Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort 25 Aug 05.

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Presentation transcript:

Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort 25 Aug 05

AFSPC/XPXP25/14/2015 Overview Purpose Planning Process Overview FY06 Planning Results FY08 Analysis Results Summary/What We Need from Industry

AFSPC/XPXP35/14/2015 Purpose Provide information and insights into AFSPC’s Integrated Planning Effort Identify previous planning results Provide insight and trends from current analysis Let you know where we need help

AFSPC/XPXP45/14/2015 Why We Can’t Share Everything There are many unknowns Fiscal Year 2007 Out-of-Cycle Program Objective Memorandum (FY07 APOM) Base Re-alignment And Closure (BRAC) Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) Higher level direction in development National Security Space Plan (NSSP)

AFSPC/XPXP55/14/2015 Overview Purpose Planning Process Overview FY06 Planning Results FY08 Analysis Results Summary/What We Need from Industry

6 Functional Concepts AF CONOPs Defense Acquisition System CC Strategic Planning Guidance National Guidance DoD/Joint Guidance Air Force Guidance Mission Solutions Analysis Concepts & Enabling Technologies Mission Needs Analysis Prioritized Needs Mission Area Assessment Operational & Support Tasks Integrated Investment Analysis 20-Year Investment Roadmap Strategic Master Plan MAPs/MSP/CSP S&T Community Capabilities Planning Process Joint Capability Integration & Development System CRRA AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (1 of 2)

AFSPC/XPXP75/14/2015 AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (2 of 2) Define AFSPC capabilities (MAA) Identify all AFSPC capabilities Rate our ability to do the missions (MNA) Identify shortfalls to meet capabilities Ask for options and solutions to fix shortfalls (MSA) Identify options for current systems and future programs Identify investment options (IIA) Create a force mix that provides the best value capability coverage for the resources available Ultimate Goal: Best “Bang for the Buck” Investment Strategy

AFSPC/XPXP85/14/2015 Mission Area Teams AFSPC planning is supported through five mission area teams Space Force Enhancement - provides combat support operations to improve the effectiveness of land, sea, space, air, and special operations forces Military Satellite Communications (MILSATCOM), Terrestrial and Space Weather, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Positioning / Navigation / Timing (PNT), Command and Control (C2) for NORAD and USSTRATCOM missions, supporting all combatant commanders Space Force Application - provides deterrence and prompt global strike to the warfighter from/through space Nuclear and Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike Space Support - is comprised of Spacelift and Satellite Operations Spacelift Vehicles and Spacelift Ranges Counterspace - operations consist of those operations conducted to attain and maintain a desired degree of space superiority by allowing friendly forces to exploit space capabilities while negating an adversary’s ability to do the same Space Situation Awareness, Defensive Counterspace and Offensive Counterspace Mission Support - provides the basic infrastructure and support spanning all areas

AFSPC/XPXP95/14/2015 Overview Purpose Planning Process Overview FY06 Planning Results FY08 Analysis Results Summary/What We Need from Industry

AFSPC/XPXP105/14/2015 FY06 IIA Results – First Case Maximum capability - What the Command Wants & When We Want it

AFSPC/XPXP115/14/2015 FY06 IIA Results – Second Case Optimize Coverage, Stay within TOA, & FYDP Untouched

AFSPC/XPXP125/14/2015 FY06 IIA Results – Third Case Maximize capabilities; limited overspending; & satisfy more timing objectives

AFSPC/XPXP135/14/2015 Overview Purpose Planning Process Overview FY06 Planning Results FY08 Analysis Results Summary/What We Need from Industry

AFSPC/XPXP145/14/ Provide Global Satellite Communications 2.Provide PNT 3.Conduct Responsive Launch 4.Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike 5.Conduct Space S&R 6.Provide Defensive Counterspace 7.Conduct Missile Warning S&R 8.Space Command and Control 9.Nuclear Deterrence/Strike 10.Conduct Conventional S&R 11.Provide Space Traffic Control 12.Negate Space Targets/Threats 13.Intelligence 14.Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and High Explosive S&R 15.Collect and Disseminate Environmental Monitoring Data 16.Conduct Routine Launch 17.Blue Force Situation Awareness 18.Operate Space Assets 19.Counterair/Missile Defense 20.Perform On-Orbit Support 21.Conduct Space Launch Warning S&R 22.Conduct Science and Technology S&R 23.Conduct Geospatial Information and Services S&R 1.Provide Global Satellite Communications 2.Provide PNT 3.Nuclear Deterrence/Strike 4.Conduct Missile Warning S&R 5.Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike 6.Conduct Responsive Launch 7.Conduct Space S&R 8.Conduct Routine Launch 9.Space Command and Control 10.Conduct Conventional S&R 11.Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and High Explosive S&R 12.Provide Space Traffic Control 13.Provide Defensive Counterspace 14.Intelligence 15.Negate Space Targets/Threats 16.Operate Space Assets 17.Collect and Disseminate Environmental Monitoring Data 18.Blue Force Situation Awareness 19.Counterair/Missile Defense 20.Conduct Space Launch Warning S&R 21.Conduct Science & Technology S&R 22.Conduct Geospatial Information and Services S&R 23.Perform On-Orbit Support 1.Provide PNT 2.Provide Global Satellite Communications 3.Nuclear Deterrence/Strike 4.Conduct Missile Warning S&R 5.Conduct Space S&R 6.Conduct Routine Launch 7.Space Command and Control 8.Conduct Conventional S&R 9.Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and High Explosive S&R 10.Operate Space Assets 11.Conduct Responsive Launch 12.Intelligence 13.Provide Space Traffic Control 14.Provide Defensive Counterspace 15.Collect and Disseminate Environmental Monitoring Data 16.Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike 17.Negate Space Targets/Threats 18.Conduct Space Launch Warning S&R 19.Conduct Science and Technology S&R 20.Blue Force Situation Awareness 21.Conduct Geospatial Information and Services S&R 22.Perform On-Orbit Support 23.Counterair/Missile Defense Near-term (FY08 – 13)Mid-term (FY14 – 19)Far-term (FY ) FY08 Command Focus Capabilities Priorities

AFSPC/XPXP155/14/2015 FY08 Investment Vignettes Warfighter Requirements Maximizes performance Planning Force Allows for moderate growth over a constrained Total Obligation Authority

AFSPC/XPXP165/14/2015 FY08 IIA Results Warfighter Requirements

AFSPC/XPXP175/14/2015 Warfighter Requirements Capability Assessment Space Radar (SR)10-satellite constellation Transformational Satellite 7-satellite constellation Communications (TSAT) Space-Based Infra-Red System (SBIRS) Geosynchronous Orbit & Highly Elliptical Orbit constellation Global Positioning System (GPSIII)24-satellite constellation National Environmental Monitoring 3-satellite constellation Satellite System (NEMSS) Space Environmental Effects Monitoring Block 1, Block 2, Block 3 System (SEEMS) Land-Based Strategic Deterrence (LBSD)4 increments/500 Sorties Common Aero-Vehicle (CAV)32 CAVs Common Vertical Lift Support 28 Helicopters Platform (CVLSP) Affordable REsponsive Spacelift (ARES)Medium and Heavy Launchers Responsive SatellitesHyper-Spectral Imager, Communications, Global Positioning System-Augmentation, Environmental Monitoring, and Blue Force Situational Awareness

AFSPC/XPXP185/14/2015 FY08 IIA Results Planning Force

AFSPC/XPXP195/14/2015 Planning Force Capability Assessment To contain cost under this option, tremendous pressure is placed on our transformational capabilities since they are resource intensive programs Transformational Satellite Communications, Land-Based Strategic Deterrence, and Space Radar Continue to provide sustainment and some improvement for critical capabilities Space-Based Infra-Red Satellite, Global Positioning System, National Polar-Orbiting Environmental Satellite System Other programs are pursued to provide additional capabilities; however, some later than expected Space Environmental Effects Monitoring System, Common Aero Vehicle, Common Vertical Lift Support Platform, Affordable Responsive Spacelift, and some responsive satellites

AFSPC/XPXP205/14/2015 Overview Purpose Planning Process Overview FY06 Planning Results FY08 Analysis Results Summary/What We Need from Industry

AFSPC/XPXP215/14/2015 Help from Industry AFSPC Planning Force is the Optimized Force mix based on a limited top line Success of the process is dependant on having viable affordable concepts to run through the investment models What we need from Industry: Concepts that allow viable tradeoffs within each capability Full spectrum of capability/cost options Cost estimates that provide realistic cost projections for capability received

AFSPC/XPXP225/14/2015 Areas For Industry Focus The following Capabilities do not have viable (reasonable cost/performance) concepts Detect chemical/biological agents from space (Priority 14 of 23) Conduct Air/Missile Defense (Priority 19 of 23) On orbit support (Priority 20 of 23) Details on these capabilities are published in the AFSPC Strategic Master Plan

AFSPC/XPXP235/14/2015 Additional Forums Space Science and Technology forums strengthen our tie to industry Allows industry to understand the challenges faced by AFSPC and identify areas needing investment SPACE IRAD Conference Run by AFRL/XPS, Mr Al Livada, Phone: (656) Industry Days Run by SMC/TD, Lt Col Casipit, Phone: (310)