Global Workshop on Development Impact Evaluation in Finance and Private Sector Rio de Janeiro, June 6-10, 2011 Gambia Growth & Competitiveness Project THE GAMBIA Impact Evaluation Concept Note Mr. Tamsir Manga – Project Coordinator Mr. Mamour Sey – Horticulture Project Manager Mr. Lamin Jobe – Monitoring & Evaluation Specialist

Administrative Regions of The Gambia

Intervention Summary  The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve the investment climate and strengthen the competitiveness of key sectors of the Gambian economy. It has two main components as described below: 1: Improving the Business Environment  working on: # of hours spent in preparing, filing and paying taxes; # of days to register a business; # of new business attributed to GIEPA; % value of new investments. 2: Strengthening Economic Clusters  working on matching grants & tourism % sales revenue, % beneficiaries disaggregated by gender; # of farmer participants, # of full time graduates, # of training hours delivered. IMPACT EVALUATION  matching grants for: 1) mango growers, 2) groundnuts growers and, 3) Small and medium enterprises.

Evaluation Questions  MANGO AND GROUNDNUTS GROWERS: 1. Amount of sales generated / increased household income 2. Adoption of new technology and improved variety 3. Improved quality and sales in groundnuts 4. Access to technology for improved g/nut production  SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES: 1. Increased sales 2.Knowledge and business skills acquired 3. Employment creation 4. Investment opportunities

Evaluation Design  A massive advertisement and sensitization prior to the launch of call for proposals  Two calls for proposals will be made to determine eligible applicants  Amongst the eligible applicants, randomly select the ones that will benefit from the MGF NB:(assumption is that we will have more respondents to the call than would be supported by the MGF)

Evaluation Design Con’t  Each call for each of the three windows will disburse grants to 300 recipients  Average size of grant per recipient is $200  In each call, treatment and control groups will be identified as illustrated in next slide:

Evaluation Design Con’t MM MGF First call for proposal Second call for proposal Mango Groundnut Small & Medium enterprises T T C C C C T T T T C C T T C C C C T T T T C C MID TERM REVIEWMID TERM REVIEW MID TERM REVIEWMID TERM REVIEW

Sampling and Data  Data collection started along agricultural census (production characteristics, sales, extension services, varieties, marketing etc.)  Census data will be the baseline for the agric component  Matching grant application forms will be used as baseline for SMEs  Sample size of 900 (50/50 T&C, 300 per window)  Revisit after one year of implementation

Timeline  Baseline data collection – June- August 2011  MGF call for proposals – Oct – 2011  Disbursement of grants- Jan – 2012  Data collection for first round - Jan 2013  Data analysis – April 2013  Mid-term review June 2013

Team and staffing  Project Implementation Unit’s Team:  Mr. Tamsir Manga  Mr. Mamour Sey  Mr. Lamin Jobe  Potential Collaborators:  Gambia Bureau of Statistics, Agric Planning Services, Rural Finance, Social Dev. Fund  DIME /World Bank Team:  Ganesh Rasagam - TTL World Bank  Isabel Beltran  Massimiliano Santini

Budget ITEMDESCRIPTIONCOST ($USD) BaselineBaseline survey on mango, groundnut and SMEs 20,000 Follow-up surveyConduction two follow-up surveys 100,000 Field coordinationSupervise and coordinate the entire IE process especially during data collection, entry and analysis 30,000 TAProvide technical guide in the design and implementation of the IE 50,000 AdministrationFacilitation, Communication, 10% of budget 20,000 TOTAL220,000

THE END! Thank you very much for your kind attention!