Growth in Cecil County Population Migration, Commuters, Jobs Land Use, Planned Growth, & Sprawl Base Realignment, APG Prognosis & Priorities.

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Presentation transcript:

Growth in Cecil County Population Migration, Commuters, Jobs Land Use, Planned Growth, & Sprawl Base Realignment, APG Prognosis & Priorities

Population & Change Cecil County

Total Population in Cecil County, Actual and Projected Almost doubles

Population Increases, Cecil County, Actual & Projected, by Decade

Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age Groups, % 23% 12%

Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age Groups, % 23%

Population Change in Cecil County by Major Age Groups, % 27%

Annual Rate of Population Change in Cecil County, Actual & Projected, by Decade

Annual Rate of Total Population Change in Remainder of Maryland, Actual & Projected

Migration, Commuters, & Jobs Cecil County

>1/2 Pop’n Increase, ’90s

Net Commutation for Cecil County (In commuters minus out commuters) Source: U.S. Census, U.S. BEA and the Maryland Department of Planning Net Out Commutation increases by nearly 19,000 between 2000 and 2030

Annual Rate of Total Job Change in Cecil County, Actual & Projected

Land Use, Planned Growth, & Sprawl Cecil County

Growth in Cecil County 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% Increase 1973 to 2002 Population Development Population Est. Increase 2002 to % 77% 127% 159%

Residential Single Family Sales Above $300,000 (Median) 2002 By Census Tract

Residential Single Family Sales Above $300,000 (Median) 2005 By Census Tract

Base Re-alignment: APG Givens Transferred military jobs: 4,700 Additional contractual jobs: 2 to 3 times Estimate: total of 10,000 to 12,000 Questions In-commuters? Workweek residents? Market preferences: Cecil / PFAs / NAR / SAR? Water/sewer, growth plans, ordinances

Prognosis Fast growth 2000 – 2030 Heavy in-migration + aging population More out-commuters Richer market for development products More loss of land than population increase Major threat to high quality environment

Priorities Its all about the market Plans/programs for water / sewer, Smart Growth Development incentives for diverse, high quality communities in planned areas Subdivision and development restrictions & more preservation outside Priority Funding Areas