Achievements and Challenges in Developing and Maintaining COSMO-CLM (COSMO) as a Community RCM (NWP and environmental prediction model) A.Will (BTU Cottbus)

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Weather Research & Forecasting: A General Overview
Advertisements

Earth Science & Climate Change
NOAA/NWS Change to WRF 13 June What’s Happening? WRF replaces the eta as the NAM –NAM is the North American Mesoscale “timeslot” or “Model Run”
The LM Climate Mode (CLM) and the Leapfrog Schemeor A.Will 1, U.Böhm 3, A.Block 1, K.Keuler 1, B.Rockel 2, M.Baldauf 4, A.Gaßmann 6, H.-J.Herzog 4, and.
Common HIRLAM and ALADIN-M/F physics plan (08/05) J-F Geleyn, B. Hansen-Sass, G. Hello & L. Rontu Oslo mini-workshop Mesoscale physics and diagnostic tools.
Geophysical Modelling: Climate Modelling How advection, diffusion, choice of grids, timesteps etc are defined in state of the art models.
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Numerical weather prediction from short to long range.
© Crown copyright Met Office SRNWP Interoperability Workshop, ECMWF, January 2008 SRNWP Interoperability Terry Davies Met Office.
Departamento de Física
Numerical weather prediction: current state and perspectives M.A.Tolstykh Institute of Numerical Mathematics RAS, and Hydrometcentre of Russia.
1 An Overview of the NARCCAP WRF Simulations L. Ruby Leung Pacific Northwest National Laboratory NARCCAP Users Meeting NCAR, Boulder, CO April ,
Jordan G. Powers Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division NCAR Earth System Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric Research Space Weather Workshop.
WRF-VIC: The Flux Coupling Approach L. Ruby Leung Pacific Northwest National Laboratory BioEarth Project Kickoff Meeting April 11-12, 2011 Pullman, WA.
Mesoscale Modeling Review the tutorial at: –In class.
Dynamical Downscaling: Assessment of model system dependent retained and added variability for two different regional climate models Christopher L. Castro.
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss News from COSMO COSMO User Workshop 2010.
기후모델 : 기후변화연구의 인프라 Climate Model: Infrastructure for Climate Change Research Wonsun Park Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences Kiel, Germany KOFST Ultra.
Lessons learned from building and managing the Community Climate System Model David Bailey PCWG liaison (NCAR) Marika Holland PCWG co-chair (NCAR) Elizabeth.
Status of COSMO Software and Documentation Ulrich Schättler Deutscher Wetterdienst COSMO Annual Meeting 2003.
Modelling the Baltic Sea with FLake Towards llake_salt=.TRUE. Frederik Schenk, Burkhardt Rockel Sebastian Wagner, Eduardo Zorita 5th CLM-Community Assembly.
Non-hydrostatic Numerical Model Study on Tropical Mesoscale System During SCOUT DARWIN Campaign Wuhu Feng 1 and M.P. Chipperfield 1 IAS, School of Earth.
Status of the Support Activities WG 6: Reference Version and Implementation WG Coordinator: Ulrich Schättler.
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss High resolution COSMO runs for dispersion applications.
A.Will (BTU Cottbus) and the CLM-Community Community Activities and Plans A.Will (BTU Cottbus) and the CLM-Community.
Regional Modeling Workshop ► Regional teams of 5 to 10 users led by 2-3 experts. ► Develop collaborative projects within the teams that have to do with.
Soil moisture generation at ECMWF Gisela Seuffert and Pedro Viterbo European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts ELDAS Interim Data Co-ordination.
Community Activities and Plans A.Will (BTU Cottbus) and the CLM-Community COSMO Meeting, Kraków, September 2008.
Overview on the Work of WG 6 Reference Version and Implementation WG Coordinator: Ulrich Schättler.
3 rd Annual WRF Users Workshop Promote closer ties between research and operations Develop an advanced mesoscale forecast and assimilation system   Design.
Status of the COSMO-Model Package Ulrich Schättler.
Towards development of a Regional Arctic Climate System Model --- Coupling WRF with the Variable Infiltration Capacity land model via a flux coupler Chunmei.
Science Advisory Board Public Session 1 1 Peter Schultz, Ph.D. Associate Director for Science Integration Climate Change Science Program Office CCSP Update.
Overview on the Work of WG 6 Reference Version and Implementation WG Coordinator: Ulrich Schättler.
WG 6 and Support Activities Overview Status Report Reference Version and Implementation WG Coordinator and Project Leader: Ulrich Schättler.
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Status of MeteoSwiss 18 September 2008 COSMO GM 2008.
COSMO – 09/2007 STC Report and Presentation by Cosmo Partners DWD, MCH, USAM / ARPA SIM, HNMS, IMGW, NMA, HMC.
M. Baldauf, U. Blahak (DWD)1 Status report of WG2 - Numerics and Dynamics COSMO General Meeting Sept. 2013, Sibiu M. Baldauf, U. Blahak (DWD)
Status of the COSMO-Software and Documentation WG 6: Reference Version and Implementation WG Coordinator: Ulrich Schättler.
Changes to COSMO Software and Documentation Ulrich Schättler Deutscher Wetterdienst COSMO Annual Meeting 2004.
U.S. EPA and WIST Rob Gilliam *NOAA/**U.S. EPA
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Science Plan, PPs, PTs, and more … COSMO General Meeting,
Deutscher Wetterdienst COSMO-ICON Physics Current Status and Plans Ulrich Schättler Source Code Administrator COSMO-Model.
Welcome to the PRECIS training workshop
Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Poster Presentation Working Group 3: Physical Aspects.
Evaluation of regional climate simulations with WRF model in conditions of central Europe Jan Karlický, Tomáš Halenka, Michal Belda, (Charles University.
Proposed THORPEX/HEPEX Hydrologic Ensemble Project (THEPS) Presentation for 3 rd THORPEX Science Symposium September 14-18, 2009 Prepared by John Schaake,
Presented by LCF Climate Science Computational End Station James B. White III (Trey) Scientific Computing National Center for Computational Sciences Oak.
Vincent N. Sakwa RSMC, Nairobi
Status of the NWP-System & based on COSMO managed by ARPA-SIM COSMO I77 kmBCs from IFSNudgingCINECA COSMO I22.8 kmBCs from COSMO I7 Interpolated from COSMO.
Intensification of the water cycle: Regional Aspects D. Lüthi, S. Kotlarski, J. Schmidli, P. Pall, E. Fischer, E. Zubler, L. Schlemmer, W. Langhans, O.
Towards development of a Regional Arctic Climate System Model ---
SEASONAL PREDICTION OVER EAST ASIA FOR JUNE-JULY-AUGUST 2017
Operational COSMO of MeteoSwiss
Status of the COSMO-Software and Documentation
Coupling CLM3.5 with the COSMO regional model
Overview of the COSMO NWP model
Weather forecasting in a coupled world
Performance of the VIC land surface model in coupled simulations
Climate Dynamics 11:670:461 Alan Robock
How will the earth’s temperature change?
COSMO-Model New Versions and Plans
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Bogdan Rosa1, Marcin Kurowski1, Damian Wójcik1,
RegCM3 Lisa C. Sloan, Mark A. Snyder, Travis O’Brien, and Kathleen Hutchison Climate Change and Impacts Laboratory Dept. of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
NWP Strategy of DWD after 2006 GF XY DWD Feb-19.
Community. Activities in. Soil and Vegetation. presented by A
Conservative Dynamical Core (CDC)
Preparing a new Model Version according to Source Code Management
Support Activities and WG 6 Overview Status Report
Presentation transcript:

Achievements and Challenges in Developing and Maintaining COSMO-CLM (COSMO) as a Community RCM (NWP and environmental prediction model) A.Will (BTU Cottbus) and colleagues WRF workshop, Boulder, June 2012

WRF `1228 June History of the COSMO-CLM First climate simulation (EU Project PRUDENCE, GKSS) Consortial runs for the 21 st century Community Model Status in Germany 1. official LM Version Beta LM Version 1999LM operational 1999Start of CLM development at PIK 2000One-year simulation (Brasilien, PIK) Unified model version for weather and climate 2012Unified model version for weather, climate, aerosols and chemistry Fig.: B.Rockel (HZG), A.Will (BTU Cottbus) Further developments and model consolidation 1. CLM Community

WRF `1228 June Physics and dynamics of the COSMO-CLM Model Physics Nonhydrostatic, hydro-thermodynamic equations in u,v,w,T`,p`,q x, ( x=v,c,I,r,s,g ) Multi-layer soil model with ice (t_so,w_so) 1 and Multi-layer snow model 1 and 2 moment microphysics Lake model Prognostic precipitation for qr,qs,qg TKE / 3D turbulence and subgrid-scale orography scheme Tile approach Numerics: time splitting fast waves/slow modes Staggered grid, terrain following Leapfrog 3rd order hor. RK 3rd ord., vert. 3 rd ord. implicit Numerics (continued) hor: 2nd ord CD, 2 nd (to 6 th ) ord. adv. Vert: 2 nd ord. for stretched grid EULAG ad dynamical core 3 rd to 6 th order horizontal discretisation Forcing Initialisation at all grid points Model state (u,v,w,T,q and pp) prescribed at lateral and upper boundary Prescribed: Solar TOA, SSTs, Aerosols Prescribed monthly vegetation and GHG Documentation Coupling Community Land Model Ocean: NEMO, TRIMNP/CICE Chemistry and aerosol scheme ART ECHAM6 in preparation

WRF `1228 June Standards of COSMO-CLM I/O GRIB1, GRIB2 (GRIB-API) NetCDF (asynchronous) COSMO standards for source code development Implementation rules Management process Developers guide Testing Reporting Documentation Version status (development, test, released) Technical test suite Documentation F90 programming standard Internal documentation of the method Model Changes documentation Scientific documentation of model physics, dynamics and numerics Implementation documentation

WRF `1228 June Data flow in COSMO-CLM Fig.: B.Rockel (HZG)

2 Quality of COSMO-CLM 2.1 Convergence properties

WRF `1228 June Small Disturbance of Boundary Conditions Once in a Month DIFF:TOT_PREC, STD slope:-0.46 Δ TOT_PREC JJA 1981 Simulated time: Run1: clm4 eval Run2: clm4 eval + small dist. of B.C. once in a month Result: Convergence of1/√N and thus stoachastic disturbance. 3.1 Convergence Properties

WRF `1228 June Small Disturbance of Boundary Conditions Once in a Month DIFF: T_2m, STD slope:-0.4 Δ T_2M JJA Result: Convergence of1/(√N-0.1) and thus stoachastic disturbance with memory effect. Same result for other energetic variables. Memory: soil water content.

WRF `1228 June Uncertainties of the initial conditions of the driving model (DTL) 0,06 K Difference of COSMO-CLM simulation results with different ECHAM5 IBCs years Fig.: Klaus Keuler, BTU Cottbus

2.2. COSMO-CLM Evaluation results over Europe K.S. Radtke, K. Keuler BTU Cottbus, Chair of Environmental Meteorology

Model Domain for Standard Evaluation 257x271 grid boxes o resolution Rotated Pole: (-162, 39.25) Forcing: ERA-40,

EVAL-3 EVAL-4-1 E-OBS EVAL-4-2 2m Air Temperature, Annual Mean ME: EVAL-3: -0.79K EVAL-4-1: -0.76K EVAL-4-2: -0.32K MD: EVAL-3: -0.57K EVAL-4-1: -0.52K EVAL-4-2: -0.05K

Total Precipitation, Annual Sum E-OBSEVAL-3 EVAL-4-1EVAL-4-2 ME: EVAL-3: +65mm EVAL-4-1: +154mm EVAL-4-2: +97mm MD: EVAL-3: +64mm EVAL-4-1: +130mm EVAL-4-2: +131mm

WRF `1228 June 2. Climate and NWP mode COSMO-EU (NWP) CCLM- Climate CCLM-NWP COSMO Quellcode COSMO4.8-CLM13 COSMO4.21 COSMO4.8-CLM13 Period – ForcingGME Forecast GME Analysis. DomainEU - IPCC GebietCOSMO-EUEU - IPCC Gebiet Resolution 12 km (011°)7 km (0.0625°)12 km (011°) Forecast time96h78h— ConfigurationIPCC-AR5COSMO-EUIPCC-AR5 Data-Assimilation  Soil moisture analysis  Initialisation of the soil at init. timesometimesat initial time 2. CLM and NWP mode DWD-KU Project in cooperation with BTU

3. CLM Community

WRF `1228 June The CLM Community is an open, international, network of scientists who signed the CLM Community agreement. The CLM Community Agreement specifies: - acceptance of the rules of good scientific practice of the DFG - free exchange of results - restriction to scientific use of the COSMO model - contribution to the aims of the CLM Community Aims of the CLM Community: - Quantification and Reduction of Model Uncertainties - Efficient Use of Computational Ressources - Preparation and Conduction of Consortial Scenario Runs 1. CLM Community 3. CLM Community: Agreement 1. CLM Community

WRF `1228 June East Europe/ Asia Africa North America CLM Community Core Institutions COSMO Partner Institution Central and South America Ukraina Iran Vietnam Tanzania Senegal USA Mexico Venezuela

WRF `1228 June CLM Community: Development CLM Community: Development Core Institutions of the CLM-Community (2011): 1. CLM Community

CLM-Community network WG User Supp./Techn. Aspects WG Soil and Vegetation WG Dynamics and Numerics WG Evaluation CLM-Community Assembly COSMO/CLM Training and Seminar WG Chemistry, Clouds, Aeros. and Rad. Community CLM Coordination Group PP COLOBOC PG COSMO/CLM Training CLM Scientific Advisory Board WG Convection Resolving Climate Simulations CLM Partner Institutions Individual members COSMO Standards for Source Code Developpment Cooperations Membership Decisions Governance Management Model Development Quality Assurance User Support Project NWP/RCM Evaluation Universities and Research Centers PG CLM Assembly PG IPCC AR5 WG Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Project HOS ART

WRF `1228 June Prerequisites of a community - willingness of the members to spend resources for community tasks - organised communication Challenges of community model development 1. how we bridge institutional interests individual membership and bottom up decisions: one member one vote weather and climate community unified model version, common standards and community structure common standards of source code development, representatives in management board Challenges of Modelling and the CLM Community approach

WRF `1228 June 2. how to implement individual developments in a community model version - standards of source code development - personal resources for code maintenance 3. how we systematically develop the model - independent model evaluation - community measures of model evaluation - community standards of model development - technical test suite - scientific documentation - process documentation - coding standards 4. Management and User support - only positively evaluated configurations and model versions are released to all members - namelist tool - research topic and simulation browser - coordination office - regular meetings and training 4. Challenges of Modelling and the CLM Community approach

WRF `1228 June Summary If you want to be fast, go alone, if you want to get far go together!