ONE MINNESOTA CONFERENCE Susan Brower, Minnesota State Demographer January 2015.

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ONE MINNESOTA CONFERENCE Susan Brower, Minnesota State Demographer January 2015

GROWTH IN MINNESOTA’S “OLDER ADULT” POPULATION Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, MN State Demographic Center

GROWTH IN MINNESOTA’S “OLDER ADULT” POPULATION Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, MN State Demographic Center

AVG. WORKERS ADDED PER YEAR MINNESOTA, 16+ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Minnesota State Demographic Center Projections

STATES’ RISING ED ATTAINMENT & GROWTH IN PRODUCTIVITY Source: EPI analysis of unpublished total economy productivity data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Labor Productivity and Costs program, state employment data from BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, and college attainment data from the Current Population Survey basic monthly microdata

BLACK, LATINO AND ASIAN POPULATIONS GROWING RAPIDLY Source: U.S. Census Bureau & Minnesota State Demographic Center

Source: Tabulated by MN Compass from Minnesota Department of Education data GAPS IN EDUCATIONAL ACHIEVEMENT AND ATTAINMENT EXIST ACROSS RACIAL GROUPS

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN MN HISTORY: MORE 65+ THAN SCHOOL-AGE BY 2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau & Minnesota State Demographic Center

General Fund Expenditures Within Health & Human Services  Medical Assistance Expenditures: 25% of GF spending (8.5 billion)  Medical Assistance Expenditures for the Elderly and Disabled: 16% of GF spending (5.5 billion)  MA expenditures include basic care, long-term care waivers and long-term institutional care DEMOGRAPHIC SHIFTS WILL CHANGE DEMAND FOR PUBLIC SERVICES Sources: Minnesota Management and Budget, February House Research, Long-Term Care Services for the Elderly, November 2012

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE…BUT NOT COMPLETELY DETERMINE IT  Our demographic future is sobering IF we continue to adhere to the policies and institutions that we have built for our demographic past.  Aging trend will bring new opportunities; license to innovate new pathways to well- being.