Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues Tuesday, 25 September 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Money Matters: Post Heritage Day Blues Tuesday, 25 September 2012

Technical Market Overview Top Down Approach Money Matters Recap Feedback from last month’s meeting Top 5 Technical Trade Ideas Technical analysis Top 5 Investment opportunities Fundamental analysis Summary ConclusionAgenda

International Markets Bullish Support Resistance Resistance

Brent Oil & Gold $ Bullish Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Support Support Resistance Bullish

Exchange Rates US$ Strength US$ Strength Support Resistance Resistance Resistance Channel Triangle Support ZAR Weakness ZAR Weakness

Local Markets Bullish Bullish Support Resistance Resistance Support

JSE Resources 20 Bullish Bullish Resistance Resistance Support

Trade Ideas

 FirstRand (FSR)  Gold Fields (GFI)  BATS (BTI)  Aspen (APN) Previous Trade Ideas

FirstRand (FSR) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Sell / Short Entry: Take Profit: Stop loss: 29.25

Firstrand (FSR) We cut the trade early but original TP reached

Gold Fields (GFI) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Sell / Short Entry: Take Profit: Stop loss:

Gold Fields (GFI) We revised our TP but original TP reach

BATS (BTI) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: Take Profit: Stop loss:

BATS (BTI) SL triggered

Aspen (APN) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Buy / Long Entry: Take Profit: Stop loss:

Aspen (APN) Moving sideways – key resistance broken today

The Stockbroker

Open Trade Ideas Open DateStockDirectionEntryTake ProfitStoplossYesterday CloseP&L % APNLong JDGShort DSYLong IPLLong excluding ZAR380c div NTCShort ACLShort ASALong BAWShort

Open trade Ideas 26.54%

 Stanbank(SBK)  Imperial(IPL)  Sasol (SOL)  Barloworld (BAW) ** morning trade idea  Tiger Brands Ltd (TBS) Trade Spotlight

Stanbank (SBK) Long / Buy – Break above 10650c

Imperial Holdings (IPL) Long / Buy Dividend – 380c

Sasol (SOL) Long / Buy – 36500c Dividend in Oct (8/10/2012) for 1180c Long / Buy – 36500c

Barloworld (BAW) Instrument: CFD / SSF Direction: Short / Sell Entry: Take Profit: Stop loss: 78.50

Tiger Brands (TBS) Long / Buy

Fundamentals & Share picks PSG Online

Fundamentals & Share picks

MTN Group (MTN)

Market Capitalisation = R million (12/09/2012) Revenue grew 17% to R66.4-billion Total subscriber base increased by 6.9% to 176-million. Airtime & subscription revenue grew by 12.5% –Remains biggest contributor to total revenue at 63.2% (2011: 66%) Data revenue increased by 69.6% –Contributed 10% (2011: 7%) to group revenue SMS revenue grew 25.4% Headline earnings & HEPS grew by 14% to R9.9-billion, and cents respectively. Net dividend (After DWT) of cps Dividend Yield = 5.3% MTN Group (MTN) (Highlights)

MTN Group (MTN)

Sasol (SOL)

Market Capitalisation = R million (12/09/2012) Revenue grew 19% to R169-billion –Average crude oil & product prices increased by 17% –Rand/ USD weakened by 11% Headline earnings grew by 25% to R25.5-billion HEPS improved by 19% from 3385 cents to 4228 cents. Final dividend (After DWT) of cps Dividend Yield = 4.7% Sasol (SOL) (Highlights)

Sasol (SOL)

Cashbuild (CSB)

Market Capitalisation = R3.862-million (21/09/2012) Revenue grew 11% to R6.3-billion Headline earnings grew by 26% Basic EPS jumped 91% higher to cents Net dividend (After DWT) of cps –96% higher Dividend Yield = 3.6% Cashbuild (CSB) (Highlights)

Cashbuild (CSB)

Peregrine (PGR)

Market Capitalisation = R2.576-million (05/09/2012) Operating revenue grew 4% to R1.5-billion HEPS increased by 12% from cents to cents Final dividend of 72 cps (106% higher) –Distribution of 3.5 CIL shares for every 100 PGR shares Dividend Yield = 6% Peregrine (PGR) (Highlights)

Peregrine (PGR)

Foneworx (FWX)

Market Capitalisation = R245-million (14/09/2012) Revenue grew 8% to R98.6-million Headline earnings grew by 15% to R22.4-million HEPS increased by 14% to cents Year-end dividend will be declared at a later date Foneworx (FWX) (Highlights)

Foneworx (FWX)

MTN Group (MTN) –Buy Sasol (SOL) –Buy Cashbuild (CSB) –Hold Peregrine (PGR) –Buy LT Foneworx (FWX) –Spec Buy Summary: Fundamental Picks

Fundamental Analysis –Value & Quality Simple Trend Analysis –Price Action / Support & Resistance –Overbought / Oversold levels Money Matters presentation on FaceBook! Facebook –Like! Like! Like! –Comments! Next Money Matters Meeting: –Tuesday, 30 October 2012 Good Luck & Happy Trading!Conclusion

Contact us Travis Robson (011) Lawrence Marshall (011) Shaun van den Berg (011)

This publication has been issued by PSG Online. It is confidential and issued for the information of clients only. It shall not be reproduced in whole or in part without our permission. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources which and persons whom we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed for accuracy, completeness or otherwise. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgement as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This report is provided for informational purposes only. No information contained herein, no opinion expressed and no recommendation made constitutes a representation by us or a solicitation for the purchase of any of the securities mentioned herein and we have no responsibility whatsoever arising here from or in consequence hereof. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mention herein may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisers as they believe necessary and based upon their specific financial situations and investment objectives. The employees of PSG Online may from time to time own securities mentioned herein. Analyst Certification The research analyst who prepared this report certifies that the view expressed herein accurately reflect the research analyst’s personal views about the subject security and issuer and that no part of his compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views contained in this report. Disclaimer