft. and leased it to Baptista’s. PARADIGM Real Estate

SELF STORAGE BUILDING BOOM  Conversion at 27 th & Silver Spring, 233,200 Sq. Ft., Silver Spring Self Storage. Purchased for $2.78/Sq. Ft.  Conversion at 4059 W Bradley, 85,291 Sq. Ft., Metro Storage. Purchased for $  Conversion by Storage Master, 57,234 Sq. Ft. in Muskego. Purchased for $20.96/Sq. Ft.  Conversion by WI Self Storage West Allis LLC of 123,986 Sq. Ft. on Cleveland Ave. Purchased for $16.13/Sq. Ft. PARADIGM Real Estate

SELF STORAGE BUILDING BOOM (CONTINUED)  Scenic Self Storage, Waukesha sold on 11/5/14 for $3,604,100 ($43.70/Sq.Ft.), 435 units ($8,285/unit).  ….others coming soon!  That’s 499,711 Sq. Ft. converted; 4,000+ new self storage units PARADIGM Real Estate

PORTFOLIO SALE BONANZA CenterPoint is completing exit of multi-tenant flex portfolios. CenterPoint sold CrossLake Airport Business Park (formerly ACE) to Building ABC Investor LLC for $27mm, or $24.95/Sq. Ft. Zilber purchased six industrial buildings from CenterPoint, with a total of 206,000 square feet near Gen. Mitchell International Airport for $2.55 million, or $12.38/Sq. Ft. PARADIGM Real Estate

Portfolio sale of 12 industrial buildings totaling 1,796,294 Sq. Ft. happening soon! PARADIGM Real Estate

NEW PROJECTS Planned & Underway: Users and Developers Source: BizTimes, November 9, 2014 PARADIGM Real Estate

Weimer Bearing is planning a 68,390 Sq. Ft. in Germantown Amazon is occupying 2 buildings totaling 1,500,000 Sq. Ft. in Kenosha Uline is planning 2 buildings totaling 2,000,000 Sq. Ft. in Pleasant Prairie and Kenosha CenterPoint is building 412,000 Sq. Ft. on spec in Pleasant Prairie Niagra Bottling is building 377,000 Sq. Ft. in Pleasant Prairie PARADIGM Real Estate

Zilber is building 176,000 Sq. Ft. on spec in Pleasant Prairie Kenall Manufacturing is building 354,000 Sq. Ft. in Kenosha Ryan Companies is planning 2, 230,000 Sq. Ft. spec buildings in Oak Creek Liberty Property Trust is building 171,144 Sq. Ft. in Oak Creek Venture One Real Estate is building 164,007 Sq. Ft. in Oak Creek for Stella and Chewy’s in Oak View Business Park Interstate Partners is building 100,000 Sq. Ft. on its land in Pewaukee Sharp Packaging plans to build a new 151,970 Sq. Ft. in Sussex Ryan Companies is planning 158,292 Sq. Ft. in Menomonee Falls PARADIGM Real Estate

General Capital is building 53,160 Sq. Ft. spec in Century City, Milwaukee Solaris is building 68,000 Sq. Ft. in Menomonee Valley, Milwaukee Wangard is building 2 buildings in West Allis totaling 112,000 Sq. Ft. 72,000 Sq. Ft. was preleased to Ferguson. PARADIGM Real Estate

NEW BUSINESS PARKS ON THE WAY Source: BizTimes, November 9, 2014 PARADIGM Real Estate

Wispark and Zilber have begun the OakView Business Park in Oak Creek on 220 acres, $96,000-$142,000/acre PARADIGM Real Estate

Bridge Development Partners planning 400 acre business park at I-94 and Highway 142 in Kenosha ( Uline took half) Venture One Real Estate LLC is planning a 248 acre business park in Pleasant Prairie MLG Capital is planning 120 acre business park in Germantown Ashley Capital is planning to develop up to 1.2mm Sq. Ft. on 87 acres at Highway 11 and CH H in Mount Pleasant Rizzo Dev. Group is planning an industrial park for 320,000 Sq. Ft. on 26 acres on Gumina Rd in Brookfield PARADIGM Real Estate

SE WI INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE FORECAST

2014 CARW Survey 90.2% describe industrial market as improving (compare to 53.3% office, 70.65% retail) 2015 will be another strong year Lower vacancy Slower rate of positive absorption Lease rates to return to pre-recession levels Cap rates to remain stable New construction will become even more prevalent as supply dwindles. Appraisers will be challenged more than ever to reconcile historical sales with new construction pricing. Uncertainty will return late 2015 into 2016 due to elections and rising interest rates. Equilibrium will return to the SE WI industrial RE market. PARADIGM Real Estate

THANK YOU Brian S. Parrish, MBA President & CEO PARADIGM Real Estate (262)