Early Observations Regarding Health Insurance Exchanges Marketplace Competition, Enrollment, and Pricing in 2014 and 2015 Cynthia Cox, Kaiser Family Foundation.

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Presentation transcript:

Early Observations Regarding Health Insurance Exchanges Marketplace Competition, Enrollment, and Pricing in 2014 and 2015 Cynthia Cox, Kaiser Family Foundation February 24, 2015

Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of Mark Farrah Associates TM data Before the ACA, most states’ individual insurance markets were highly concentrated

Pre-ACA individual market –Highly concentrated –Medical underwriting hampered competition Exchanges were created to: –Expand access –Encourage insurers to participate –Promote competition Background on health insurance exchanges

2014 –About 8 million signed up by end of open enrollment –28% of potential market –Most received financial assistance (85%) –Most picked silver (65%) and bronze (20%) 2015 –6.7 million still enrolled at beginning of open enrollment –Approx million signed up by end of open enrollment –Vast majority receive financial assistance Who is buying on the exchanges? Kaiser Family Foundation State Health Facts

2015 Marketplace signups in states using HealthCare.gov Percentage of potential market signed up varies by state Kaiser Family Foundation State Health Facts

Insurer participation has increased in most state Marketplaces Kaiser Family Foundation State Health Facts

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Sizing Up Exchange Market Competition” March 1, 2014 Market Share of Insurers in California’s Individual Market (2012) and Exchange (as of Feb. 28, 2014)

Market Share of Insurers in New York’s Individual Market (2012) and Exchange (as of Dec. 30, 2013) Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Sizing Up Exchange Market Competition” March 1, 2014

Market Share of Insurers in Minnesota’s Individual Market (2012) and Exchange (as of Feb. 19, 2014) Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Sizing Up Exchange Market Competition” March 1, 2014

Market Share of Insurers in Connecticut’s Individual Market (2012) and Exchange (as of Feb. 18, 2014) Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, “Sizing Up Exchange Market Competition” March 1, 2014

Notes: Premiums indicate the amount a 40-year-old would need to spend on the second-lowest cost silver plan in a given county or region. Source: Premiums for state-based exchanges were obtained through a Kaiser Family Foundation review of insurer rate filings to state regulators. Premiums for federally-facilitated and partnership exchanges were obtained from data published by HealthCare.gov, as of January 22, 2014, available at Monthly Premium What Americans paid for the second-lowest cost silver plan in 2014, before tax credits

The difference in premiums Americans pay for the second- lowest cost silver plan from 2014 to 2015, before tax credits Notes: The premium changes shown are for the second-lowest cost silver (“benchmark”) plan available to a 40-year-old in a given county or region. Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of insurer rate filings to state regulators and premium data published by HealthCare.gov, available at

Individual market highly concentrated Marketplace insurer participation increased Some marketplaces are more competitive than pre-ACA, but no guarantee of early success Trends in the future: –Narrow networks –Migration to self-insurance among small employers –Private exchanges Trends & Lessons from first 2 years