© Lloyd’s Paul Hennessy Navigators Underwriting Agency Lloyd’s Dynamics of the reinsurance international market and market perspectives April 2013.

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Presentation transcript:

© Lloyd’s Paul Hennessy Navigators Underwriting Agency Lloyd’s Dynamics of the reinsurance international market and market perspectives April 2013

© Lloyd’s2 ► Agenda - Introduction - Lloyd’s - Navigators - Influencers and outcomes - Alternatives to Reinsurance - Trends - Closing comments

© Lloyd’s 3 Lloyd’s Market Structure SEE: Source: Lloyd’s Annual Report 2011 How the market works Getting covered Thepolicyholder The brokers The coverholders Members Managing agents Syndicates Corporation of Lloyd’s

© Lloyd’s The Lloyd’s market 4

© Lloyd’s Who are Navigators? Navigators Mission Statement We are a global specialty insurer focused on targeted high-margin niches for which the quality of our intellectual capital, both in underwriting and claims, provide a meaningful competitive advantage. We specialize in insuring complex risks that require proven technical expertise, utilizing reinsurance to protect our conservative balance sheet. We always emphasize underwriting profit over market share and conduct our business with integrity, professionalism and pride. Recognized Leader in Specialty Insurance Recognized one of “100 Most Trustworthy Companies” by Forbes.com Ranked as fourth leading U.S. Marine insurer by National Underwriter 96 th Largest U.S. Insurance Group Ranked as fifth in net premium growth Global specialty insurance platform Navigators Syndicate 1221 at Lloyd’s provides global access to desired markets Approximately 35% of Navigators premiums are generated through Syndicate

© Lloyd’s Successful Execution of a Growth and Diversification Strategy 6  2001D&O Chicago Office  2004EXCESS CASUALTY Antwerp Office  2005 ACQUIRED 100% CONTROL OF Lloyd’s Syndicate 1221  2006PRIMARY CASUALTY Inland Marine  2007 ORANGE COUNTY OFFICE Miami Office (Latin America)  2008LLOYD’S CHINA Stockholm Office Environmental New Jersey Office  2009INTERNATIONAL D&O Architect & Engineering Philadelphia Office Pittsburgh Office Charlotte Office Copenhagen Office  2010LLOYD’S BRAZIL Los Angeles Office  2011Navigators Re  2012Commercial Surety Navigators Re Professional Liability

© Lloyd’s ing results to date 7 Source: Lloyd’s pro forma basis, 1) Return on syndicates’ assets, members’ funds at Lloyd’s and central assets £mDec 2010Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Gross written premiums22,59223,47725,500 Combined ratio93.3%106.8%91.1% Investment return 1 1, ,311 Result before tax2,195(516)2,771 Return on capital (pre-tax)12.1%(2.8%)14.1% Lloyd’s Results

© Lloyd’s ► Size of losses to Lloyd’s – US$ 2.2bn - Thailand Floods – US$ 1.95bn - Japan earthquake and tsunami – US$ 1.2bn - New Zealand earthquake – US$ 650m - Australia floods Natural Catastrophe Events

© Lloyd’s Ll9oyd’s 9 Source: Lloyd’s Annual Report 2011 Lloyd’s Gross Written Premiums (2011) Lloyd’s is the fifth largest reinsurer in the world

© Lloyd’s Latin America ► Direct Insurance versus Reinsurance ► Class of Business breakdown USD (million) Lloyd's Direct Insurance65 Lloyd's Reinsurance1,372 Lloyd's Total1,437 Lloyd’s 10USD (million)% Property (D&F) Marine Energy Property Treaty Aviation Casualty Accident & Health Casualty Treaty Overseas Motor Source: Lloyd’s Compare Countries data

© Lloyd’s Capital surplus – reinsurers and insurers Supply and demand gap Reserve releases / profitability of insurers Low Interest rates / weak investment returns Low GDP growth in mature economies / premium impact Hurricane Sandy / Costa Concordia impact / CAT issues Reinsurance Influences 11

© Lloyd’s Change in global GDP 12

© Lloyd’s Size of Economies 13

© Lloyd’s Smaller economic zones are growing faster 14

© Lloyd’s Premium Growth in the world ► Growth in direct insurance premiums written in major non-life insurance markets and regions Developed markets1.1%2.0%2.7%3.6% Emerging markets8.7%7.8%7.2%7.4% World average2.3%3.0%3.5%4.3% ► Real growth in non-life reinsurance premiums Developed markets5.9%2.1%3.7%4.9% Emerging markets15.5%7.7%8.5%7.8% World average8.0%3.4%4.9%5.7% Source: Swiss Re Economic Research & Consulting 15

© Lloyd’s Insurance penetration as a % of GDP 16

© Lloyd’s Insurance penetration as a % of GDP across Latin America 17

© Lloyd’s Superstorm Sandy Loss is estimated at $20 billion Modest impact on shareholder funds. Approx. 4%-5% Less impact on reinsurers than initially anticipated Some classes were particularly impacted by water damage, e.g. specie, power plants Costa Concordia $800 million loss Removal of wreck costs far exceed previous losses “International Group” Reinsurance programme - rate and retention increase 2012 Events 18

© Lloyd’s Current Alternatives to Traditional Reinsurance Traditional reinsurance provides an alternative form of capital to insurers. “Syndicated underwriting” / Coinsurance “Direct” insurers providing capacity “Reinsurers” bypassing cedents Sidecars / Special Purpose Syndicate Insurance-Linked Securities / Cat Bonds Retentions by cedents / Structure of Reinsurance Programmes 19

© Lloyd’s Convergence between insurance and reinsurance Reinsurance profitability in low interest rates world Expense and efficiency gains Need to earn a return on equity that exceeds cost of capital Growth and insurance penetration and need for reinsurance support varies around the world Increased sophistication of models to support business decisions: Capital (SII) Pricing Nat Cat Impact of alternatives to traditional reinsurance (ILS) Trends 20

© Lloyd’s Conclusions 21