The Southern California Mega Region
Being Competitive Participants in the Global Economy
Southern California
1.5% of U.S. land area (53,000 sq.mi.) Over 7% of U.S. population (22 million) 58% of California annual GDP ($900 billion) The WORLD’S 10th LARGEST ECONOMY SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MEGA-REGION
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY TRENDS Southern California
POPULATION GROWTH Population is expected to grow to by % Increase from ,700,000
TRADE GROWTH Los Angeles/Long Beach port complex 5th largest in world 44 million 20 ft. containers by reaching capacity
GROWTH IN AIRPORT DEMAND Mega-region’s airports make So. Cal the busiest of all regions in the country 94 million passengers served in 2003 Demand forecast to double before 2030 Cargo expected to triple
The region accomodates nearly 30% of the nation’s waterborne trade, and 60% of total cargo containers. Although this activity greatly benefits the nation as a whole, the region incurs a disproportionate share of the burden in congestion and air quality costs. Southern California
HIGHWAY CONGESTION Worst in nation since % 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Projected Growth population auto travel truck travel
AIR POLLUTION Progress has stalled and diesel emissions from ships, locomotives and port complex are projected to increase Mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S.
THREATENED ENVIRONMENT & QUALITY OF LIFE ENERGY Demands on the capacity and distribution of energy will remain a major challenge WATER Per capita demand not projected to decline as the population increases HABITAT & OPEN SPACE Suburban-style sprawl continues to consume native habitat
Southern California 2/3 of region is government-owned and off-limits to development Dense development pattern: 15,000 to 20,000 people/sq.mi.
Among Nine Largest Metro Regions GROWING ECONOMIC & SOCIAL DISPARITY #9 Percentage of adults who have attained at least a high school diploma Highest percentage of owner and rental households spending 30% or more on housing #1 Highest rate of crowded housing #1
Improving the region’s jobs-housing balance is the most critical short-term goal to avoid a complete collapse of the transportation, housing and social networks in place. Southern California
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GLOBAL GATEWAY STRATEGIES Southern California
Reinvest and redevelop along existing and planned transportation corridors and in regional centers
Preferred Alternative Sustainability Mobility Prosperity Distributes regional employment & housing growth following 4 guiding principles Focuses growth along existing & planned transportation corridors and in existing and emerging centers Will guide SCAG’s regional programs & policies Livability
Household Growth ( without Growth Vision )
Household Growth ( with Growth Vision )
Project Vision Changes will affect only 2% of regional land mass
Southern California Based Blue CollarGood Entry Level PayDefined Skill LadderOn the Job LearningTech Dependent Support Industry Sectors providing good-paying jobs to a less educated labor force
Wholesale Trade Truck Transportation Transportation Support Couriers General Warehousing Air Transportation Rail Transportation Water Transportation In ,373 54,504 52,662 30,090 28,442 25,466 2,952 1, ,278 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment Wages, CA EDD, 2004 Total Logistics Jobs
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% % SCAG Jobs Leisure and Hosp. 9.6 Other Services 3.5 Educ. & Health Services 10.6 Constr. 4.8 Prof. & Bus. Services 14.1 Manf Logis- tics 8.1 Gov’t Financial Activities 7.5 Motion Picture out of 12 jobs in 2003 Share of Mega-Region Jobs
Average weekly pay for all industries is $749 0$ $200 $400 $600 $800 $1000 $1200 $1400 $1600 $ Weekly Pay Leisure and Hospitality $400 Other Services $413 Educ. & Health Services $718 Constr. $777 Prof. & Bus. Services $811 Manf. $843 Logistics $847 Gov’t. $866 Financial Activities $1194 Motion Picture $ of highest paying Compared to other Sectors
Make transportation infrastructure investments to support growth of trade and jobs and reduce congestion
In Million TEU’s (20’ Equivalent Units) Source: POLA, POLB Total LA/Long Beach Container Growth Projected to Triple in 25 Years
Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000 They comprise 71% of the major pollutants contributing to cancer risk in the South Coast Air Basin Diesel Particulates
5,400 Premature Deaths Annually 140,000 Children Have Asthma 980,000 Lost Work Days 2,400 Hospitalizations
75% - 80% of the emissions come from mobile sources outside of local control
Proposed High-Speed System Initial Operating Segment 81 miles 6 stations $11 billion capital cost $110 million annual O&M Freight System 90 miles 6 stations $19 billion capital cost $296 million annual O&M 4 to 13 million TEUs ELECTRIFIED
New Rail Capacity & Improvements Alameda Corridor East-West Corridor More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings Colto n Hoba rt ELECTRIFIED
Promotes relationships between existing metropolitan areas Supports sustainability and long-term vitality Streamlines transportation and land use patterns Fosters better economies Encourages cost-saving measures through cooperation GLOBAL GATEWAY THINKING
Thank You