California Commercial End-Use Survey Results

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Presentation transcript:

California Commercial End-Use Survey Results Presenter: Bob Ramirez Itron, Inc. Mark Ciminelli CEC Project Manager MAESTRO/CALMAC Evaluation Showcase Pacific Energy Center July 27, 2006

Presentation Overview Objective: Present an overview of the CEUS project and the CEUS report results, and provide an informational “CEUS-in-a-(large)-nutshell” project summary packet. Overview of the CEUS Project and DrCEUS System Primary CEUS Concepts and Definitions CEUS Report Results Availability of Report and Data Questions and Additional Work\Data Requests

Overview of the CEUS Project and DrCEUS System

CEUS Project Objectives To characterize the way in which the commercial sector uses energy (EUIs, load profiles and saturations) To support the end-use forecasting process (baseline values) To support the assessment of energy efficiency opportunities in the commercial sector (measure saturations, applicability factors, impacts) To provide a tool that can be used by the CEC for tailored analysis of commercial energy usage as well as other custom/as-needed data requests

Unique California CEUS Attributes Common Baseline The CEUS study encompasses all four IOUs plus SMUD and provides a common baseline that allows “apples-to-apples” comparison of energy use across the state. Flexible CEUS “System” not Just Data An interface for reviewing and aggregating the site-level results was a primary deliverable, to allow custom aggregation of CEUS data. This is the “DrCEUS System”. Normal Weather Development Normal weather data for 20 weather stations was developed for the CEUS project, which also captured both hot and cold average extremes. Model Visualization Survey form incorporates building geometry aspects that can be used to visually validate the building simulation model construction via eQUEST 3D-view capability.

Key CEUS Stats The final dataset contains 2790 premises: PG&E: 1001 premises SMUD: 300 premises SCE: 1144 premises SDG&E: 345 premises 12 Building Types/Segments 13 End Uses (3 HVAC, 10 NonHVAC) Covers 12 Forecasting Climate Zones (FCZ); sample design was based on FCZs. Limited coverage of all 16 Title 24 Standards Climate Zones (within the FCZs used for CEUS) 20 Weather Stations for the CEUS simulations

Brief Overview of the DrCEUS System

The DrCEUS System DrCEUS!

The DrCEUS System Building simulation uses eQUEST/DOE 2.2 Building characteristics defined through eQuest HVAC Zoning Building Components Variety of Wizard-defined Building Footprints MS Access or SQL Server as data storage facility Survey Data Simulation Support Data Weather Data Results Written using script for easy maintenance

DrCEUS Modes of Operation Site Processor Premise-level simulation tool Both single site and batch processing capability Results displayed graphically Comparison of results Premise management Segment Processor Uses results from premise level data User-defined segment-level aggregation Segment-level results displayed graphically All data exportable to MS Excel workbook

DrCEUS Site Selection Interface

Example DrCEUS System Graphics

Primary CEUS Concepts and Definitions

Primary CEUS Concepts and Definitions Read CEUS Report Chapter 7 Utility Service Areas Building Types/Segments 13 End Uses (3 HVAC, 10 NonHVAC) Climate/Weather Regions Premise is a single contiguous business; can be part of a building, a single building, or a campus. EIs (Energy Intensities) use whole premise floor area End Use Indexes (EUIs) use end-use/fuel floor areas Fuel Shares

Building Types/Segments 12 conventional building types were used for the CEUS Report Small Office (<30,000 ft2) Large Office (>=30,000 ft2) Restaurant Retail Food/Liquor Unrefrigerated Warehouse Refrigerated Warehouse School College Health Care Hotel/Motel Miscellaneous However DrCEUS can be used to create custom building type segments to focus in on specific building types using any set of premises, and using any of the variables available on the CEUS data set as criteria.

13 CEUS End Uses 3 HVAC End Uses 10 Non-HVAC End Uses Space Heating Space Cooling Ventilation 10 Non-HVAC End Uses Water Heating Office Equipment Cooking Miscellaneous Equipment Refrigeration Air Compressors Interior Lighting Motors (non-HVAC) Exterior Lighting Process Equipment

Forecasting Climate Zones Covered by CEUS Utility 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 PG&E 6 SMUD 7, 8, 9, 10 SCE 11, 12 LADWP 13 SDG&E 14, 15 Other 16 BGP3

Distribution of Surveyed Sites by FCZ Bldg Type Code Description PGE 1 2 3 4 5 SMUD 6 SCE 7 8 9 10 SCGE S07* SDGE S10* SOFF Small Office (<30k ft2) 18 25 33 30 49 19 24 LOFF Large Office (>=30k ft2) 31 79 63 26 38 REST Restaurant 13 22 29 17 20 RETL Retail 45 67 11 96 57 54 44 GROC Food Store 27 40 36 15 REFW Refrigerated Warehouse 12 WRHS Unrefrigerated Warehouse 16 SCHL School 14 COLL College HLTH Health 23 28 LODG Lodging MISC Miscellaneous 61 66 84 100 73 52 * S07 and S10 are SDG&E FCZ13 Coastal and Interior strata

Standards Climate Zone and CEUS Weather Stations 20 Weather Stations were used for the CEUS project (represented by the blue dots  in the figure to the left). There are multiple weather stations for Title 24 Climate Zones 3 (split into 3A/3B/3C), 10 (split into 10A/10B), and 16 (split into 16A/16B). Premises were assigned to these weather stations based on zip code.

Distribution of Surveyed Sites by T24StdsCZ (CTZ) Bldg Type Code Description 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 SOFF Small Office (<30k ft2) 8 25 2 27 23 22 9 52 4 1 LOFF Large Office (>=30k ft2) 3 66 26 40 37 30 20 REST Restaurant 17 36 RETL Retail 53 6 42 69 29 45 96 35 GROC Food Store 7 32 18 24 REFW Refrigerated Warehouse 5 WRHS Unrefrigerated Warehouse SCHL School COLL College HLTH Health 34 LODG Lodging MISC Miscellaneous 68 54 49 73 63 125 NOTE: There are many strata with zeroes because 1) the sample did not cover all T24 climate zones, 2) all building types may not be present in all climate zones or 3) the sample was small and a building type in that climate zone strata could not be recruited for the survey.

CEUS Report Overview

CEUS Report Overview CEC Report #: CEC-400-2006-005, March 2006 Key Sections of the Report (325 pg, 11Mb w/o Appdx!) Sample Design Survey Design and Implementation Electric and Natural Gas Consumption Data Simulation Modeling Software DrCEUS Energy Simulation and Calibration Process Analysis of Commercial Segments-Key Concepts Results (Statewide, Electric IOUs, and SMUD) Summary and Recommendations Appendices (Survey materials, simulation algorithms, SIC code to CEUS bldg types, etc.) Affiliated Reports (Weather and Sample Design)

CEUS Affiliated Reports (Weather) Weather and Data Normalization Report Describes development of the normal weather data used for the final CEUS simulations. Issues addressed include: Selection of specific variables used to evaluate and define normal weather Choice of climate zones used to represent the various microclimates in California, and which specific weather stations to represent these climate zones, and The process used to convert weather conditions to “normal” values The range of years considered in computing normal values of weather variables

CEUS Affiliated Reports (Sample Design) Final Sample Design Development of the sample design involved the investigation of a variety of different sample design approaches. Topics covered include: Definition of the sampling unit as a “premise” Description and summary of sample frames constructed from utility billing data Sample size, sample allocation, minimum quota issues Description of the various stratification approaches that were examined and considered Special issues (e.g. two strata for the single SDG&E Forecasting climate zone) Final approach used for the CEUS sample design

CEUS Report Results

CEUS Service Area Results Results are available for five “service areas” “Statewide” (see clarification below) PG&E SCE SMUD SDG&E “Statewide” in the CEUS report refers to the combined service areas of the four electric utilities represented in the CEUS study Results not presented for SCG because much of the SCG service area is excluded from the study (sample design based on electric service areas).

CEUS Report Result Summary Table/Figure Headings Figure (type) Table (units) Service Area Results   Overview of Energy Usage (floor stock, Eis, usage) ft2, EI, GWh/Mth Electricity Use by Building Type Pie-chart Natural Gas Use by Building Type Electric Use by Bldg Type and End Use kWh/yr Electric Energy Intensities by Bldg Type and End Use kWh/ft2-yr Natural Gas Use by Bldg Type and End Use Mth/yr Natural Gas Energy Intensities by Bldg Type and End Use kBtu/ft2-yr Building Segment Results Electric EUIs, Fuel Shares, and EIs EUI, shares, EI Natural Gas EUIs, Fuel Shares, and EIs 16-Day Hourly End-use Load Shapes (electric-only) DrCEUS graphic

Service Area Results Example: Statewide Results

Statewide Overview of Energy Use Annual Energy Intensities Total Annual Usage Building Type Floor Stock (kft2) Electricity (kWh/ft2) Natural Gas (therms/ft2) Natural Gas (kBtu/ft2) Electricity (GWh) Natural Gas (Mtherms) All Commercial 4,920,114 13.63 0.26 25.99 67077 1278.60 Small Office (<30k ft2) 361,584 13.10 0.11 10.54 4738 38.10 Large Office (>=30k ft2) 660,429 17.70 0.22 21.93 11691 144.80 Restaurant 148,892 40.20 2.10 209.98 5986 312.60 Retail 702,053 14.06 0.05 4.62 9871 32.50 Food Store 144,209 40.99 0.28 27.60 5911 39.80 Refrigerated Warehouse 95,540 20.02 0.06 5.60 1913 5.30 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 554,166 4.45 0.03 3.07 2467 17.00 School 445,106 7.46 0.16 15.97 3322 71.10 College 205,942 12.26 0.34 34.24 2524 70.50 Health 232,606 19.61 0.76 75.53 4561 175.70 Lodging 270,044 12.13 0.42 42.40 3275 114.50 Miscellaneous 1,099,544 9.84 0.23 23.34 10817 256.60 All Offices 1,022,012 16.08 0.18 17.90 16430 182.90 All Warehouses 649,706 6.74 3.44 4380 22.40

Statewide: Electricity Use by Bldg Type

Statewide Natural Gas Use by Bldg Type

Statewide Electricity Use By End Use

Statewide Natural Gas Use By End Use

Statewide Electricity Use (GWh) by Bldg Type and End Use Building Type Heat Cool Vent. Refrig. WH Cook Int. Ltg. Ext. Ltg. Office Equip. Misc. Air Comp. Motors Proc. Total All Commercial 1,087 10,017 8,000 9,014 611 2,805 19,265 3,916 4782 3924 204 2811 642 67,077 Small Office 72 943 467 208 90 38 1,386 343 793 283 1 79 36 4,739 Large Office 322 2358 2,019 268 80 77 2,945 324 2365 383 18 474 60 11,691 Restaurant 7 858 482 1,469 56 1,546 961 300 94 168 41 3 5,986 Retail 55 1553 1,267 726 96 157 4,246 644 483 37 201 64 9,871 Food Store 12 415 372 3,233 20 266 1,233 137 54 138 26 6 5,911 Refrigerated Warehouse 2 31 23 1284 262 33 17 4 174 22 1,913 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 183 156 154 1,223 145 131 215 9 162 32 2,467 School 520 429 225 43 78 1,281 330 206 110 3,322 College 159 393 423 95 25 790 188 148 100 119 28 2,524 Health 166 901 940 101 1,119 132 200 586 181 50 4,561 Lodging 114 650 244 185 945 165 46 301 128 3,275 Miscellaneous 104 1,212 941 942 287 2,874 1,175 386 1103 129 1190 10,817 All Offices 3,301 2,485 476 171 115 4,331 666 3157 19 553 16,430 All Warehouses 214 179 1,438 15 1,485 178 270 13 336 4,380

Statewide Electric Energy Intensities (kWh/ft2-yr) by Bldg Type and End Use Total Heat Cool Vent. Refrig. WH Cook Int. Ltg. Ext. Ltg. Office Equip. Misc. Air Comp. Motors Proc. 13.63 0.22 2.04 1.63 1.83 0.12 0.57 3.92 0.80 0.97 0.04 0.13 13.10 0.20 2.61 1.29 0.58 0.25 0.10 3.83 0.95 2.19 0.78 0.00 17.70 0.49 3.57 3.06 0.41 4.46 3.58 0.03 0.72 0.09 40.20 0.05 5.76 3.24 9.87 0.38 10.38 6.45 2.02 0.63 1.13 0.01 0.27 0.02 14.06 0.08 2.21 1.81 1.03 0.14 6.05 0.92 0.69 0.29 40.99 2.88 2.58 22.42 1.85 8.55 0.37 0.18 20.02 0.33 0.24 13.44 2.74 0.35 0.17 1.82 0.23 4.45 0.28 0.26 0.39 0.06 7.46 1.17 0.96 0.50 0.74 0.46 12.26 0.77 1.91 2.05 3.84 0.91 19.61 0.71 3.87 4.04 0.43 4.81 0.86 2.52 12.13 0.42 2.41 1.79 0.90 0.68 3.50 0.61 1.11 0.48 9.84 1.10 1.07 1.00 1.08 0.30 16.08 3.23 2.43 0.47 0.11 4.24 0.65 3.09 0.54 6.74 2.29 0.52

Statewide Natural Gas Usage (Mtherms) by Building Type and End Use Heat Cool WH Cook Misc. Proc. Total All Commercial 465.50 19.10 406.70 289.10 23.00 75.20 1278.60 Small Office 31.20 0.00 6.00 0.50 0.10 0.40 38.10 Large Office 113.70 3.60 17.20 1.50 0.70 8.10 144.80 Restaurant 11.50 72.40 228.20 312.60 Retail 21.20 5.50 1.90 0.30 32.50 Food Store 13.70 11.00 14.90 39.80 Refrigerated Warehouse 0.80 1.20 2.70 5.30 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 14.80 1.80 0.20 17.00 School 44.60 0.60 20.90 4.70 71.10 College 40.80 7.10 17.30 3.40 70.50 Health 76.10 73.00 7.80 11.80 175.70 Lodging 19.70 78.20 11.90 3.90 114.50 Miscellaneous 77.40 4.00 102.70 11.20 10.90 50.30 256.60 All Offices 144.90 23.20 2.00 8.40 182.90 All Warehouses 15.60 2.60 2.80 22.40

Statewide Natural Gas Energy Intensities (kBtu/ft2-yr) by Bldg Type and End Use Building Type Total Heat Cool WH Cook Misc. Proc. All Commercial 26.00 9.50 0.40 8.30 5.90 0.50 1.50 Small Office 10.50 8.60 0.00 1.70 0.10 Large Office 21.90 17.20 2.60 0.20 1.20 Restaurant 210.00 7.70 48.60 153.30 0.30 Retail 4.60 3.00 0.80 Food Store 27.60 10.30 Refrigerated Warehouse 5.60 2.80 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 3.10 2.70 School 16.00 10.00 4.70 1.10 College 34.20 19.80 3.50 8.40 0.90 Health 75.50 32.70 1.60 31.40 3.40 1.40 5.10 Lodging 42.40 7.30 29.00 4.40 Miscellaneous 23.30 7.00 9.30 1.00 All Offices 17.90 14.20 2.30 All Warehouses 2.40

Building Segment Results Example: Statewide, All Commercial

Building Segment Results Electric and natural gas EIs, EUIs, and Fuel Shares are presented for: 12 building types previously defined plus 3 additional segments: All Commercial, All Offices, and All Warehouses Only the results for the All Commercial segment are presented here as an example.

Statewide Commercial Electric EUIs, Fuel Shares, and EIs End Use Electric EUI (kWh/End-Use ft2) Electric Fuel Share Electric EI (kWh/ft2) Heating 0.53 41.40 0.22 Cooling 2.97 68.60 2.04 Ventilation 2.16 75.10 1.63 Water Heating 0.27 45.70 0.12 Cooking 0.62 91.50 0.57 Refrigeration 1.94 94.40 1.83 Interior Lighting 3.92 99.90 Office Equipment 0.99 98.40 0.97 Exterior Lighting 0.89 89.60 0.80 Miscellaneous 0.87 91.30 Process 1.91 2.20 0.04 Motors 57.70 Air Compressors 0.36 36.60 0.13 All End Uses 13.63

Statewide Commercial Natural Gas EUIs, Fuel Shares, and EIs End Use Natural Gas EUI (kBtu/End-Use ft2) Natural Gas Fuel Share Natural Gas EI (kBtu/ft2) Heating 16.91 55.90 9.46 Cooling 25.68 1.50 0.39 Water Heating 14.47 57.10 8.27 Cooking 20.66 28.40 5.88 Miscellaneous 4.36 10.70 0.47 Process 46.92 3.30 1.53 All End Uses 26.00

Statewide Commercial 16-Day Hourly End-Use Shapes

PG&E Results Summary

PG&E Overview of Energy Use Annual Energy Intensities Total Annual Usage Building Type Floor Stock (kft2) Electricity (kWh/ft2) Natural Gas (therms/ft2) Natural Gas (kBtu/ft2) Electricity (GWh) Natural Gas (Mtherms) All Commercial 1,969,884 12.95 0.29 28.67 25,506 564.80 Small Office (<30k ft2) 125,802 13.49 0.18 18.02 1,697 22.70 Large Office (>=30k ft2) 300,528 16.77 0.24 23.94 5,039 71.90 Restaurant 65,534 33.12 1.84 183.53 2,170 120.30 Retail 275,427 12.19 0.07 7.31 3,357 20.10 Food Store 55,797 40.54 0.34 34.46 2,262 19.20 Refrigerated Warehouse 60,854 18.5 0.05 4.5 1,126 2.70 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 156,643 4.87 4.88 763 7.60 School 193,432 6.82 0.22 21.75 1,319 42.10 College 80,661 11.94 0.37 37.46 963 30.20 Health 79,803 18.51 0.92 91.65 1,477 73.10 Lodging 113,929 9.78 0.38 38.14 1,115 43.50 Miscellaneous 461,474 9.14 24.11 4,219 111.30 All Offices 426,330 15.8 22.19 6,736 94.60 All Warehouses 217,497 8.68 4.77 1,889 10.40

PG&E Energy Use by Building Type Electricity Natural Gas

PG&E Energy Use by End Use Electricity Natural Gas

SMUD Results Summary

SMUD Overview of Energy Use Annual Energy Intensities Total Annual Usage Building Type Floor Stock (kft2) Electricity (kWh/ft2) Natural Gas (therms/ft2) Natural Gas (kBtu/ft2) Electricity (GWh) Natural Gas (Mtherms) All Commercial 227,831 16.50 0.27 26.87 3759 61.20 Small Office (<30k ft2) 18,469 12.41 0.08 8.10 229 1.50 Large Office (>=30k ft2) 42,848 19.95 0.20 19.77 855 8.50 Restaurant 6,132 46.81 1.83 183.45 287 11.20 Retail 44,597 14.28 0.07 6.62 637 3.00 Food Store 5,582 44.79 0.29 28.99 250 1.60 Refrigerated Warehouse 2,722 16.85 0.02 1.58 46 0.00 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 15,307 3.76 0.01 0.64 58 0.10 School 20,005 9.16 0.18 18.45 183 3.70 College 11,968 10.84 0.32 32.48 130 3.90 Health 11,169 23.06 0.75 74.83 258 8.40 Lodging 9,691 12.26 0.42 41.54 119 4.00 Miscellaneous 39,342 18.00 0.39 38.95 708 15.30 All Offices 61,316 17.68 0.16 16.25 1084 10.00 All Warehouses 18,028 5.74 0.78 103

SMUD Energy Use by Building Type Electricity Natural Gas

SMUD Energy Use by End Use Electricity Natural Gas

SCE Results Summary

SCE Overview of Energy Use Annual Energy Intensities Total Annual Usage Building Type Floor Stock (kft2) Electricity (kWh/ft2) Natural Gas (therms/ft2) Natural Gas (kBtu/ft2) Electricity (GWh) Natural Gas (Mtherms) All Commercial 2,142,359 13.69 0.23 23.30 29,321 499.20 Small Office (<30k ft2) 157,884 13.25 0.08 8.05 2,091 12.70 Large Office (>=30k ft2) 227,225 17.91 0.13 12.98 4,071 29.50 Restaurant 61,623 46.19 2.49 249.14 2,846 153.50 Retail 309,601 15.36 0.02 2.46 4,755 7.60 Food Store 63,820 41.71 0.22 21.81 2,662 13.90 Refrigerated Warehouse 30,031 22.41 8.08 673 2.40 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 353,765 4.29 1,517 8.70 School 176,999 8.22 0.12 12.13 1,454 21.50 College 64,809 13.62 0.24 24.01 883 15.60 Health 106,471 20.30 0.68 68.32 2,161 72.70 Lodging 112,405 13.28 0.41 40.95 1,493 46.00 Miscellaneous 477,725 9.87 24.07 4,714 115.00 All Offices 385,110 16.00 0.11 10.96 6,162 42.20 All Warehouses 383,796 5.71 0.03 2.90 2,190 11.10

SCE Energy Use by Building Type Electricity Natural Gas

SCE Energy Use by End Use Electricity Natural Gas

SDG&E Results Summary

SDG&E Overview of Energy Use Annual Energy Intensities Total Annual Usage Building Type Floor Stock (kft2) Electricity (kWh/ft2) Natural Gas (therms/ft2) Natural Gas (kBtu/ft2) Electricity (GWh) Natural Gas (Mtherms) All Commercial 580,041 14.64 0.26 26.45 8,491 153.40 Small Office (<30k ft2) 59,429 12.13 0.02 2.07 721 1.20 Large Office (>=30k ft2) 89,827 19.23 0.39 38.86 1,727 34.90 Restaurant 15,604 43.73 1.77 176.82 682 27.60 Retail 72,428 15.49 2.44 1,122 1.80 Food Store 19,010 38.79 0.27 26.53 737 5.00 Refrigerated Warehouse 1,933 35.31 0.07 7.12 68 0.10 Unrefrigerated Warehouse 28,451 4.54 2.08 129 0.60 School 54,671 6.69 7.03 366 3.80 College 48,504 11.32 0.43 42.97 549 20.80 Health 35,163 18.92 0.61 61.02 665 21.50 Lodging 34,019 16.10 0.62 61.75 548 21.00 Miscellaneous 121,002 9.72 0.12 12.41 1,176 15.00 All Offices 149,257 16.40 0.24 24.21 2,448 36.10 All Warehouses 30,384 6.50 2.40 197 0.70

SDG&E Energy Use by Building Type Electricity Natural Gas

SDG&E Energy Use by End Use Electricity Natural Gas

PG&E versus SDG&E Select Comparisons

PG&E\SDG&E Electricity Use by Building Type Comparison

PG&E\SDG&E Electric End Use Comparison

PG&E\SDG&E Natural Gas End Use Comparison

The analysis possibilities are endless……..

Availability of Report and Data CEC Report ID#: CEC-400-2006-005 Report publicly available on CALMAC website: CALMAC Study ID#: CEC0023 Report and presentation available on Itron website: http://www.itron.com/pages/products_detail.asp?ID=itr_000806.xml&pgtype=&subID=ar#ar Segment-level results data will also be made publicly available Premise-level data currently only available to utilities that participated in the CEUS survey. CEUS data currently being used by CEC PIER for benchmarking effort.

Questions and Work/Data Requests Itron Contacts: Tom Mayer: tom.mayer@itron.com Bob Ramirez: bob.ramirez@itron.com CEC Contacts: Mark Ciminelli: mciminel@energy.state.ca.us Mohsen Abrishami: Mabrisha@energy.state.ca.us