Pierfrancesco Cacciola Senior Lecturer in Civil Engineering ( Structural Design ) School of Environment and Technology, University of Brighton, Cockcroft.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Random Processes Introduction (2)
Advertisements

The Spectral Representation of Stationary Time Series.
On the Trend, Detrend and the Variability of Nonlinear and Nonstationary Time Series A new application of HHT.
Structural reliability analysis with probability- boxes Hao Zhang School of Civil Engineering, University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia Michael Beer Institute.
Markov Chain Monte Carlo Convergence Diagnostics: A Comparative Review By Mary Kathryn Cowles and Bradley P. Carlin Presented by Yuting Qi 12/01/2006.
Characterizing Non- Gaussianities or How to tell a Dog from an Elephant Jesús Pando DePaul University.
Statistical properties of Random time series (“noise”)
Lecture 3 Probability and Measurement Error, Part 2.
CHAPTER 16 MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO
Graduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University
Lecture 6 Power spectral density (PSD)
1 Alberto Montanari University of Bologna Simulation of synthetic series through stochastic processes.
Stochastic processes Lecture 8 Ergodicty.
EE322 Digital Communications
Non-Linear Statistical Static Timing Analysis for Non-Gaussian Variation Sources Lerong Cheng 1, Jinjun Xiong 2, and Prof. Lei He 1 1 EE Department, UCLA.
CF-3 Bank Hapoalim Jun-2001 Zvi Wiener Computational Finance.
Probability theory 2010 Main topics in the course on probability theory  Multivariate random variables  Conditional distributions  Transforms  Order.
SYSTEMS Identification
Descriptive statistics Experiment  Data  Sample Statistics Experiment  Data  Sample Statistics Sample mean Sample mean Sample variance Sample variance.
G. Cowan Lectures on Statistical Data Analysis 1 Statistical Data Analysis: Lecture 8 1Probability, Bayes’ theorem, random variables, pdfs 2Functions of.
The moment generating function of random variable X is given by Moment generating function.
Using ranking and DCE data to value health states on the QALY scale using conventional and Bayesian methods Theresa Cain.
Review of Probability and Random Processes
Lecture II-2: Probability Review
Principles of the Global Positioning System Lecture 10 Prof. Thomas Herring Room A;
Review of Probability.
Prof. SankarReview of Random Process1 Probability Sample Space (S) –Collection of all possible outcomes of a random experiment Sample Point –Each outcome.
Probability Theory and Random Processes
ECE 8443 – Pattern Recognition LECTURE 06: MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD AND BAYESIAN ESTIMATION Objectives: Bias in ML Estimates Bayesian Estimation Example Resources:
Chapter 14 Monte Carlo Simulation Introduction Find several parameters Parameter follow the specific probability distribution Generate parameter.
Review for Exam I ECE460 Spring, 2012.
EE484: Probability and Introduction to Random Processes Autocorrelation and the Power Spectrum By: Jason Cho
Random Processes ECE460 Spring, Power Spectral Density Generalities : Example: 2.
Assimilation of HF Radar Data into Coastal Wave Models NERC-funded PhD work also supervised by Clive W Anderson (University of Sheffield) Judith Wolf (Proudman.
Stochastic Monte Carlo methods for non-linear statistical inverse problems Benjamin R. Herman Department of Electrical Engineering City College of New.
Binary Stochastic Fields: Theory and Application to Modeling of Two-Phase Random Media Steve Koutsourelakis University of Innsbruck George Deodatis Columbia.
Outline of Chapter 9: Using Simulation to Solve Decision Problems Real world decisions are often too complex to be analyzed effectively using influence.
1 IEE5668 Noise and Fluctuations Prof. Ming-Jer Chen Dept. Electronics Engineering National Chiao-Tung University 03/11/2015 Lecture 3: Mathematics and.
2. Stationary Processes and Models
Elements of Stochastic Processes Lecture II
SYSTEMS Identification Ali Karimpour Assistant Professor Ferdowsi University of Mashhad Reference: “System Identification Theory For The User” Lennart.
Chapter 1 Random Process
Geometry of Stochastic Differential Equations John Armstrong (KCL), Damiano Brigo (Imperial) New perspectives in differential geometry, Rome, November.
STOCHASTIC HYDROLOGY Stochastic Simulation of Bivariate Distributions Professor Ke-Sheng Cheng Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering National.
Lab for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering National Taiwan University 1/45 GEOSTATISTICS INTRODUCTION.
Discrete-time Random Signals
1 EE571 PART 3 Random Processes Huseyin Bilgekul Eeng571 Probability and astochastic Processes Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Eastern.
Geology 6600/7600 Signal Analysis 09 Sep 2015 © A.R. Lowry 2015 Last time: Signal Analysis is a set of tools used to extract information from sequences.
ECE-7000: Nonlinear Dynamical Systems 2. Linear tools and general considerations 2.1 Stationarity and sampling - In principle, the more a scientific measurement.
Random Processes Gaussian and Gauss-Markov processes Power spectrum of random processes and white processes.
1 Chapter 8: Model Inference and Averaging Presented by Hui Fang.
The Unscented Particle Filter 2000/09/29 이 시은. Introduction Filtering –estimate the states(parameters or hidden variable) as a set of observations becomes.
Stochastic Hydrology Random Field Simulation Professor Ke-Sheng Cheng Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering National Taiwan University.
Power Spectral Estimation
G. Cowan Lectures on Statistical Data Analysis Lecture 9 page 1 Statistical Data Analysis: Lecture 9 1Probability, Bayes’ theorem 2Random variables and.
1 Review of Probability and Random Processes. 2 Importance of Random Processes Random variables and processes talk about quantities and signals which.
Random process UNIT III Prepared by: D.MENAKA, Assistant Professor, Dept. of ECE, Sri Venkateswara College of Engineering, Sriperumbudur, Tamilnadu.
디지털통신 Random Process 임 민 중 동국대학교 정보통신공학과 1.
Chapter 6 Random Processes
Why Stochastic Hydrology ?
Advanced Statistical Computing Fall 2016
Outline Introduction Signal, random variable, random process and spectra Analog modulation Analog to digital conversion Digital transmission through baseband.
Filtering and State Estimation: Basic Concepts
Central Limit Theorem: Sampling Distribution.
Testing the Fit of a Quantal Model of Neurotransmission
CHAPTER – 1.2 UNCERTAINTIES IN MEASUREMENTS.
Chapter 6 Random Processes
Professor Ke-sheng Cheng
Basic descriptions of physical data
CHAPTER – 1.2 UNCERTAINTIES IN MEASUREMENTS.
Presentation transcript:

Pierfrancesco Cacciola Senior Lecturer in Civil Engineering ( Structural Design ) School of Environment and Technology, University of Brighton, Cockcroft building, Lewes Road, BN2 4GJ, Brighton, UK Simulation of high variable random processes through the spectral- representation-based approach

Outline Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method Enhancing the variability of the spectral representation method Butterworth filter Numerical results Concluding Remarks

Consider the zero mean one-dimensional and uni-variate Gaussian non- stationary stochastic process defined as Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method Evolutionary power spectral density function defined (Priestley, 1965) Where with is a small interval

the ensemble average in equation is not commonly used to define the evolutionary spectrum due the difficulties in its numerical evaluation related to the Uncertainty Principle. Therefore indirect representation Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method As a consequence

Stationary case: Wiener-Khintchin relationships Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method

For the stationary case the power spectral density function can be also determined directly from experimental data Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method Once defined the power spectral density function either through experimental or physical/theoretical approaches the simulation of the sample of the non-stationary random process through the spectral representation method is performed using the following equation (Shinozuka and Deodatis 1988, Deodatis 1996)

The simulated process is asymptotically Gaussian as N tend to infinity due to the Central Limit Theorem The ensemble averaged mean and correlations tends to the target BUT Simulation of random processes via the spectral representation method The variability of the energy distribution/Fourier spectra is not controlled

Enhancing the variability of the spectral representation method: Recorded Earthquakes in Messina time [sec] a g [ c m / s e c 2 ] time [sec] a g [ c m / s e c 2 ] time [sec] a g [ c m / s e c 2 ] time [sec] a g [ c m / s e c 2 ]

Enhancing the variability of the spectral representation method: Recorded Earthquakes in Messina

To enhance the variability of the simulated random samples in this paper it is proposed to introduce a random filter acting in series with the expected value of the power spectrum Enhancing the variability of the spectral representation method is real positive function that satisfies the following equation is the vector collecting the random parameters of the filter is the joint probability density function of random parameter of the filter

Embedding the proposed random spectrum in the traditional spectral representation method (SRM) the following simulation formula is derived Enhancing the variability of the spectral representation method The samples generated by equation are Gaussian as N tends to infinity due to the Central Limit Theorem and converge to the target mean and correlation function (proved in the paper)

can be determined considering the distribution of the energy around the expected vale for each frequency (practically unfeasible). Alternative strategy is to consider synthetic parameters defining the variability of the energy distribution such as the bandwidths and central frequency. To this aim the following pass-band Butterworth filter will be adopted Butterworth filter

The distribution of the filter parameters and can be defined through experimental data measuring the central frequency and bandwidth of the squared Fourier spectrum of the recorded samples.

Butterworth filter to illustrative purpose the filter parameters will be assumed statistical independent and uniformly distributed. Therefore, Therefore, with

Numerical results Stationary case: Kanai-Tajimi spectrum - simulated samples : a) Traditional SRM; b) proposed EV-SRM

Numerical results Stationary case: Kanai-Tajimi spectrum – Fourier transform of the simulated samples :a) Traditional SRM; b) proposed EV-SRM

Numerical results Stationary case: Kanai-Tajimi spectrum – proof of convergence

Numerical results Non-Stationary case: Evolutionary Kanai-Tajimi spectrum - simulated samples : a) Traditional SRM; b) proposed EV-SRM

Numerical results Stationary case: Evolutionary Kanai-Tajimi spectrum – Fourier transform of the simulated samples :a) Traditional SRM; b) proposed EV-SRM

Numerical results Stationary case: Evolutionary Kanai-Tajimi spectrum – proof of convergence

Numerical results The influence of the enhanced spectrum variability is then investigated through the Monte Carlo study of the distribution of peak values Convergence of the mean value of the peak versus the number of samples n for the a) stationary and b) non-stationary process: traditional SRM (solid line), SRM with enhanced variability (dash-dotted line).

Numerical results The influence of the enhanced spectrum variability is then investigated through the Monte Carlo study of the distribution of peak values Convergence of the variance of the peak value versus the number of samples n for the a) stationary and b) non-stationary process: traditional SRM (solid line), SRM with enhanced variability (dash-dotted line).

Numerical results The influence of the enhanced spectrum variability is then investigated through the Monte Carlo study of the distribution of peak values Comparison between the distribution of peaks for the a) stationary and b) non-stationary process: traditional SRM (solid line), SRM with enhanced variability (dash-dotted line).

Numerical results The influence of the enhanced spectrum variability is then investigated through the Monte Carlo study of the distribution of peak values Comparison between the cumulative distribution of peaks for the a) stationary and b) non-stationary process: traditional SRM (solid line), SRM with enhanced variability (dash-dotted line).

A modification to the traditional spectral-representation-method aimed to control the variability of the simulated samples of the random process is proposed. The Butterworth pass-band filter with random parameters has been included in the simulation formula to generate samples with different Fourier spectra. Remarkably the peak distribution is significantly sensible to the spectrum variability and the latter should be carefully considered when reliability analyses are performed. It is also expected in general that the spectrum variability influence whereas non-linear transformation of the power spectrum.are involved. Concluding remarks