Evolution in Ireland’s FDI Intensity Frank Barry Professor of International Business and Development Trinity College Dublin.

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Presentation transcript:

Evolution in Ireland’s FDI Intensity Frank Barry Professor of International Business and Development Trinity College Dublin

Ireland’s current FDI intensity in international comparative context

But Ireland has a longer history of FDI that most people suppose! Ireland’s first major FDI success – Ford Motor Company began tractor production for export in Cork in 1919 Employed almost 6,000 in 1929 Still employed 1,000 in the 1950s

Substantial Tariff-Jumping FDI from 1920s to 1950s

Players and Wills (cigarettes) set up Irish factories in the early 1920s – 1,500 employed between them c Cadburys (1932) – 2,000 employed c Irish Dunlop (1934/5) – 1,300 employed c Clarks Shoes (1938) – 1,000 employed in Irish partner firm c. 1960

What was the sectoral distribution of FDI under protectionism? “Evidence suggests no general principle in sectors attracting outside penetration” – 1928 report on foreign ownership by Department of Industry and Commerce “Expansion of foreign-owned industry in the 1920s resulted from changing market demand, in particular the growing importance of advertising, which led to the emergence of large conglomerates in consumer industries” – Historian Mary Daly (1992)

In fact, exactly as today, FDI congregated in advertising-intensive and R&D-intensive industrial sectors Even in the protectionist era – Foreign firms accounted for insignificant shares of employment in sectors such as Wood and Furniture, Paper and Printing, Non-Metallic Minerals, Iron and Steel Manufactures – Accounted for the bulk of employment in sectors such as Chemicals, Electrical Equipment and Apparatus, Wireless TV and Telecommunications Equipment

In the mid-1950s (before trade liberalisation), Ireland stumbled on its low corporation tax strategy of attracting export-oriented industry: “export profits tax relief”

New Faber-Castell Factory in Fermoy, mid-1950s

Sectoral distribution of foreign-firm manufacturing employment Food, Beverages and Tobacco2411 Textiles, Clothing and Footwear190 Chemicals (including Pharma)824 Machinery and Equipment45 Electrical and Electronic (including Office and Data Processing) 521 Medical Devices425 Transport Equipment113 Remainder2411

Employment in foreign-owned manufacturing and foreign-owned internationally-traded services Foreign-owned manufacturing89,16780,089 Foreign-owned internationally-traded services 7,39859,110

Interactions between different tax jurisdictions have become increasingly complex MNC transfer pricing issues Increasing importance of intellectual property Rival tax philosophies of Democrats and Republicans in the US Caribbean tax havens and the geographic architecture of US MNCs

Notwithstanding the fact that foreign MNCs use substantial inputs of Irish services, they are also huge importers of intermediate goods and make huge royalty and licence payments abroad. For Ireland, royalty and licence payments abroad are about as large as computer services exports

Conclusions Because of the huge import content associated with global production sharing, export data are much less revealing than they once were The rules of how we measure revealed comparative advantage need to be rewritten