§ 1.6 Rankings “Rome’s biggest contribution to American government was probably its legal system [... ] [which] would later form the basis of both the.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Which units are you most interested in covering? Unit A –Management Science Unit B – Growth Unit C – Shape and Form Unit D – Statistics.
Advertisements

Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 1 The Mathematics of Voting 1.1Preference Ballots and Preference.
Voting Methods Continued
Chapter 1: Methods of Voting
The Mathematics of Elections
Mathematics The study of symbols, shapes, algorithms, sets, and patterns, using logical reasoning and quantitative calculation. Quantitative Reasoning:
VOTING SYSTEMS Section 2.5.
Excursions in Modern Mathematics Sixth Edition
The Plurality Method The Borda Count Method
1.1, 1.2 Ballots and Plurality Method
What is your favorite food?. Preference Schedule A Preference Schedule is a way to represent the order in which people like (prefer) certain items. The.
1 The Mathematics of Voting
Fair Elections Are they possible?. Acknowledgment Many of the examples are taken from Excursions in Modern Mathematics by Peter Tannenbaum and Robert.
Math for Liberal Studies.  There are many more methods for determining the winner of an election with more than two candidates  We will only discuss.
CRITERIA FOR A FAIR ELECTION
§ 1.4 Plurality-with-Elimination (Instant Runoff Voting)
Nov. 2004Math and ElectionsSlide 1 Math and Elections A Lesson in the “Math + Fun!” Series.
1 The Process of Computing Election Victories Computational Sociology: Social Choice and Voting Methods CS110: Introduction to Computer Science – Lab Module.
How is this math? Mathematics is essentially the application of deductive reasoning to the study relations among patterns, structures, shapes, forms and.
Section 1.1, Slide 1 Copyright © 2014, 2010, 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Section 11.2, Slide 1 11 Voting Using Mathematics to Make Choices.
§ 1.5 The Method of Pairwise Comparisons (Copeland’s Method)
Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 1 The Mathematics of Voting The Paradoxes of Democracy Vote! In.
Slide 15-1 Copyright © 2005 Pearson Education, Inc. SEVENTH EDITION and EXPANDED SEVENTH EDITION.
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 15 Section 2 - Slide Election Theory Flaws of Voting.
May 19, 2010Math 132: Foundations of Mathematics 12.5 Homework Solutions 27. (a) 28. (b) 29. (d) 30. (e) 53. Positive Correlation, Weak 54. Negative Correlation,
Ch Voting Preference tables E, F, G, and H are running for math club president If everyone is asked to rank their preferences, how many different.
Election Procedures Taskforce suggestions. Guiding principles The most democratic systems The systems must allow for a majority Simplicity Proportionality.
The Mathematics of Voting Chapter 1. Voting theory: application of methods that affect the outcome of an election. Sec 1: Preference Ballots and Schedules.
Chapter 12 sec 1. Def. Each person votes for his or her favorite candidate. The candidate receiving the most votes is declared the winner.
© 2010 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. CHAPTER 14 Voting and Apportionment.
Chapter 15 Section 1 - Slide 1 Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. AND.
Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 1 The Mathematics of Voting 1.1Preference Ballots and Preference.
Voting Methods Examples of Voting Methods (other than majority rules) –Plurality –Borda Count –Hare System –Sequential Pairwise –Approval Voting.
Section 1.1, Slide 1 Copyright © 2014, 2010, 2007 Pearson Education, Inc. Section 11.1, Slide 1 11 Voting Using Mathematics to Make Choices.
Copyright 2013, 2010, 2007, Pearson, Education, Inc. Section 15.1 Voting Methods.
Voting Tie Breakers. With each method described – plurality method, Borda count method, plurality with elimination method, and pairwise comparison method.
1.6 Rankings. Sometimes, we are not just interested in the first place winner of the election, but also want to know who comes in second, third … There.
Why We Should Use the Plurality with Elimination Voting Method.
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 15 Section 1 - Slide Election Theory Voting Methods.
Warm-Up Rank the following soft drinks according to your preference (1 being the soft drink you like best and 4 being the one you like least)  Dr. Pepper.
How Should Presidents Be Elected? E. Maskin Institute for Advanced Study.
The Mathematics of Voting Chapter 1. Preference Ballot A Ballot in which the voters are asked to rank the candidates in order of preference. 1. Brownies.
© 2010 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved Flaws of Voting Methods.
Copyright 2013, 2010, 2007, Pearson, Education, Inc. Section 15.2 Flaws of Voting.
14.2 Homework Solutions Plurality: Musical play Borda count: Classical play Plurality-with-elimination: Classical play Pairwise Comparison: Classical play.
The mathematics of voting The paradoxes of democracy.
Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 1 The Mathematics of Voting 1.1Preference Ballots and Preference.
Excursions in Modern Mathematics, 7e: 1.Conclusion - 2Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. 1 The Mathematics of Voting CONCLUSION Elections, Fairness,
Fairness Criteria Fairness Criteria: properties we expect a good voting system to satisfy.Fairness Criteria: properties we expect a good voting system.
My guy lost? What’s up with that….  In the 1950’s, Kenneth Arrow, a mathematical economist, proved that a method for determining election results that.
1.
1 The Process of Computing Election Victories Computational Sociology: Social Choice and Voting Methods CS110: Introduction to Computer Science – Lab Module.
Voting: Does the Majority Always Rule?
Voting and Apportionment
Plurality and Borda Count Method
1 The Mathematics of Voting
1.
8.2 Voting Possibilities and Fairness Criteria
1.3 The Borda Count Method.
Let’s say we have a town of 10,000 people electing a mayor using the Plurality with Elimination Voting Method. There are 4 candidates, candidate A, candidate.
Warm Up – 5/27 - Monday How many people voted in the election?
Warm Up – 1/23 - Thursday How many people voted in the election?
Social Choice Theory [Election Theory]
Section 15.2 Flaws of Voting
5-2 Election Theory Flaws of Voting.
Plurality with Elimination
Quiz – 1/24 - Friday How many people voted in the election?
Section 14.1 Voting Methods.
Flaws of the Voting Methods
Voting Fairness.
Presentation transcript:

§ 1.6 Rankings “Rome’s biggest contribution to American government was probably its legal system [... ] [which] would later form the basis of both the Bill of Rights and a mind-numbing quantity of Law and Order scripts.” - America (The Book)

Elections With Rankings  In Lawrence city commission elections, the candidate with the highest number of votes becomes mayor while other candidates are simply commissioners.  This is a simple example of an election where more than just the ‘winner’ is important--in these instances we must consider the ranking of each vote- getter.

Extended Ranking Methods  Each of the four counting methods described earlier this week has a natural extension.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Let’s look at the Muppet example again; this time supposing that they are voting for a President, Vice-President and Treasurer. Let us first use the Extended Plurality Method. (This method--along with the weighting of the Electoral College--was originally used in US Presidential Elections.) OfficePlaceCandidateVotes Counting the first-place votes we get the following results: OfficePlaceCandidateVotes President1stPiggy21 Vice-Pres.2ndGonzo15 Treasurer3rdFozzie12 - None -4thKermit7

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Now let us see what happens with the Extended Borda Count Method. OfficePlaceCandidatePoints Tallying the points we find: OfficePlaceCandidatePoints President1stKermit160 Vice-Pres.2ndGonzo152 Treasurer3rdFozzie120 - None -4thPiggy118

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Now let us see what happens with the Extended Plurality-with-Elimination Method. OfficePlace CandidateEliminated In Extending Instant-Runoff Voting is a bit more subtle-- we will rank candidates based on when they were eliminated. The first choice that is eliminated will be ranked last. OfficePlace CandidateEliminated In President1st Fozzie Vice-Pres.2nd Piggy3rd Round Treasurer3rd Gonzo2nd Round - None -4th Kermit1st Round Note: If a majority appears before all candidates have been ranked, we will simply continue the process of elimination until all candidates have been ranked.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Now showing: Extended Pairwise Comparison Method. OfficePlaceCandidatePoints After examining all of the possible head-to-head pairings of candidates and awarding points we get: OfficePlaceCandidatePoints President1stKermit3 Vice-Pres.2ndGonzo2 Treasurer3rdFozzie1 - None -4thPiggy0

Recursive Ranking Methods  The four methods we have discussed can also be used to rank candidates in a recursive manner.  The Idea: Suppose we use some voting method to find the winner of an election. We will then remove the winner from our preference schedule and find the winner of this ‘new’ election--this candidate will be ranked second. We repeat this process until all candidates have been ranked.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Recursive Plurality Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) We have already seen that Piggy wins in a plurality system with 21 votes.

Example: Recursive Plurality Method. Number of voters st Choice KermitGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice GonzoKermitGonzoFozzie 3rd Choice Fozzie KermitGonzo Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) We have already seen that Piggy wins in a plurality system with 21 votes. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First we remove Piggy from our preference schedule. In this new schedule the winner is Kermit with 28 votes.

Example: Recursive Plurality Method. Number of voters st Choice GonzoFozzie 2nd Choice FozzieGonzo Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) We have already seen that Piggy wins in a plurality system with 21 votes. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First we remove Piggy from our preference schedule. In this new schedule the winner is Kermit with 28 votes. Step 3. (Choose 3rd place.) First remove Kermit from the preference schedule. In this new preference schedule Gonzo wins with 36 votes.

Example: Recursive Plurality Method. Number of voters st Choice GonzoFozzie 2nd Choice FozzieGonzo OfficePlaceCandidate Under this recursive method we have: OfficePlaceCandidate President1stPiggy Vice-Pres.2ndKermit Treasurer3rdGonzo - None -4thFozzie

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoFozzieKermit 2nd Choice Kermit GonzoFozzie 3rd Choice GonzoFozzieKermitGonzo 4th Choice FozziePiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) Using the Plurality- with-Elimination we have already seen that Fozzie would win.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoKermit 2nd Choice Kermit Gonzo 3rd Choice GonzoPiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) Using the Plurality- with-Elimination we have already seen that Fozzie would win. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First remove Fozzie from the preference schedule. Now we use the plurality-with-elimination method to find a winner.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyGonzoKermit 2nd Choice Kermit Gonzo 3rd Choice GonzoPiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) Using the Plurality- with-Elimination we have already seen that Fozzie would win. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First remove Fozzie from the preference schedule. Now we use the plurality-with-elimination method to find a winner. In this case, it is Gonzo.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyKermit 2nd Choice KermitPiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) Using the Plurality- with-Elimination we have already seen that Fozzie would win. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First remove Fozzie from the preference schedule. Now we use the plurality-with-elimination method to find a winner. In this case, it is Gonzo. Step 3. (Choose 3rd place.) First remove Gonzo from the schedule.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyKermit 2nd Choice KermitPiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. Step 1. (Choose 1st place.) Using the Plurality- with-Elimination we have already seen that Fozzie would win. Step 2. (Choose 2nd place.) First remove Fozzie from the preference schedule. Now we use the plurality-with-elimination method to find a winner. In this case, it is Gonzo. Step 3. (Choose 3rd place.) First remove Gonzo from the schedule. Now Kermit has a majority of the first-place votes in this schedule so he wins third place.

Example: Number of voters st Choice PiggyKermit 2nd Choice KermitPiggy Recursive Plurality-with-Elimination Method. OfficePlaceCandidate Under this recursive method we find: OfficePlaceCandidate President1stFozzie Vice-Pres.2ndGonzo Treasurer3rdKermit - None -4thPiggy

A Final Note: Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem  All of the voting methods we have seen so far have violated some form of fairness.  The natural question to ask is: “Is there a counting method that can be guaranteed to be both democratic and fair?”  Unfortunately, under rigorous definitions of “democratic and fair,” such social choices were shown by economist Kenneth Arrow to be impossible.