February 4, 2009 Mississippi Lakes Symposium Demographic Overview Sardis Lake, Mississippi
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 2 David Nissenson Waterfront Developments
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 3 David Nissenson Opportunities and Market Sources Waterfront Development Commercial Residential Primary Residence Seasonal / Vacation Residence Development Uses Primary Market Sources Recreation and Entertainment Resort / HotelRetail Baby BoomersOther Visitors / Tourists Area Residents HH Income > $100,000++ Inter and Intra-regional Migration Median Home Value + Premium Your Project
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 4 David Nissenson Major Lake Resources in Mississippi Arkabutla Enid Grenada Okatibbee Ross Barnett Sardis
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 5 David Nissenson National Association of Realtors (Survey of Second Home Owners-2006) Median age: years (45-74 years~70%) Married couples: 75-83% Couples w/o children at home: 70-75% Ethnicity: 85-95% white Primary residence w/in 300 miles: 60% (25% over 1,000 miles) Drive to second home: 82% Detached single-family: 41% (versus 61% for primary) Value of home less than primary residence: 68% Purchase new: ~1 out of 4 Owner use (median): 39 days 2004: Good investment choice - 92%; Bad/don’t know – 8% 2005: Good investment choice - 82%; Bad/don’t know – 18%
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 6 David Nissenson Demographic Overview
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 7 David Nissenson Proximity Market Areas
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 8 David Nissenson Second Homes (By Numbers)
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 9 David Nissenson Second Homes (By Percent Share)
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 10 David Nissenson Characteristics of Successful Waterfront Developments Physical Attributes Location, location, location Natural land characteristics Shoreline configuration Year-round access and use Climate Cultural Aspects Authenticity Historic characteristics Symbolic value/meaning Architectural character Landscape character Maintenance Amenities, appropriate and correctly scaled Source: New York State DOS Division of Coastal Resources; PPS; ERA|AECOM; Economic/Demographic Variables Age distribution Population growth Households Household income Median home value Housing tenure Owner Occupied Renter Occupied Vacant Scenic Qualities Length and breadth of views Views to site/land Adjacent uses Focal points (clustered experiences)
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 11 David Nissenson % Own Homes32% Rent Homes U.S. Household Base
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 12 David Nissenson ESRI LifeMode Groups LifeMode Tapestry Segments Households (millions) % U.S. 1. High Society % 2. Upscale Avenues % 3. Metropolis % 4. Solo Acts % 5. Senior Styles % 6. Scholars and Patriots % 7. High Hopes % 8. Global Roots % 9. Family Portrait % 10. Traditional Living % 11. Factories and Farms % 12. American Quilt % Total %
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 13 David Nissenson LifeMode Household Changes
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 14 David Nissenson LifeMode Average HH Size
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 15 David Nissenson LifeMode Median Age
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 16 David Nissenson LifeMode Median HH Income
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 17 David Nissenson LifeMode Median Net Worth
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 18 David Nissenson LifeMode Median Home Value
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 19 David Nissenson LifeMode Home Ownership Rate
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 20 David Nissenson Summary of Characteristics
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 21 David Nissenson Markets by Location segment distribution
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 22 David Nissenson Markets by Location % of US Total
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 23 David Nissenson Largest Segments Median Income $150,000 +
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 24 David Nissenson Largest Segments Median Income $100,000 to $149,999
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 25 David Nissenson Largest Segments Median Income $50,000 to $99,999
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 26 David Nissenson Analysis and Opportunities Strengths Relatively pristine Large number of waterfront development opportunities. Affordability an option (land price) Warm climate Less risk from natural disasters Opportunities Vast waterfront areas, including rivers, streams and lakes Optimum size lakes with proximity to economic and urban centers Primary residences – local market conditions Integrated, mixed use waterfront development (at best locations.) Weaknesses Smaller market Abundant competitive sites across region Lower population growth rates, especially in the target age groups Low average household incomes Limited number of lakes with optimum scale and size High levels of vacant and renter-occupied homes Lacks Unique Selling Proposition (USP) Not widely recognized at the national level Financing (everywhere)
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 27 David Nissenson Strategies to Move Forward Developing a waterfront vision – Generate a sense of community ownership of the waterfront and defining its future Establishing partnerships – Strengthen community involvement and ensure the key players are on board Taking a look around – Understand your waterfront opportunities, its assets, key issues and opportunities Developing a strategy – Pull it all together to fulfill your vision Taking it one step at a time – Implement your vision
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 28 David Nissenson David Nissenson Consultant 142 North Abingdon Street Arlington, VA Cell: Contact Information
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 29 David Nissenson End of Presentation Questions and Answers
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 30 David Nissenson High Society 11.7 MM Households 10.6% of all households Nearly one-quarter of all household income Professionals and management Well-educated High levels of home ownership Mostly married couples Affluent neighborhoods Limited ethnic diversity Civic responsibilities, exercise, financial planning, travel, Internet or print over TV
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 31 David Nissenson Upscale Avenues 15.7 MM households 14.2% of all households Prosperous through hard work Well-educated Home ownership varies by personal taste Invest in their homes Savers/investors Leisure activities include golf and bicycling Partial to new cars
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 32 David Nissenson High Hopes 4.7 MM households 4.2% of all US households Prefer single-family homes 50% own their homes Mobile Younger, college-educated One-third less than 35 years of age Mix of married couples, single-parent families, and singles
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 33 David Nissenson Family Portrait 8.6 MM households 7.7% of all US households Fastest growing LifeMode Families w/ Children Ethnically diverse 30 percent Hispanic Single-family homes Large household size Visit theme parks and zoos Own minivans or SUV
Mississippi Lakes Symposium Slide 34 David Nissenson Traditional Living 10.1 MM households 9.1% of all US households Middle America Higher median age Live in older, slower growing established neighborhoods Buy American sedans Belong to fraternal organizations Rely on traditional information sources for news (newspapers)