ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMCOAST Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes.

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Presentation transcript:

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMCOAST Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

2 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMCOAST

3 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

4 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

5 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

6 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

7 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

8 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMCOAST

9 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMCOAST

10 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

11 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

12 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

13 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

14 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMCOAST

15 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMCOAST

16 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMCOAST

17 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMCOAST

18 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

19 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

20 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

21 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

22 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

23 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

24 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

25 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMCOAST

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMEAST Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

27 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMEAST

28 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

29 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

30 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

31 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

32 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

33 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMEAST

34 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMEAST

35 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

36 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

37 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

38 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

39 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMEAST

40 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMEAST

41 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMEAST

42 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMEAST

43 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

44 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

45 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

46 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

47 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

48 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

49 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

50 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMEAST

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMFWEST Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

52 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMFWEST

53 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

54 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

55 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

56 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

57 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

58 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMFWEST

59 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMFWEST

60 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

61 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

62 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

63 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

64 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMFWEST

65 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMFWEST

66 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMFWEST

67 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMFWEST

68 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

69 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

70 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

71 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

72 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

73 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

74 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

75 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMFWEST

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMNCENT Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

77 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMNCENT

78 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

79 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

80 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

81 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

82 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

83 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNCENT

84 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMNCENT

85 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

86 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

87 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

88 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

89 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNCENT

90 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNCENT

91 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNCENT

92 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNCENT

93 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

94 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

95 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

96 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

97 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

98 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

99 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

100 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNCENT

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMNORTH Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

102 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMNORTH

103 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

104 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

105 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

106 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

107 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

108 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMNORTH

109 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMNORTH

110 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

111 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

112 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

113 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

114 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNORTH

115 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNORTH

116 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNORTH

117 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMNORTH

118 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

119 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

120 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

121 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

122 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

123 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

124 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

125 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMNORTH

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMSCENT Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

127 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMSCENT

128 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

129 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

130 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

131 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

132 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

133 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSCENT

134 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMSCENT

135 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

136 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

137 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

138 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

139 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSCENT

140 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSCENT

141 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSCENT

142 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSCENT

143 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

144 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

145 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

146 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

147 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

148 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

149 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

150 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSCENT

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMSOUTH Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

152 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMSOUTH

153 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

154 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

155 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

156 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

157 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

158 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMSOUTH

159 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMSOUTH

160 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

161 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

162 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

163 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

164 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSOUTH

165 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSOUTH

166 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSOUTH

167 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMSOUTH

168 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

169 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

170 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

171 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

172 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

173 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

174 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

175 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMSOUTH

ERCOT Load Research Sample to Profile Comparison July 24, 2006 BUSNODEMWEST Reflecting Prospective 2006 AV Profile ID Changes

177 Distribution of Sample Precision BUSNODEMWEST

178 Profile and Sample Comparison 1 Day of lowest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

179 Profile and Sample Comparison 2 Day of 25th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

180 Profile and Sample Comparison 3 Day of median total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

181 Profile and Sample Comparison 4 Day of 75th percentile total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

182 Profile and Sample Comparison 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

183 Profile and Sample Comparison: Scaled LRS 5 Day of highest total absolute kWh difference for 01/01/05 thru 12/31/05 BUSNODEMWEST

184 Profile and Sample Comparison BUSNODEMWEST

185 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

186 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

187 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

188 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

189 Differences for 1 st Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMWEST

190 Differences for 2 nd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMWEST

191 Differences for 3 rd Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMWEST

192 Differences for 4 th Quarter 2005 BUSNODEMWEST

193 Profile and Unscaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

194 Profile and Scaled Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

195 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

196 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

197 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

198 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

199 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST

200 Profile and Sample Differences BUSNODEMWEST