Мировой Рынок Хлопка Андрей Гичунц, МККХ 4 Медународная Ярмарка и Конференция 17 Сентября 2007, Ташкент.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

World Cotton Market: Trends in Supply and Use

Advertisements

Cotton Economic Update National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Amelia Island, Florida August 24-26, 2009 National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board.

Learning Objective # 3 Explain how you can evaluate stock investments. LO#3.

Cotton Economic Update National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting Aug 22-24, 2007.

Rice Situation and Outlook Robert Coats, Professor and Extension Economist Southern Outlook Conference September , 2008 Monthly Rice Rice - protected.

PRESENTATIONat Uzbek Cotton Fair & Textile Conference September 17-19, 2007 by Anis-ul- Haq APTMA.

Department of Economics Risk Environment for Agriculture Agricultural Credit School Ames, Iowa June 8, 2009 Chad Hart Assistant Professor/Grain Markets.

Australian House Prices Rental value of land.

Money Supplement. Adjusting for Inflation/Converting Current Price Series into Constant Price Series One may have a time series of a nominal aggregate,

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook March 2010 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

Agricultural Outlook for Cotton 2012 Darren Hudson, Director, Cotton Economics Research Institute, Texas Tech University Maria Mutuc, Post-Doctoral Associate,

Cotton Economic Outlook National Cotton Council Mid-Year Board Meeting July 9-12, 2006.

Current Situation of Tea Production and Marketing in China Prof. Lin Zhi Tea Research Institute, CAAS The 21 Session of FAO-IGG on Tea.

World Cotton Market In the Next Season Önümüzdeki Sezonda Dünya Pamuk Pazarı Cotton Council International and Cotton Incorporated.

Jaime Malaga, Ph.D. Center for North American Studies Texas Tech University - Department of Agricultural & Applied Economics Recent Trends in U.S. Cotton.

Commodity Situation and Outlook (Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, and Livestock) National Turkey Federation Westin Hotel, Washington, DC October 24, 2011

World Cotton Million Tons. African Cotton Production Million Tons.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook November 2002 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

30 Years of Guessing: Why Forecasts Have Not Improved Terry Townsend CottonAnalytics.com Cotton & Fibers Luncheon USDA Outlook Forum February 21, 2014.

U.S. Cotton Supply December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound.

U.S. Cotton Perspective The Next Steps for Africa October 26, 2006 Woodrow Wilson Center Washington, DC.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook June 2002 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook January 2011 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

Overview of the Global Oilseed Markets Annual Meeting National Cottonseed Products Association Santa Fe, New Mexico May 4, 2009 John Baize.

The U.S. and World Sugar Industries under the EU and DOHA Trade Liberalization Won W. Koo Chamber of Commerce Distinguished Professor and Director

2010 Outlook in Brief A Year for Recovery –Economic growth projected to continue –Cotton demand improving –US acres and production reverse 3 years of.

Cotton Economic Update Beltwide Cotton Conferences January 8-11, 2008 Nashville, TN.

Bt Cotton In AP- Three Years Assessment 14 April 2005 APCIDD-DDS 1 Cotton…..  29.8% of India’s GDP  33% of export earnings  Occupies 20% global area.

1. 2 Prepared for: International Sweetener Colloquium Presenter: Paul Meyers February 10, 2009.

Why US Chicken Exports Could reach 10 Billion Pounds by 2022 and be worth $7 Billion NCC Marketing Committee Meeting - Vermont Paul Aho Ph.D. -

General Economy Real GDP Growth Source: IMF – January 2009.

Macroeconomic Environment US Real GDP World Real GDP.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook May 2011 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

Outlook for World Cotton Supply and Use Armelle Gruère, ICAC ABARE’s Outlook 2010 Conference March 2, 2010.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook National Cotton Council 2003 Mid-Year Board Meeting Nashville, TN August 20-22, 2003 Prepared by: Economic Services.

The Economic Outlook for U.S. Cotton 2004 Prepared by Economic Services Gary Adams Steve Slinsky Shawn Boyd Michelle Huffman.

Nearby NY and “A” Index US Stocks/Use vs NY Futures.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook December 2010 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook April 2008 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

Agricultural Commodity Outlook Gerald A. Bange Chairperson World Agricultural Outlook Board Office of the Chief Economist U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Outlook for World Cotton Supply and Use

1 Global Food Prices, Country Policy Responses and World Bank Support Donald Mitchell DECPG April 24, 2008.

Southern Regional Outlook Conference Atlanta, Georgia September 27, 2000 Cotton Situation and Outlook by Carl G. Anderson Professor and Extension Economist-Cotton.

World Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts Lockup Briefing November 10, 2014.

Price Volatility in the World Cotton Market: Causes, Impacts, and Mitigation Plastina, A. and T. Townsend International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC)

The Economic Outlook for US Cotton 2007 Prepared by Economic Services Gary Adams Steve Slinsky Shawn Boyd Michelle Huffman.

World Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts Lockup Briefing November 10, 2015.

The Asian rubber industry: perspectives for consumption, production and prices ASEAN +3 Rubber Conference Phuket, Thailand April 2013 Dr. Hidde Smit.

World Leading Exporters 2014 Pulp, Paper and Sawn Timber

World Cotton Scenario 17th November, 2016.

U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook September 2017 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council.

The World Cotton Market: Structure and Outlook

2016 – Year in Review Cotton prices experienced significant fluctuations throughout the year In recent months, cotton prices have maintained a stronger.

Cotton Situation and Outlook

75th Plenary Meeting of the ICAC

Role of India in Global Cotton Economy

Cotton Economic Update

2017 – Year in Review Cotton prices stronger relative to competing crops Large world production & ending stocks Growth in world GDP Increased demand for.

Crop Market News Kim Anderson

IMC-MCX.IPF Commodity Market Fundamentals Forum June 14, Mumbai

The Grain Game David Jones, Rob Austin & Gaina Dunsire

The Economic Outlook For U.S. Cotton 2019

Crop Situation and Outlook

World Cotton Supply &Use Outlook Andrei Guitchounts, ICAC

New Orleans, LA Thursday, January 11, 2007

ICF Conference, Coimbatore Presented by: Sandeep Hota

Outlook for Global Cotton Supply and Use

Presentation transcript:

Мировой Рынок Хлопка Андрей Гичунц, МККХ 4 Медународная Ярмарка и Конференция 17 Сентября 2007, Ташкент

Million tons World Production & Consumption Production Consumption

World Ending Stocks Million tons

World Production

World Cotton Yield Kg/ha 756

World Cotton Area and Prices U.S. cts/lb Million hectares

Production by Country Million tons

World Cotton Mill Use Million Tons

Cotton Mill Use China (M), India, and Pakistan Million tons China (Mainland) India Pakistan

World Imports Million tons

World Exports Million tons

Biotech Cotton % of World Cotton Area

ICAC Price Model 1988 Predicts season-average Cotlook A Index Variables: –S/U ratio in world-less-China (M) –Net imports by China (M) as a % of mill use in the rest of the world Predicted prices 2 years in advance Worked relatively well until 2003/04

ICAC Price Model 2007 Predicts season-average Cotlook A Index Variables: –S/MU ratio in World-less-China (M) = most important –S/MU ratio in China (M) Predicts prices one year in advance (ex: April 2008 for 2008/09 season-average) Monthly adjustment of forecast according to actual prices up to that date

Cotlook A Index Season-average (US cents/lb) average 73/74 – 97/98 = 74 cents/lb average 98/99 – 06/07 = 56 cents/lb

Stocks-to-Mill Use Ratio: World-less-China (M)

International Cotton Advisory Committee