Problems Problems 4.17, 4.36, 4.40, (TRY: 4.43)

4. Random Variables A random variable is a way of recording a quantitative variable of a random experiment.

4. Random Variables A random variable is a way of recording a quantitative variable of a random experiment. This variable has a distribution, mean and standard deviation, so we can discuss outliers using the same procedures as back in Chapter 2.

4. Random Variables A random variable is a way of recording a quantitative variable of a random experiment. This variable has a distribution, mean (expected value) and standard deviation, so we can discuss outliers using the same procedures as back in Chapter 2. This includes percentiles, Chebyshev’s Rule and the Empirical Rule!

4. Random Variables …outliers using the same procedures as back in Chapter 2. This includes percentiles, Chebyshev’s Rule and the Empirical Rule! The difference in this Chapter is we talk about the probabilities of what is to occur and in Chapter 2 we talked about the frequency of what did occur.

4. Random Variables The difference in this Chapter is we talk about the probabilities of what is to occur and in Chapter 2 we talked about the frequency of what did occur. In Chapter 2 we are talking about the sample and in Chapter 4 we are talking about the population.

Properties of Probability, P( X = x i )

Example Find the probability distribution obtained by flipping an unbiased coin three times and counting the number of times heads comes up.

Binomial Experiment A binomial experiment is one that: 1) Has a fixed number of trials (n) 2) These trials are independent 3) Each trial must have all outcomes classified into two categories (Success or Failure) 4) The probability of success remains constant for all trials.

Notation: S = success and P(S) = p F = Failure and P(F) = q = 1- p n = fixed number of trials x = specific number of successes in n trials P(x) = the probability of getting exactly x successes among n trials

Example Shaquille Rashaun O'Neal (Shaq) is a basketball player who takes a lot of free throws. The probability of Shaq making a free throw is 0.60 on each throw. With 3 free throws what is the probability that he makes 2 shots?

Notation: S = success and P(S) =.6 F = Failure and P(F) =.4 n = 3 x = 2 P(2) = the probability of getting exactly 2 successes (successful free throws) among n=3 trials

Factorials 0! = 1 1! = 1 2! = 2 * 1 3! = 3 * 2 * 1 4! = 4* 3 * 2 * 1 n! = n*(n-1)!

Factorials 0! = 1 1! = 1 2! = 2 * 1=2 3! = 3 * 2 * 1=6 4! = 4* 3 * 2 * 1=24 n! = n*(n-1)!

Binomial Probability Distribution In a binomial experiment, with constant probability p of success at each trial, the probability of x successes in n trials is given by

Example Shaq is a basketball player who takes a lot of free throws. The probability of Shaq making a free throw is 0.60 on each throw. With 3 free throws what is the probability that he makes 2 shots?

Shaq is a basketball player who takes a lot of free throws. The probability of Shaq making a free throw is 0.60 on each throw. With 3 free throws what is the probability that he makes 2 shots? Example

Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

How to use the Binomial Tables (see page 885) First find the appropriate table for the particular value of n then find the value of p in the top row Find the row corresponding to k and find the intersection with the column corresponding to the value of p The value you obtain is the cumulative probability, that is P(x ≤ k) N=10, p = 0.7: P(x ≤ 4) = N=10, p = 0.7: P(x = 4) = P(x ≤ 4) - P(x ≤ 3) = =0.036 N=10, p = 0.7: P(x > 4) = 1- P(x ≤ 4) = = 0.953

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Example Flipping a biased coin 8 times. The probability of heads on each trial is 0.4. What is the probability of obtaining at least 2 heads.

Mean and Standard deviation

Problems Problems 4.52, 4.56, 4.62, 4.64, 4.66, 4.68

Keys to success Learn the binomial table. Be able to recognize binomial distributions and when you do apply the appropriate formulas and tables.

31 Homework Review Chapter 4.4 Read Chapter