Drought and Water Resources: NOAA’s Role Dr. Chester Koblinsky, Director, NOAA Climate Program Office 1 May 20, 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

Drought and Water Resources: NOAA’s Role Dr. Chester Koblinsky, Director, NOAA Climate Program Office 1 May 20, 2009

10 YEARS The future ( ): Percent changes in projected runoff Climate, Water, and Drought: A continuum that crosses many time and spatial scales >1 YEAR 30 YEARS 100 YEARS SHORT-TERM- Seasonal INTERANNUAL- Multi-year DECADE-TO- CENTURY 30 DAYS 1-4 SEASONS 22 Annual rainfall below normal during the past two years 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

NOAA Climate Services Water Cycle Changes 3 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

Water Supply…Water Quality…Water Demand… Energy, agriculture, health, urbanization, ecosystem services Climate impacts on water resources and management practices, shared watersheds... Drought and Water Resources: Critical issues How are communities, economies, and the environment affected? 4 What role does NOAA play in reducing and managing risks? Use of climate information to inform proactive decision making Early warning for drought: onset, location, duration, severity, impacts, preparedness plans 4 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

A NOAA-led Federal, State, Tribal and Local Partnership Goal: Enable the Nation to move from a reactive to a more proactive approach to managing drought risks and impacts ( Goal: Enable the Nation to move from a reactive to a more proactive approach to managing drought risks and impacts (Public Law , 2006) ( Natural variability together with near- and longer-term projections for a warmer climate make critical early warning information to support adaptation. National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS): 55 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

NOAA Climate Services Monitoring & Forecasting Drought and Flood Impacts Assessments and Scenarios Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation Information Services in support of planning and decision making Climate, Water, and Drought: NOAA Partners A continuum that crosses many time and spatial scales 66 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

+ = Decision Support Integrated Climate, Ecosystems, Hydrology: Technical Info & Data Watershed, state, tribal, local: Experience & Knowledge ASSESSING CLIMATE INFORMATION USER NEEDS A forum for proactive planning HELPING SOCIETY ADAPT Provide best available information to inform infrastructure development and ongoing adaptation (Coordinate RISAs, RCCs, Climate-Hydromet Test-Beds, NWS Field Offices…. NOAA-Integrated Water Resources Services teams, Coastal Services Center, NIDIS…) NOAA Drought and Water Resources: Beyond The Damage Report Engaging communities and resource managers in assessment and decision support as climate varies and changes 77 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

NOAA Climate Services Decadal variations make the detection of a trend very difficult NOAA-led drought assessments and predictions are widely used by various stakeholders (e.g. states, water utilities) to inform decisions Drought-Related Scientific Research Is Necessary Given Uncertainties 3 rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill

CONTACT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION Jonathan Kelsey, NOAA Legislative Affairs rd Annual NOAA Day on Capitol Hill