1 Landscape modeling efforts for N-Biocomplexity program Amit Chakraborty & Bai-Lian Li University of California, Riverside.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Historical Creation of Early Seral Habitat: Fire, Wind, Bugs …
Advertisements

© Loughborough University, 2004 Types of Systems There are a number of ways in which we may define types of systems.
MODELING THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE – CHANGES MADE IN A SPECIES SPECIFIC MODELING SYSTEM Jim Chew, Kirk Moeller, Kirsten Ironside Invited presentation.
Disturbance and Succession. Primary succession is a process that generally involves: 1) the accumulation of organic matter- wind blown debris, insects.
Succession Model We talked about the facilitation, inhibition, and tolerance models, but all of these were verbal descriptions Today we are going to consider.
The West Cascades Park City The West Cascades NaFISNationwide Forest Imputation Study.
Chapter # 11 – Population Regulation (pg. 223 – 237)
Pearson & Dawson Quiz 1. What is a bioclimatic envelope? 2. How might bioclimatic envelope models be useful for invasive species management? 3. List and.
Disturbance and Succession. Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis Disturbance maintains communities in a "non-equilibrium state" (never reach equilibrium)
Ecological niche and gradients. Why are there so many species? How is it that so many species can co-exist? Why are some species common and others rare?
Patterns in space Log area Log species number productivity # species Habitat variety # species Latitude # species mainland Log area Log species number.
Competition – Chapter 12. Competition Resource competition – occurs when a number of organisms utilize common resources that are in short supply. Interference.
Fire effects on vegetation recovery Summary of Results and Project Deliverables Jill Johnstone, Teresa Hollingsworth, Emily Bernhart & Katie Villano.
Modeling Ecological and Economic Benefits of Post-Fire Revegetation in the Great Basin Becky Niell.
Chapter 53.
Interspecific Competition II Getting back to plants… Although competition clearly applies to plants, most of the theory is zoologically based.
Fire Effects on Aquatic Ecosystems
Biosphere Modeling Galina Churkina MPI for Biogeochemistry.
Population Responses to Environmental Stress
Readings Chapter 11 textbook
Outline 1.Density dependent population dynamics: logistic equation 2.Cyclic and chaotic populations 3.Life history strategies 4.K vs r selection (MacArthur)
Modeling Urban Land-use with Cellular Automata Geog 232: Geo-Simulation Sunhui(Sunny) Sim February 7 th, 2005.
Community Ecology I Competition I. Intro to Community Ecology A. What is a community? B. Types of interactions C. Regulation of population dynamics II.
How organisms grow and produce offspring
Species Abundance and Diversity
Fire Effects on Soil. What are the Functions of Soil within Ecosystems? Provides a medium for plant growth and supplies nutrients Regulates the hydrologic.
Theories of Vegetation Change Mort Kothmann Texas A&M University.
OUR Ecological Footprint …. Ch 20 Community Ecology: Species Abundance + Diversity.
18 Species Diversity in Communities. 18 Species Diversity in Communities Resource Partitioning Nonequilibrium Theories The Consequences of Diversity Case.
Species Abundance and Diversity
Non-pollutant ecosystem stress impacts on defining a critical load Or why long-term critical loads estimates are likely too high Steven McNulty USDA Forest.
How do forest ecosystems respond to environmental change?
BIOME-BGC estimates fluxes and storage of energy, water, carbon, and nitrogen for the vegetation and soil components of terrestrial ecosystems. Model algorithms.
1 Species Abundance and Diversity. 2 Introduction Community: Association of interacting species inhabiting some defined area.  Community Structure includes.
SIMULATION OF GROUND VEGETATION DIVERSITY IN BOREAL FORESTS Larisa Khanina 1, Maxim Bobrovsky 2, Alexander Komarov 2, Alex Mikhajlov 2 1 Institute of Mathematical.
BIOLOGY 157: LIFE SCIENCE: AN ENVIRONMENTAL APPROACH (Communities and Succession)
Chapter 3: Ecological and Evolutionary Principles of Populations and communities.
Population Ecology population ecosystem community biosphere organism.
1 Population Ecology. 2 Environmental Variation Key elements of an organism’s environment include: – temperature – water – sunlight – Soil – Classical.
Populations Dynamics Chapter 36. I. Environmental Factors Living organisms are influenced by a wide range of environmental factors. These can be two.
Fire Effects on Vegetation September 13, Tallgrass Prairie: TTYP First, think to yourself. Write down any causes, effects, and mechanisms that explain.
Introduction to Models Lecture 8 February 22, 2005.
MODELLING CARBON FLOWS IN CROP AND SOIL Krisztina R. Végh.
Species Abundance and Diversity
Chap 52 Population Ecology. oThe study of populations in their natural environment. oA populations environment affects the density, distribution, age.
Why use landscape models?  Models allow us to generate and test hypotheses on systems Collect data, construct model based on assumptions, observe behavior.
The Landscape Ecology of Invasive Spread Question: How is spatial pattern expected to affect invasive spread? Premise: Habitat loss and fragmentation leads.
Lecture 14 Models II Principles of Landscape Ecology March 31, 2005.
Advanced analytical approaches in ecological data analysis The world comes in fragments.
Quick summary One-dimensional vertical (quality) differentiation model is extended to two dimensions Use to analyze product and price competition Two.
DOE IMPLEMENTATION WORKSHOP FIRE MANAGEMENT LEE BANICKI (202)
Climate Sensitivity Succession Regime Shifts Integration Current Proposal: The Dynamics of Change Next Proposal (due in < 4 years!!) Human Dimensions K-12.
AP Biology Population Ecology population ecosystem community biosphere organism.
1 Population Ecology. 2 Environmental Variation Key elements of an organism’s environment include: Key elements of an organism’s environment include:
Ecological Processes and the Spread of Non-native species
Computer Aided Simulation Model for Instream Flow and Riparia
Communities and the Landscape Lecture 15 April 7, 2005
Day 1: Natural Populations
Maximum Sustainable Yield & Maximum Economic Yield
Population Ecology.
Day 1: Natural Populations
Population Dynamics.
Patterns of Succession
Chapter 17 Processes Shaping Communities
Community Ecology Chapter 3 Section 1.
Section 1: Community Ecology
Empirical studies testing the determinants of community structure
CHANGES to ECOSYSTEMS and POPULATIONS
Community Ecology Chapter 3 Section 1.
CENTRAL PLACE THEORY -Walter Christaller,1933
Presentation transcript:

1 Landscape modeling efforts for N-Biocomplexity program Amit Chakraborty & Bai-Lian Li University of California, Riverside

2 S PATIAL T RANSITION M ODEL O F V EGETATION C HANGES Spatial dynamicsTemporal dynamics Spatial interactions between individual plants Resource supply and transport

3 Habin Li and F. Reynolds (1997) Scale in Remote sensing and GIS. p

4 C ELLULAR A UTOMATON WGW SW SGG either G or W or S

5 Rules of Automaton MECHANISMS OR PROCESSES Automaton without interference Automaton under species invasion Automaton after fire-disturbance AUTOMATON Resource-mediated competition Resource-based invasion mechanism Fire-induced successional processes

6 Resource-mediated Indirect Competition Huston M.A. and DeAngelis D.L. (1994) Competition and coexistence: the effects of resource transport and supply. The American Naturalist 144: (k)

7 Huston M.A. and DeAngelis D.L. (1994) Competition and coexistence: the effects of resource transport and supply. The American Naturalist 144:

8 Resource-mediated direct competition

9 C 1 >C 2 Schematic diagram of resource uptake mechanism from overlapping depletion zone

10 Low rate of resource input Constant transport rate Low rate of resource input Competitive equilibrium Overlapping depletion zone Non-overlapping depletion zone

11 Which plant will occupy the overlapping zone? The plant has lowest resource concentration in its non-overlapping depletion zone will occupy an overlapping zone at equilibrium by depleting the resource concentration to its lowest. What plant trait confers the competitive superiority? 1.Higher resource capture efficiency; defined by a ratio of resource concentration in rooting zone per unit volume and resource uptake from rooting zone per unit volume. 2. Lower resource concentration in non-overlapping rooting zone 3. Less access to overlapping zone within the neighborhood of interactions. Above three are the measure of competitive superiority and it confers the variation of R* at equilibrium

12 Overlapping depletion zone Overlapping depletion zone Overlapping depletion zone Overlapping depletion zone Overlapping depletion zone Higher resource capture efficiency lower resource concentration in non-overlapping rooting zone Less access to overlapping zone within the neighborhood of interactions Non-overlapping depletion zone Non-overlapping depletion zone Non-overlapping depletion zone Non-overlapping depletion zone Non-overlapping depletion zone

13 Resource-based invasion mechanism Invasive plant trait Native plant trait Lower threshold Upper threshold Range of variation of resource input rate

14 SPATIALABUNDANCESSPATIALABUNDANCES Lower thresholdUpper threshold Resource input rate

15 Relative physiological characters of an invasive species 1. Higher maximal seeds production 2. Lower resource requirement for seeds production 3. Lower mortality rate The invasive species is not necessarily to be a best resource competitor

16 Limit to coexisting plant species Spatially homogenous competitive environment is one in which species’ competitive ranking do not change within the spatial extent of the landscape being considered In this environment species spatially coexist because of competition- colonization trade-off; an appropriate species trait allows spatial coexistence of several plant species. The resource input rate defines the limit to the number of that coexisting plant species. A deterministic formula calculate that number; following parameter values are required : a)resource input rate b) resource transport rate c) habitat resource concentration d) resource requirement of individual species e) maximal rate of seeds production f) resource concentration at which the seeds production is half the maximum

17 Fire-induced successional processes Highest level: general causes of succession Intermediate level: Contributing processes or conditions Site availability Differential species availability Differential species performance Fire-disturbance Seeds pool Germination, establishment Stochastic environmental stress Competition Lower level: Defining factors Resource level Temperature Site history Colonization

18 Effects of fire and definition of resource-based neighborhood Post-fire habitat Pre-fire habitat Burned area Burn nbd. Semi-burn nbd. unburn nbd. The site specific neighborhood center at ‘x’ is defined as a physical space in which resource level is constant. x x ‘ Burn neighborhood centered at ‘x’’ is completely empty. ‘ Semi-burn neighborhood centered at ‘x’’ consists of some occupied sites and some empty sites and the center ‘x’ is empty. ‘ Unburn neighborhood centered at ‘x’’ does not contain any fire affected sites and have an individual occupy the center ‘x’

19 Agents: Burn agent Semi-burn agent Unburn agent x x

20 Simulation scheme Temperature Seeds pool before fire Colonization Germination Establishment Competition- colonization tradeoff R*-rule Species ranking based on time of germination Post-fire vegetation pattern Early Succession Late Succession Semi- burn Agent Unburn- Agent Burn- Agent Germination Establishment Individual-based model with Moore’s neighborhood where state transition calculated by discrete-time Markov chain Natural vegetation dynamics Colonization rate Resource utilization rate Temperature Available seeds pool Species rank based on resource requirement

21 Simulation Steps… Step-1:Classify post-fire habitat based on the definition of site- specific neighborhood Step-2: Creating three agents corresponding three different nbd. Step-3: The ‘burn agent’ locates all burn neighborhoods and the ‘semi-burn agent’ locates all semi-burn neighborhoods in the post- fire habitat. The ‘burn agent’ and ‘semi-burn agent’ act till the early successional individual at target-cell is replaced by late successional individual. Step-4: The ‘unburn agent’ controls natural vegetation dynamics in the portion of the habitat which is not fire affected.

22 Information needed SpatialNon-spatial Habitat information Total number of species in the habitat. It depends on pre-fire habitat history. Life-span of each species. Colonization rate of each species. Life-time N-consumption of each species Post-fire soil temperature Post-fire N level Pre-fire vegetation pattern Post-fire vegetation pattern

23 Advantages…… 1.The model includes post-fire successional processes, i.e. process based. 2. The model is relatively simple and easy to run because less number of data are needed to get series of vegetation patterns correspond to different successional stages. 3. The model has predictable potentiality. 4. The model could be used to determine grassland or shrubland conditions by defining successional indices.

24 Thanks