The Horizon Report In Action: Emerging Technologies Today and Tomorrow Malcolm Brown Veronica Diaz EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative

Session outline (1) Background: history, purpose, and process (2) Trends and challenges (3) The 2010 Report: the six technologies through a T&L Lens (4) Putting the Horizon Report to work for you 2

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4 (1) History, Purpose, and Process

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Gartner hype cycle model (ca. 1995) 6

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Needs  Prognostication  Learning, academic focus  When as well as what  Engage campus leadership  Context of trends and challenges  Illustrated 8

Process 9

10 6 emerging technologies on 3 three adoption horizons 10 One year or less Two – three years Four – five years

The 5 big ones 1. What would you list among the established technologies that learning- focused institutions should all be using broadly today to support or enhance teaching, learning, or creative expression? 11

The 5 big ones 2. What technologies that have a solid user base in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be actively looking for ways to apply? 12

The 5 big ones 3. What are the key emerging technologies you see developing to the point that learning-focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 3 to 5 years? What organizations or companies are the leaders in these technologies? 13

The 5 big ones 4. What do you see as the key challenges related to teaching, learning, or creative expression that learning-focused institutions will face during the next 5 years? 14

The 5 big ones 5. What trends do you expect to have a significant impact on the ways in which learning-focused institutions approach our core missions of teaching, research, and service? 15

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AB Convened Early September Wiki Orientations for AB Mid September AB Reviews Press Clippings Mid September AB answers the Research Questions Sept - Oct AB Makes First Pass at Rankings Mid October NMC Staff produce the "Short List" Oct - Nov 17

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AB makes final pass at Rankings Early November NMC Staff write the Horizon Report Nov - Dec Final Draft of Horizon Report sent to AB Mid December Report in Layout and Design Dec - Jan Advance copy to AB in PDF format Mid January Horizon Report Released Late January 21

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Questions? 29

30 (2) Trends and Challenges

2010 Trends Nature of the academy How we work 31

Nature of the academy (2) “The technologies we use are increasingly cloud-based, and our notions of IT support are decentralized.” (1) “The abundance of resources and relationships made easily accessible via the Internet is increasingly challenging us to revisit our roles as educators in sense-making, coaching, and credentialing.” 32

How we work (4) “The work of students is increasingly seen as collaborative by nature, and there is more cross-campus collaboration between departments.” (3) “People expect to be able to work, learn, and study whenever and wherever they want to.” 33

Meta-trends 2007–2010 Trend towards the collective Trend towards mobility and cloud Trend towards new academic platforms: gaming, virtual worlds, visualization 34

Critical challenges: Content Delivery 35

Critical Challenges: Digital Literacy 36

Critical Challenges: Assessment 37

Questions? 38

39 (3) The Six Technologies

40 (4) Putting the Report to Work for You

The Horizon report in action  It’s future-oriented, it's a planning tool  You can participate in the process  Comment on it  Contribute to its research  Tag things  Nominate for the Advisory Board 41

Review the technologies and ask…  What is missing for this technology or practice to be implemented locally?  What kind of additional research needs to be done concerning this technology? 42

Review the technologies and ask…  What would be the ramifications and opportunities for learning if this technology were adopted?  What kinds of teaching and learning engagements might this technology: make better or enable? 43

Review the technologies and ask…  What might be some low cost points of entry or possibilities for a pilot?  If we decide to do a pilot on one of the technologies, what kind of evaluation methodology can we overlay on the project to assess outcomes? 44

Spawn local, HR-like processes Follow HR process methodology Form institutional study/research teams Work with cross-institutional or virtual study/research teams 45

Use to support proposals Cite the Horizon Report as a reference Use for local funding requests Use for foundations and funding agencies 46

Strategic and tactical planning processes Strategic: medium and longer term horizons Reference the trends and challenges Use the example sites Tactical: shorter term horizons 47

Discover the pioneers Who’s working with these technologies now? 48

Distribute locally Send to senior administrators Send to key planners Send to key partners 49 photo mashup credit: New Media Consortium

Brainstorm around the “camp fire” 50

Questions? 51 Contact us with your ideas: Malcolm Brown, Director, EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative, :::::::::::::::: Veronica Diaz, Associate Director, EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative,