WORLD BANK RESEARCH PROGRAM on MEDICAL BRAIN DRAIN Çaglar Özden Senior Economist Development Research Group.

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Presentation transcript:

WORLD BANK RESEARCH PROGRAM on MEDICAL BRAIN DRAIN Çaglar Özden Senior Economist Development Research Group

Brain Drain

The Benefits Remittances Diaspora effects Incentives for higher levels of education Brain Circulation The Costs The Cost of Education Loss of Positive Spillovers – benefits to people other than the migrant Productivity spillovers Services to population – education and healthcare Innovation and creativity Institution building Skilled Migration

Skilled Migration - Africa Share of Migrants by Education Attainment: % 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% AfricaGhanaCote d'Ivoire TogoBeninBurkina Faso NigeriaNigerSierra Leone Guinea secondarytertiary

Skilled Migration - Africa Share of Labor Force by Education Attainment: % 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% AfricaGhanaCote d'Ivoire TogoBeninBurkina Faso NigeriaNigerSierra Leone Guinea secondarytertiary

Physician Migration Dataset What do we actually know??

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Total Number by Origin Rest of AfricaNigeriaCameroonGhanaSenegalSouth AfricaIvory Coast

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Total Number By Origin 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10, OthersNigeriaSudanGhanaEthiopiaZimbabweKenya

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Total Number By Destination Rest of EuropeFranceBelgiumPortugal EnglandTurkeyNetherlands

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Total Number by Destination 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10, RestUKUSAAustraliaCanadaFrance

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Migration Rate 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% EthiopiaGhanaLiberiaMalawiSomaliaZimbabwe

Migration Soccer Player vs Doctors What are the differences between Soccer players and Doctors?

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors What are the differences between Soccer players and Doctors? Salaries? Social Externalities? Lifestyle? Talent? Looks?

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors Senegal vs. France 2002 World Cup

Migration Soccer Players vs Doctors What are the differences between Soccer players and Doctors? Opportunity Cost of Production/Replacement

Migration Migration of Doctors is not the ‘disease’ It is the ‘symptom’

Migration Skilled people leave because of - Professional opportunities - Income gain - Political Instability - Under-appreciation

Migration Who Leaves? Preliminary Data from Ghana

It is not a recent issue! Age Range

Gender Dimension Gender distribution FemaleMale

Role of Networks?? Siblings abroad No sibling1234+

Social Status Education level of Father No education Primary school Secondary school bachelor's degree professional degree

Remittances Remittances- Average: $6, >$1$1-$5$5-$9$9-$15$15+ $ Thousands

Migration What should we do? Treat the symptom or cure the disease?

Migration What should we do? Treat the symptom or cure the disease? Take away Passports Punish the recruiters Pay Higher salaries back at home Make migrants pay for their education Make migrants feel guilty

Migration …or is High Level of Skilled Migration a result of wrong education and health policies?

Migration What is equitable, economically efficient and pro-development? Two–tiered education system? One for the Global Market, one for the local market where the first finances the latter? Migrant tax – coordinated w/ Destination countries? Recruitment Tax? Brain Circulation?

Migration No Easy Answers!! Ask The British!! UK is the country with the Highest level of skilled migration today!