The comparation of weather types in the years of extreme drought over Croatia Dunja Plačko-Vršnak, Krunoslav Mikec, Marija Mokorić Meteorological and Hydrological.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
AGENZIA REGIONALE PER LA PROTEZIONE DELLAMBIENTE DELLA SARDEGNA ARPAS Andrea Motroni Climate, climate change and desertification.
Advertisements

Draw a picture that represents yesterdays weather…. (You have 30 seconds!).
Summer 2009 Western Fire Season Outlook Overview Significant fire potential is expected to be above normal across much of California, Florida, central.
Plant Sector Workshop March 21, MIT – Progress on the Science of Weather and Climate ExtremesMarch 29, 2012 Motivation –Billion-dollar Disasters.
Eastern Great Basin May, June, July/August Monthly/Seasonal Outlook Shelby Law EGBCC Predictive Services Meteorologist.
5.11 THE FORECASTING OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS IN UKRAINE CAUSED BY SOUTHERN CYCLONES Geyko Ludmila State Hydrometeorological Service, Kiev, Ukraine.
Diana-Corina BOSTAN National Meteorological Administration ROMANIA.
A Look Back at 2011/ A Look Ahead at 2012 John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service Little Rock, Arkansas.
National Institute of Meteorology, Tunisia
Climate Impacts Discussion: What economic impacts does ENSO have? What can we say about ENSO and global climate change? Are there other phenomena similar.
Outline Further Reading: Chapter 11 of the text book - dry and moist subtropical climate regimes - mediterranean regimes - dry mid-latitude and moist continental.
Climate.
Climate Events and Impacts over China in 2012 HUANG Dapeng National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration 1.
Warm Up 3/31/08 1.True or False: More water vapor can exist in warm air than cold air. 2.Explain briefly how wind forms. 3.What are low, sheetlike clouds.
Assessing changes in mean climate, extreme events and their impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean environment and society C. Giannakopoulos 1, M. Petrakis.
Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Grič 3, HR Zagreb, Croatia FORECASTING BORA WIND AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE AT.
Air Masses and Fronts – I. Air Masses A large (thousands of kms) body of air with more or less uniform properties in any horizontal direction at any given.
U1LG3: Climates & Biomes Criteria for Success:
Department of Meteorology Eötvös Loránd University Budapest, Hungary Judit Bartholy, Rita Pongrácz SUBJECTIVE SYNOPTIC CLASSIFICATIONS: HESS-BREZOWSKY.
Comparative analysis of climatic variability characteristics of the Svalbard archipelago and the North European region based on meteorological stations.
Prepared: Nemanja Nikolic VI/2 Prepared: Nemanja Nikolic VI/2.
Projections of Future Climate from the GCMs Peter J. Sousounis Geography Department Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
Constructing Climate Graphs
TRENDS IN U.S. EXTREME SNOWFALL SEASONS SINCE 1900 Kenneth E. Kunkel NOAA Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites - NC David R. Easterling National.
Influence of the blended ship log book and station SLP data set on Mediterranean temperature & precipitation back to 1750 June Jürg Luterbacher.
West Virginia Climate. Climate refers to the average weather of a region over a long period of time.
July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.
Air Masses. Differences in air pressure are caused by unequal heating of Earth’s surface – creates wind patterns – Deflects in a curved path because of.
AREA OF CLIMATOLOGY
Long-term changes in frequencies of wind directions on the western coast of Estonia Jaak Jaagus Institute of Geography, University of Tartu Second International.
 The Seasons –The seasons occur because of the tilt of the Earth’s axis.
Studies of IGBP-related subjects in Northern Eurasia at the Laboratory of Climatology, Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences Andrey B.Shmakin.
What Causes Our Daily Weather To Change? Change in our weather is a result of a change in air masses.
Climate Factors that affect our Climate. Weather The day-to-day characteristics of temperature, rain, cloud cover and wind Why is it important to know/inquire.
France John A. Borkowski/Malcolm G. Peters. Thermohaline Circulation: part of the large-scale ocean circulation that is driven by global density gradients.
BRITISH WEATHER. What is the British weather like? The climate is generally mild and temperate. The temperature is subject of two extremes: it is rarely.
Chapter 20 Weather 20.1Air Masses and Weather 20.2Fronts and Lows
Drought related activities at NCC, CMA Division of Climate Application and Service National Climate Center (Beijing Climate Center) China Meteorological.
THE FOUR SEASONS. A SEASON is one of the four periods of the year. Each season--spring, summer, autumn, and winter--lasts about three months and brings.
Overview of 2012/2013 winter over South Korea
WMO-JMA Public Forum Workshop of the World Conference on Disaster Reduction: Reducing Risks of Weather, Climate and Water Extremes through Advanced Detecting,
Mind’s On – Terms Review
WORLD HISTORY/ GEO NOVEMBER 4 TH 2015 WARM UP: WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN WEATHER AND CLIMATE?
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia Goran Mihajlovic Head of Centre for hydrometeorological system of early warning and alerts Zagreb, Croatia.
Climate monitoring information on the Mediterranean Peter Bissolli Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD, Germany), Dep. Climate Monitoring WMO RA VI Regional Climate.
INTRODUCTION Recent efforts within the National Weather Service’s Southern Region (NWS-SR) to refine criteria for excessive heat revealed high occurrences.
Much of the work that follows is straight from (or slightly modified) notes kindly made available by Jenny Pollock NCG and or spk (?)…. Nice to have a.
Quantifying the Significance of the April 2011 Severe Weather Outbreak Matthew S. Stalley, Chad M. Gravelle, Charles E. Graves Saint Louis University.
Synoptic situations associated to floods in the river mouths.
Air Masses and Fronts METR April Air Mass: a large volume of air that has remained over a surface for a long enough period of time to be.
COMPLETE: C-Notes and Outline!. Weather and Climate Storms ** ** Predicting Weather Ocean Currents Winds Air Masses Fronts …Cats and Dogs
Analysis of Typhoon Tropical Cyclogenesis in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model Suzana J. Camargo and Adam H. Sobel.
Air Masses and Fronts. Air Mass: – An air mass is a huge body of air that has similar temperature, humidity, and air pressure at any given height. – Air.
2014 NWSA Annual Meeting.  Discussion Topics:  2013 Fire Season (review)  Winter and Spring  What’s new for 2014  Seasonal Outlook for.
Northeast Regional Climate Information Projected Climate Changes for the Northeast More frequent and intense extreme precipitation events, 100-year storm.
Heavy Rain Climatology of Upper Michigan Jonathan Banitt National Weather Service Marquette MI.
Guided Notes for Climate
UK Climate is Temperature – Cool, Wet Winters and Warm, Wet Summers
2012 NWSA Annual Meeting 2012 Weather Forecast for the spring and summer months with a historical perspective.
Overview of 2016/17 Winter Climate over South Korea
José J. Hernández Ayala Department of Geography University of Florida
Climate and Climate Change Of the American West Coast
Air Mass: A huge body of air that has similar temperature, humidity, and air pressure at any given height. Classified by 2 characteristics: Temperature.
CLIMATE Climate- the characteristic weather of a region.
Marija Mokorić and Lovro Kalin
CLIMATE.
Following information taken from:
EQ: What is the impact of climate on Georgia’s growth and development?
Weather Dependent Verification and link with forecasters
Presentation transcript:

The comparation of weather types in the years of extreme drought over Croatia Dunja Plačko-Vršnak, Krunoslav Mikec, Marija Mokorić Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia Introduction Winter seasonSpring season The analyzed synoptic situation (DWD surface analysis, in some cases with help of 850 hPa geopotential field) were classified in the weather types (according to Poje (1965)) for several regions in Croatia (northwest region – Central Croatia, North, Central and South Adriatic). The method is subjective. The weather types with similar weather characteristic are grouped in 6 weather regimes (Table 1). The extreme years were compared mutually and then to mean relative frequency of weather types and regimes for reference period The characteristic synoptic charts related to significant differences in weather types (regimes) are shown and commented. Data and Methods Conclusions Since the year 2000 there were 3 extremely drought years in Croatia: 2003, 2011 and The long term with lack of precipitation was observed in whole country having a great impact on reducing in agricultural production and causing problems in water supply. In the summer 2012 authorities declared a state of natural disaster for inland and North Adriatic region. The consequences of extreme drought was evident also in increased number of wild fires, not only in Adriatic region, but also in the year 2003 in mountainous region and in the 2012 in continental parts of northwest and east Croatia. For example in the summer season of 2012 in the North Adriatic there were 100 wild fires with more than 1000 ha of burned area. The comparation of weather types and weather regimes in the years of extreme drought over Croatia was done. The significant difference in weather types and regimes for every season is presented here. during the analyzed period in all regions annual relative frequency of radiative regime was above and relative frequency of precipitation regime below the average in 2003 radiative regime was most frequent while in 2011 relative frequency of SE advection regime and wind regime (which also contributes to dry weather) was significantly higher than average, as well as radiative regime in 2012 anomalies related to usual weather types and regimes were not so explicit and drought conditions were not only a result of these anomalies but also a conseqence of long drought period in 2011 this analisys pointed out that Central European anticyclone positioned more to the north and cyclonic activity over Mediterranean more to the south than usual caused drought conditions in Croatia Precipitation regimeC1Eastern sector of cyclone C2Southern sector of cyclone T1Front side of the trough T2Axis of the trough WSWest transition state SWSSouthwest transition state SSSouth transition state Radiative regimeA1Eastern sector of anticyclone A2Southern sector of anticyclone A4Northern sector of anticyclone hrRidge of high pressure hvBridge of high pressure NGaNon-gradient pressure field anticyclonic NGcNon-gradient pressure field cyclonic SE advection regimeA3Western sector of anticyclone SESSoutheast transition state NW advection regimeNWSNorthwest transition state T3Rear side of the trough Wind regimeC4Northern sector of cyclone NSNorth transition state NESNortheast transition state ESEast transition state Other C3Western sector of cyclone CcCenter of cyclone ZT1Front side of the zonal trough ZT2Axis of the zonal trough ZT3Rear side of the zonal trough AcCenter of anticyclone TtPressure trough Climate annual reports for 2003, 2011 and 2012 for precipitation – 2003 and 2011 were mostly very dry and extremely dry, while in 2012 only summer season was extremely dry Table 1: weather regimes, weather types and weather types abbreviations Croatian regions as well as radiative regime, relative frequency of wind regime was also above average in winter 2003 relative frequency of C4 weather type (wind regime) was significantly higher than average in all regions cyclone tracks were moved more to the south than usual during winter 2003 DWD surface analysis for 19 January 2003, 00 UTC in spring 2011 relative frequency of wind regime was 2 times higher than average also, relative frequency of Tt weather type (regime other) in 2003 in Central and South Adriatic was more than 2 times higher than average cyclone tracks were moved even more to the south than in winter 2003 so the weather type was characterized only by “isobare curvature” (cyclonic), not by cyclone itself DWD surface analysis for 17 April 2003, 00 UTC frequency of radiative regime in summer in analyzed years in all regions was 70 to 90 % relative frequency of Hr weather type (radiative regime) in 2011 and 2012 was almost 3 times higher than average characteristic synoptic situation was consequence of high pressure field stretching from the west or southwest DWD surface analysis for 24 June 2012, 00 UTC Summer seasonAutumn season DWD surface analysis for 17 November 2011, 00 UTC relative frequency of SE advection regime in autumn 2011 was significantly higher than average, especially in Adriatic region in 2011 in all regions relative frequency of A2 weather type was significantly higher than average anticyclone tracks were moved more to the north and to the east than usual