VERMONT’S ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT Agency of Natural Resources An introduction to town planning for natural resources

Vermont is 75% Forested Some estimates are 20%

(Bountied in 1779) Caribou Elk Wolverine Bison Mountain Lion Wolf Marten Lynx White-tailed Deer Beaver Fisher Moose Turkey Coyote Virginia Opossum Black Bear (concern of too many) (Population numbers drop precipitously) Wildlife History

Forest Cover Across the State Forest (71%) Non-Forest (21%) Water (8%)

Losing Habitat  Vermont designated one of “America’s most endangered places.”  Rate of development is 2.5 times rate of population growth.  , 75 square miles were developed in VT (7X the area of Burlington). Vermonters for a Sustainable Population

Land-based Culture?  Fewer jobs tied to the land  Land based economy has shifted to tourism and recreation

“Photo from Above and Beyond.“ Campoli, J., Humstone, E., & MacLean, A Changing Growth Patterns St. Albans Vermont, 2002

dispersed, auto- dependent development outside of compact urban and village centers, along highways, and in rural countryside. (SmartGrowth Vermont) Sprawl “Photos from Above and Beyond." Campoli, J., Humstone, E., & MacLean, A

Pattern Matters More intense fragmented forest in a rural community Less fragmented forest in a rural community Forest Fragmentation

Parcelization "Above and Beyond: " Campoli, J., Humstone, E., & MacLean, A. Planners Press. Chicago, Illinois. 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s

81% of Land in Vermont is Privately Owned Privately Held Land in Vermont Private Public

Auto Dependent Employment □625,741 people in VT □67.9% or 424,899 Vermonters are in the workforce □Of the working Vermonters 75% or 318,600 drive alone □Most drive 10 – 25 miles each way

Population and Housing Trends By 2030, Vermont’s population is expected to increase by 14% with and additional 86,000 residents. U.S. Census, Vermont Housing Finance Agency, Transition Vermont, 2009 Since 2000, there have been approximately 1,400 new households annually. Development Outpaces Population

Economic Contributions  Outdoor recreation supports 35,000 jobs  $4.1 million from hunting, fishing and wildlife watching  $187 million annually in state tax revenue  $2.5 billion annually in retail sales and services

Biological Diversity in Vermont □There are between 24,000 – 43,000 species in Vermont. □Most species we know little about Vermont Biodiversity Project

Loss of Wetlands Fragmentation hurts ecological function

Invasive Species on the Rise  2/3 of VT’s trees are at risk to 3 invasive tree pests  Non-native plants are outcompeting native ones, reducing biodiversity  Water quality and recreation are impacted by aquatic invasives

Pollution Phosphorus Concentrations in Lake Champlain affects water quality, recreation, transportation and aesthetics

Map: Progress Report of the Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force: Recommended Actions in Support of a National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy, October 5, Changes in Precipitation

Climate Change Forecasts From Union of Concerned Scientists – Confronting Climate Change in the Northeast (NECIA 2007)  Current: Temperatures have increased 1.8°F since 1970, with winter rising faster.  Projected: Average temperatures are projected to rise 9°F to 13° F in winter by late-century.  Current: Precipitation has increased 15-20% over the past 50 years with 67% of this falling in heavy precipitation events.  Projected: Winter precipitation will increase on the order of 20-30% with less snow - more rain.  Projected: Short-term summer droughts are projected to occur 2x as often

Changing Climate Trends  More frequent hot (over 90), humid days  Longer growing seasons  Worsening of air quality in areas where problems already exist  Increased heavy downpours  More frequent winter thaws and earlier springs  Less winter precipitation falling as snow and more as rain  Earlier spring snowmelt resulting in earlier peak river flows  More frequent short-term droughts in late summer and fall

Ecosystem resiliency Connect areas of physical landscape diversity for climate change adaptation A Resilient Landscape has space for dynamic natural processes

Watersheds

Habitat Blocks Areas of natural cover surrounded by roads, development and agriculture □Interior forest habitat and intact ecological processes

Raccoon Hare Coyote Small rodent Porcupine Bobcat Cottontail Beaver Black bear Squirrel Weasel Mink Fisher Woodchuck Deer Muskrat Moose Red fox Songbirds Sharp-shinned hawk Bald eagle Skunk Cooper’s hawk Harrier Broad-winged hawk Goshawk Kestrel Red-tailed hawk Horned owl Raven Barred owl Osprey Turkey vulture Turkey Reptiles Garter snake Ring-neck snake Amphibians Wood frog Wildlife present in Forest Patches Raccoon Hare Small rodent Porcupine Cottontail Beaver Squirrel Weasel Mink Woodchuck Deer Muskrat Moose Red fox Songbirds Sharp-shinned hawk Bald eagle Skunk Cooper’s hawk Harrier Broad-winged hawk Goshawk Kestrel Red-tailed hawk Horned owl Raven Barred owl Osprey Turkey vulture Turkey Reptiles Garter snake Ring-neck snake Amphibians Wood frog Raccoon Hare Small rodent Porcupine Cottontail Beaver Squirrel Weasel Mink Woodchuck Deer Muskrat Red fox Songbirds Sharp-shinned hawk Skunk Cooper’s hawk Harrier Broad-winged hawk Kestrel Horned owl Barred owl Osprey Turkey vulture Turkey Reptiles Garter snake Ring-neck snake Most Amphibians Wood frog Raccoon Hare Small rodent Porcupine Cottontail Beaver Squirrel Weasel Woodchuck Muskrat Red fox Songbirds Skunk Most Reptiles Garter snake Ring-neck snake Most Amphibians Raccoon Small rodent Cottontail Squirrel Muskrat Red fox Songbirds Skunk Most Reptiles Most Amphibians Tier 1 Undeveloped Tier acre blocks Tier acre blocks Tier acre blocks Tier acre blocks From Above and Beyond." Campoli, J., Humstone, E., & MacLean, A

(DeGraaf & Rudis 1986) Moose 1, ,800 ac Black Bear 19,200 ac (SGCN) Bobcat 5,760 ac (SGCN) Fisher 4, ,600 ac River Otter linear miles (SGCN) Area Dependent Mammal Species

Vermont Biodiversity Project Does conservation in your town adequately address? Elevation zones Bedrock & Surficial geology zones Diversity in the physical landscape Conserved Land by Elevation