Get out your ISN! You will be able to understand the basic ideas of probability including outcomes, events, and sample spaces. Today’s Objectives:

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CHAPTER 12: General Rules of Probability

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Presentation transcript:

Get out your ISN! You will be able to understand the basic ideas of probability including outcomes, events, and sample spaces. Today’s Objectives:

Warm Up Tape this into your Warm Up Section and use the deck to answer.

WWK & TOC Choose a colored pencil and ruler—draw a horizontal line underneath… the last TOC entry ( ) the last WWK entry ( Standard Deviation )

TOC WWK If you number your WWK… start numbering at 1 again!

more WWK

Big Picture

Unit 3 We are now moving to Unit 3 which is Probability. The definition of Probability is the chance that something will happen—how likely it is that some event will happen.

Probability Recall that randomness— randomly assigning subjects to treatments in experiments, or randomness in sampling in observational studies— is a key component of statistics. Probability gives us a way to measure randomness.

First Foldable

Right Side Input Intro to Probability 30 11/10 Tape Here Fold it shut

Fold the 2 nd Foldable in half before taping

Right Side Input Intro to Probability 30 11/10 Tape Here

Foldable pg. 1 Other Experiments: Drawing from a deck of cards Flipping a coin Drawing a marble from a bag of marbles

Foldable pg. 1 Other Outcomes: Drawing from a deck of cards {2 of hearts} Flipping a coin {T}

heads tails heads tails heads tails FOUR Possible outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT

Foldable pg. 2

More Examples:

Other Events: Foldable pg. 3

heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails heads tails

Foldable pg. 3

Foldable pg. 4

You Try!

Foldable pg. 5

You Try!

Foldable pg. 6

Subjective Empirical Classical

Foldable pg. 7 You Try!

Foldable pg. 7 You Try!

29 11/10 Left Side Input Intro to Probability Tape Here I typed #6 and #7 wrong, 6.“Is #4 a simple of compound event?” 7.“Is #5 a simple of compound event?”

Homework LEFT side