Global Financial Imbalances: The Future Impact of Asian and Middle East Surpluses Karen Johnson April 24, 2006
Exchange Rates: Chinese RMB Source: FRB weights
Exchange Rates: Korean Won Source: FRB weights
Exchange Rates: Japanese Yen Source: FRB weights
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Source: IMF WEO
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Source: IMF WEO *Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan
Global Oil Prices (WTI) Source: Commodity Research Bureau
Revenue Flows to Fuel Exporters Source: IMF WEO
Foreign Exchange Reserves Source: IMF *Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong
Foreign Exchange Reserves: Aggregate of Fuel Exporters Source: IMF *No data available for Turkmenistan, Iran, Iraq, or Syria **2005 data not yet available for Angola, Rep. of Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Sudan, Bahrain, UAE, or Yemen
Portfolio Inflows to the United States Source: Treasury International Capital System ( *Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Hong Kong **Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE
Inflation: Consumer Prices Source: IMF WEO
Gross Issuance of Chinese Sterilization Bonds Source: Bloomberg
Distortions Implicit subsidy to exports Distort allocation of domestic fixed investment Continue to attract capital inflow
Downside of Reserve Accumulation Complications posed for monetary policy Distortions on bank behavior Limits on financial sector development Price signals altered by the exchange rate