Free cash flows In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, we value an asset by discounting the future cash flows we expect to receive from that asset. Three.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Corporate Finance Stock Valuation Prof. André Farber SOLVAY BUSINESS SCHOOL UNIVERSITÉ LIBRE DE BRUXELLES.
Advertisements

The Cost of Capital Omar Al Nasser, Ph.D. FIN 6352
Firm Valuation: A Summary
The Value of Common Stocks. Topics Covered  How Common Stocks are Traded  How To Value Common Stock  Capitalization Rates  Stock Prices and EPS 
Growth is the key input in every valuation. Three ways of estimating growth rates: – Historical. While past growth is not always a good indicator of future.
FINANCE 5. Stock valuation - DDM Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles Fall 2006.
Analysis of Common Stocks Investments and Portfolio Management (MB 72)
Stock Valuation Chapter 9.1,9.2.
FIN352 Vicentiu Covrig 1 Common Stock Valuation (chapter 10)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. Stock Valuation Chapter 10.
Three Approaches to Value There are three general approaches that we use to value any asset. –Discounted Cash Flow Valuation –Relative Valuation –Contingent.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2008 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Equity Valuation CHAPTER 13.
Chapter 9 An Introduction to Security Valuation. 2 The Investment Decision Process Determine the required rate of return Evaluate the investment to determine.
Chapter 6 Common Stock Valuation: The Inputs. 6-2 Valuation Inputs Now that we have an understanding of the models used, we are going to focus on developing.
COMMON STOCK VALUATION
Analyzing Cash Returned to Stockholders 03/09/06.
Aswath Damodaran1 Session 7: Estimating Cash flows.
Stocks & Stock Market Primary Market - Place where the sale of new stock first occurs. Initial Public Offering (IPO) - First offering of stock to the general.
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000
Value of Bonds and Common Stocks
Théorie Financière 4. Evaluation d’actions et d’entreprises
Lecture: 3 - Stock and Bond Valuation How to Get a “k” to Discount Cash Flows - Two Methods I.Required Return on a Stock (k) - CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing.
TIP Valuation of Stocks Valuing stocks using Dividend growth model
Lecture 7 The Value of Common Stocks Managerial Finance FINA 6335 Ronald F. Singer.
Motivation What is capital budgeting?
Free Cash Flow Valuation
The Value of Common Stocks Chapter 4. Topics Covered  How Common Stocks are Traded  How To Value Common Stock  Capitalization Rates  Stock Prices.
FINANCE 5. Stock valuation – DDM & FCFM Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles Fall 2007.
Analyzing Cash Returned to Stockholders 05/28/08 Ch. 11.
Optimal Dividend Policy 05/29/2008 Ch Is there an Optimal Dividend Policy? Balance between cash needs of the company for investment purposes and.
FINANCE 6. Stock valuation - FCFM Professor André Farber Solvay Business School Université Libre de Bruxelles Fall 2006.
Théorie Financière Evaluation d’actions et d’entreprises Professeur André Farber.
FINAL REVIEW It ain’t over till its over… Yogi Berra.
Equity Valuation and Analysis with eVal
SESSION 7: ESTIMATING CASH FLOWS Aswath Damodaran 1.
Fundamentals of Valuation P.V. Viswanath Based on Damodaran’s Corporate Finance.
Business Valuations  Highly visible companies tend to be called as market leaders because of various competitive advantages enjoyed by them.  Does that.
Steve Paulone Facilitator Sources of capital  Two basic sources – stocks (equity – both common and preferred) and debt (loans or bonds)  Capital buys.
Free cash flows In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, we value an asset by discounting the future cash flows we expect to receive from that asset. Three.
Chapter 13 Equity Valuation
The value of common stocks
Chapter 2- Capital Structure Determination. After studying this chapter, you should be able to: Define “capital structure.” Explain the net operating.
Financial Ratios Clicker Quiz. What is this ratio? Market Price Per Share Earnings Per Share A. Inventory Turnover B. Accounts Receivable Turnover C.
CORPORATE FINANCE Week 4 – 17&19 Oct Stock and Company Valuation – Dividend Growth Model, Free Cash Flow Model I. Ertürk Senior Fellow in Banking.
Chapter 18 Equity Valuation. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Fundamental Stock Analysis: Models of Equity.
1 CHAPTER 9 The Cost of Capital. 2 Topics in Chapter Cost of capital components Debt Preferred stock Common equity WACC.
Intro to Financial Management Equities. Review Homework Types of bonds Bond risks Bond valuation.
The Investment Decision Process Determine the required rate of return Evaluate the investment to determine if its market price is consistent with your.
Aswath Damodaran1 Financial Statement Analysis “The raw data for investing”
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved McGraw-Hill/Irwin Cost of Capital Cost of Capital - The return the firm’s.
1 The Cost of Capital Corporate Finance Dr. A. DeMaskey.
Lecture 11 WACC, K p & Valuation Methods Investment Analysis.
Investment Analysis Lecture: 13 Course Code: MBF702.
Stock Valuation 1Finance - Pedro Barroso. Present Value of Common Stocks The value of any asset is the present value of its expected future cash flows.
Stock Valuation. 2 Valuation The determination of what a stock is worth; the stock's intrinsic value If the price exceeds the valuation, buy the stock.
Chapter 13 Equity Valuation Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
BUSINESS VALUATION MODELS Two methods: 1. Discounted Cash Flow 2. Relative Values.
Lecture 12 Valuation Approaches Investment Analysis.
Equity Valuation. Methods Balance Sheet Models Discounted Cash Flow Models Multiplier Models.
Cost of debt = Interest Payments. Debts are the borrowing which company takes to finance the company therefore they have to pay interest on those borrowing.
9-1 Stocks Revisited Dr. M.F. Omran, CFA Features of common stock Determining common stock values Preferred stock.
1 Free Cash Flow Valuation: Some practical examples.
Amalgamations & Restructuring
Valuation: cash flows & discount rates
In Practice Webcast: Assessing potential dividends
Valuation: cash flows & discount rates
Chapter 10 Stock Valuation
Lecture 4 The Value of Common Stocks
Valuation by Comparables
Valuing Stocks -- Summary of Formula
Presentation transcript:

Free cash flows In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, we value an asset by discounting the future cash flows we expect to receive from that asset. Three common valuation techniques for valuing equity are: Dividend discount model (DDM) – When we buy stock, we typically expect to get two types of cash flows – dividends during the period the stock is held and an expected price at the end of the holding period. Since this expected price also depends on future dividends, the value of a stock is the present value of dividends through infinity. In the strictest sense, the only cash flow you receive from a firm when you buy its stock is a dividend. Thus, the simplest model for valuing equity is the dividend discount model (DDM). 1

–Discounting dividends is usually the most conservative estimate of value for the equity in any firm, since most firms pay out less in dividends than they can afford to. –The dividend cash flows are calculated as D = Net income*(1-Retention ratio) = Net income * Payout ratio Retention Ratio = (NI – Dividends)/NI Payout Ratio = Dividends/NI 2

Free cash flows to equity (FCFE) –One problem that arises from using the DDM is that we may misvalue firms that consistently fail to return what they can afford to shareholders (i.e., if firms do not pay dividends even when they have no positive NPV projects to invest in). –The FCFE is the cash flow that is left over after meeting all reinvestment needs and making debt payments. So, this cash flow could be paid out as dividends, and therefore will yield a more realistic value of the firm. –The FCFE are calculated as –The equity reinvestment rate, i.e., the rate at which the company is reinvesting in the firm, net of borrowings) determines the future growth in FCFE. It is measured as 3

Free cash flows to the firm(FCFF) –The FCFF is the cash flow to all holders of capital in the firm, i.e., the equity holders and the bond holders. Free cash flows are essentially money that the firm can pay out to investors after reinvestment needs have been met. –Done consistently, the FCFE and the FCFF should give the same value for equity. However, the FCFE are after net debt issues or payments and become more difficult to estimate when leverage is changing over time. FCFF does not have this problem since these are predebt cash flows. –The FCFF are calculated as –The reinvestment rate, (i.e., the rate at which the company is reinvesting in the firm), determines the future growth in FCFF. It is measured as 4

Sources: – Damodaran, Investment Valuation, 2 nd ed. – Damodaran, Applied Corporate Finance, 3 rd ed. – Pinto, Henry, Robinson, Stowe, Equity Asset Valuation, 2 nd ed. – McKinsey & Company, Koller, Goedhardt, and Wessels, Valuation: Measuring and managing the value of companies, 5 th ed. 5