Selected aspects of agri-food sector in Poland Tomasz Berbeka PhD Wrocław University of Environment and Life Sciences Godollo 2010.

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Presentation transcript:

Selected aspects of agri-food sector in Poland Tomasz Berbeka PhD Wrocław University of Environment and Life Sciences Godollo 2010

After EU entry Poland’s balance of trade in the range of agri-food products has been positive while overall foreign trade balance remains negative. Last year’s balance of Poland’s foreign trade in agricultural and foods products stood at EUR 1.5 billion. During the first five years of Poland’s EU membership, the exports of our agricultural and food products grew from EUR 4.0 billion to EUR 11.3 billion, and imports from EUR 3.6 billion to EUR 9.8 billion. Both exports and imports increased 2.8 times. The positive balance went up from EUR 0.4 billion to EUR 1.5 billion, i.e. 3.3 times. These results speak for themselves[Sawicki2009]

Source: on the basis of statistical yearbookwww.minrol.gov.pl Table 1. Share and place of Polish agriculture in the world and in the EU (27 states)

Source: on the basis of statistical yearbookwww.minrol.gov.pl Figure 1. Share of agriculture, forestry and hunting in gross domestic product

Figure 2. Structure of utilisation of land in 2008 Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Figure 3. Structure of individual farms by area groups of agricultural land in 2000 and 2007 (in %) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Figure 4. Structure of individual farms by area groups of agricultural land in 2000 and 2007 (in %) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 2. Average prices of farmland and meadows in private trade Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Figure 5. Sale prices of agricultural property owned by the APA in PLN/ha, between 2002 and 2008 Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 3. Dynamics of global and commercial agricultural production in % - current prices Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 6. Structure of global agricultural production in 2000 and 2007 (in % - current prices) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 7. Structure of commercial agricultural production in 2000 and 2007 (in % - current prices) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 4. Price relations of agricultural products to goods and services purchased by agricultural holdings Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 5. Comparison of selected data regarding an average agricultural holding in the FADN system for years 2007 and 2008 Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 8. Crop structure in 2000, 2007 and 2008 (in %) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 6. Basic cereals balance in thousand tonnes Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Table 7. Harvest of fruit – bearing trees and plantations of berries (in thousand tonnes) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 9. Groups and organizations of fruit and vegetables producers (by voivodeships) Source:

Table 8. Farm animals between 1995 and 2008 (the situation in June) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 9. Production of basic animal products between 1996 and 2008 Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 10. Market prices of pigs in the EU (EUR/100 kg of post-slaughter weight) and prices in Poland expressed in % of those prices (July and December 2007 and 2008) Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Table 11. Use of mineral and calcium fertilisers (in NPK per 1 ha of agricultural land) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 12. Prices of the means of agricultural production (previous year=100) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 10. The number of organic farms inspected in Poland in Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 11. The number of organic farms in Poland in 2008, broken down by Voivodeships Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 13. Production sales in food industry, as compared to total domestic industry in 2008 (in enterprises employing 50 persons and more) Source: GUS agriculturewww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 14. Production of selected foodstuffs and beverages Source: Concise Statistical Yearbookwww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 15. Annual consumption of basic food products per head (kg/litres/pieces) Source: Concise Statistical Yearbookwww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 16. Fish and seafood balance in Poland (by live weight in thousands of tonnes) Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Fig. 12. Results of foreign trade in agri-food products (million EUR) Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Table 17. Share of agri-food products in Poland’s total foreign trade (%) Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Table 18. Foreign trade in agri-food products in , broken down by groups of countries (million EUR) Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Fig. 13. Geographical structure of export and import of agri-food products in 2008 Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Fig. 14. Commodity structure of import and export of agri-food products in 2008 Source: estimation by IERiGŻ

Table 19. Number and quota of investment credits with ARMA’s subsidies to interests granted in 2008 according to credit lines Source: ARMAwww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 20. Rates of direct payments in 2008 Source: ARMAwww.minrol.gov.pl

Table 21. Implementation of Rural Development Plan as of Source: ARMAwww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 15. Implementation of Rural Development Plan as of (in %) Source: ARMAwww.minrol.gov.pl

Fig. 16. The average lease rent for agricultural land in the contracts signed by APA between 1992 and 2009 (in dt wheat per 1 ha) Source: APAwww.minrol.gov.pl

Conclusions For the last 5 years the development of food industry was based on stable foundations, formed by the growth of domestic and export demand. In recent years the dynamic growth in food processing sector amounted to 6% per year and only in 2008 this rate slowed down. In comparison to 2007, dynamics of the foodstuff s and beverages production sales amounted to 101.2%, though in comparison to 2005 it amounted to 115.2%. The slow down of this increase begun in May 2008 and had its source in the general economic recession as well as the weakening of Polish economy and, consequently, in the decrease of demand in internal markets of our trade partners. Results of foreign trade in food products, which have been achieved aft er Poland’s accession to the EU, attest to the high competitiveness of Polish food producers in foreign markets. Furthermore, they confirm that our export off er is safe and has both good quality and attractive prices for foreign consumers

Conclusions Both marketing and Polish agri-food products promotion characterise with low activity. The situation in this respect might improve radically as a result of solutions adopted by the new Act on food promotion funds. In 2008 the growth of food industry production sales amounted to 1.2%. Population’s income, which determines the demand for food, is a derivative of the growth in GDP, which rose by 4.9% in 2008, as compared to The total food consumption increased by 5.9%, the average remuneration rose by 10.2%, the average old-age or disability pension from the non-agricultural social insurance system increased by 9.2%, and that from the agricultural social insurance system rose by 5.4%. The unemployment rate fell from 11.2% in 2007 to 9.2% in At the same time, the food prices rose by 6.2% (the prices of goods and services increased, on average, by 4.2%), including the price of bread and cereal products by 11.5%, pork – 4.7%, poultry – 6.2%, fish – 2.8%, milk, cheese and eggs – 9.5%, oils and other fats – 10.5%, fruit – 6.2%. Vegetable prices fell by 1.6% and sugar prices by 9.3%. Th e prices of non-alcoholic beverages rose by 5.0%, of alcoholic beverages – by 6.4%, and of tobacco products – by 9.3%.

Conclusions Despite a relative increase in food prices in 2008, only small changes took place in terms of food consumption. Milk and sugar consumption oscillated basically at the last year level, while the vegetable, potato and egg consumption lowered. It is estimated that in 2008 the balance meat and processed meat consumption amounted to 75.4 kg per head and was lower than in 2007 by 2.2 kg. With a small increase in poultry consumption (by 1.3%), both the beef and pork consumption decreased by 2.5%. This situation resulted from a considerable decrease in slaughter pigs production and their prices rise. This, in turn, lead to a significant increase in retail prices of meat and processed meat in 2008 (by 5.4%), including pork by 8.8% and beef by 4.6% with a small fall of poultry prices (by 2%). In the processed meat group the greatest price increase has been noted in popular sausages and haslets (by 9 – 12%). The smallest price increase has been noted in case of cured poultry meat, tinned meat as well as high-quality cured meat and dry sausages (by 3–4%). In 2008 the decreasing tendency in cereals and cereal products consumption continued. Only the confectionery consumption was higher. In 2008 the total cereal products consumption amounted to 7.23 kg monthly per citizen and was lower by approximately 3% than in 2007.

Conclusions Within the 5 years of our EU Membership the export of agri-food products increased from EUR 4.0 billion to EUR 11.3 billion (2.8 times) whereas the import increased from EUR 3.6 billion to EUR 9.8 billion (also 2.8 times) and the surplus increased 3.3 times from EUR 0.4 billion to EUR 1.5 billion. Despite the observed positive transformations, efficient competition with the other Community States is hampered by a relatively low concentration level of agricultural production and food processing, low labour efficiency in food industry and not very active marketing and promotion of Polish agri-food products. The creation of durable competition advantages requires the formation of a highly productive, market-oriented segment of farms in Poland [