Maine Economic & Demographic Trends By Galen Rose Economist Maine State Planning Office August 2005.

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Presentation transcript:

Maine Economic & Demographic Trends By Galen Rose Economist Maine State Planning Office August 2005

Reasons for Maine’s slow Population Growth Average age is oldest of all US states (40.2 in 2003) Predominately white population (97%) Not a major immigration destination

Employers in Waterville Micropolitan Area with 100 or More Employees, October to December, 2004 RankEmployerTownEmpl. RangeDescription 1MAINEGENERAL MEDICAL CTR AUGUSTAWATERVILLE General medical and surgical hospitals 2L L BEAN INCWATERVILLE Mail-order houses 3COLBY COLLEGEWATERVILLE Colleges and universities 4WATERVILLE SCHOOL DEPTWATERVILLE Elementary and secondary schools 5INLAND HOSPITALWATERVILLE General medical and surgical hospitals 6HUHTAMAKI PACKAGINGWATERVILLE All other converted paper product mfg. 7MESSALONSKEE HIGH SCHOOL ET ALOAKLAND Elementary and secondary schools 8CARE & COMFORTWATERVILLE Home health care services 9WAL MART ASSOCIATES INCWATERVILLE Discount department stores 10MOUNT ST JOSEPH NURSING HOMEWATERVILLE Nursing care facilities 11COLBY COLLEGE FOOD SERVICEWATERVILLE Food service contractors 12ASSISTANCE PLUSWATERVILLE Services for the elderly and disabled 13REHABWORKS LLCWATERVILLE Offices of specialty therapists 14SHAWS SUPERMARKETS INCWATERVILLE Supermarkets and other grocery stores 15COMPUTER SCIENCES CORPORATIONWINSLOW Computer facilities management services 16BENTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOLBENTON Elementary and secondary schools 17FORMTEK INCCLINTON Other metalworking machinery manufacturing 18HANNAFORD BROS COWATERVILLE Supermarkets and other grocery stores 19HOME DEPOT USA INCWATERVILLE Home centers 20OAK GROVE NURSING CARE CENTERWATERVILLE Nursing care facilities 21HANNAFORD BROS COWATERVILLE Supermarkets and other grocery stores 22UNITED PARCEL SERVICEWATERVILLE Couriers 23THOMAS COLLEGEWATERVILLE Colleges and universities 24J C PENNEY CO INCWATERVILLE Department stores, except discount 25HEALTH REACH NETWORKWATERVILLE Home health care services 26MID STATE MACHINE PRODUCTS INCWINSLOW Machine shops 27THULE TRAILERS INCWINSLOW Travel trailer and camper manufacturing

HISTORICAL GROWTH RANKINGS Population Growth 1990 – 2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 0.4%) Full & Part-Time Empl. Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 1.2%) Taxable Ret. Sales Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.5%) 1 York1.3%1 Waldo3.5% 1 Lincoln5.9% 2 Lincoln1.0%2 Knox2.7% 2 Waldo5.9% 3 Waldo 1.0%3 Lincoln2.6% 3 Hancock5.5% 4 Hancock1.0%4 Hancock2.5% 4 Cumberland5.5% 5 Cumberland0.9%5 Washington1.8% 5 York 5.4% 6 Knox0.8%6 Cumberland1.7% 6 Knox5.2% 7 Sagadahoc0.5%7 Somerset1.3% 7 Androscoggin4.4% 8 Oxford0.4%8 Androscoggin1.1% 8 Penobscot4.3% 9 Somerset0.2%9 York1.1% 9 Kennebec4.1% 10 Franklin0.1% 10 Oxford1.0% 10 Oxford4.0% 11 Kennebec0.1% 11 Penobscot0.9% 11 Piscataquis2.3% 12 Penobscot -0.1% 12 Franklin0.0% 12 Franklin1.9% 13 Androscoggin -0.2% 13 Kennebec0.3% 13 Sagadahoc1.4% 14 Washington -0.4% 14 Piscataquis0.2% 14 Aroostook1.2% 15 Piscataquis -0.8% 15 Sagadahoc -0.6% 15 Washington1.2% 16 Aroostook -1.6% 16 Aroostook -0.7% 16 Somerset0.8% Personal Income Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.2%) Per Capita Income Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 3.8%) 1 Waldo5.6%1 Waldo 4.6% 2 Knox5.1%2 Washington 4.3% 3 Cumberland4.8%3 Knox 4.2% 4 York4.7%4 Penobscot 4.1% 5 Hancock4.6%5 Piscataquis 4.0% 6 Lincoln4.1%6 Cumberland 3.9% 7 Penobscot3.9%7 Aroostook 3.8% 8 Oxford3.9%8 Androscoggin 3.8% 9 Washington3.8%9 Franklin 3.7% 10 Franklin3.8% 10 Hancock 3.7% 11 Sagadahoc3.7% 11 Oxford 3.5% 12 Somerset3.7% 12 Somerset 3.5% 13 Androscoggin3.6% 13 Kennebec 3.4% 14 Kennebec3.5% 14 York 3.3% 15 Piscataquis3.2% 15 Sagadahoc 3.3% 16 Aroostook2.1% 16 Lincoln 3.1%

FORECAST GROWTH RANKINGS Population Growth 2000 – 2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 0.5%) Full & Part-Time Empl. Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 1.7%) Taxable Ret. Sales Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 5.0%) 1 York1.0%1 Lincoln4.2% 1 Waldo6.2% 2 Hancock0.9%2 Hancock2.7% 2 Hancock6.1% 3 Waldo 0.8%3 Washington2.4% 3 Cumberland6.1% 4 Lincoln0.8%4 Cumberland2.3% 4 York5.9% 5 Knox0.7%5 Waldo2.3% 5 Sagadahoc 5.9% 6 Cumberland0.7%6 Knox2.2% 6 Lincoln5.8% 7 Sagadahoc0.5%7 Somerset1.7% 7 Knox5.7% 8 Oxford0.3%8 Kennebec1.3% 8 Oxford5.0% 9 Franklin0.3%9 Oxford1.3% 9 Kennebec4.5% 10 Somerset0.2% 10 York1.2% 10 Androscoggin3.4% 11 Kennebec0.2% 11 Penobscot1.2% 11 Penobscot3.3% 12 Penobscot 0.1% 12 Aroostook1.1% 12 Franklin2.5% 13 Androscoggin -0.0% 13 Franklin1.0% 13 Washington2.3% 14 Washington -0.2% 14 Androscoggin0.9% 14 Piscataquis2.1% 15 Aroostook -0.2% 15 Piscataquis 0.4% 15 Somerset1.9% 16 Piscataquis -0.5% 16 Sagadahoc -1.4% 16 Aroostook1.8% Personal Income Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.9%) Per Capita Income Growth Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.4%) 1 Waldo6.2%1 Cumberland 5.3% 2 Cumberland61%2 Waldo 5.3% 3 Hancock6.1%3 Hancock 5.1% 4 Knox5.7%4 Penobscot 5.0% 5 Lincoln5.6%5 Knox 4.9% 6 York5.6%6 Lincoln 4.7% 7 Penobscot5.1%7 York 4.6% 8 Sagadahoc5.0%8 Sagadahoc 4.5% 9 Oxford4.6%9 Oxford 4.2% 10 Kennebec4.3% 10 Piscataquis 4.1% 11 Franklin3.9% 11 Kennebec 4.1% 12 Somerset3.8% 12 Aroostook 3.7% 13 Piscataquis3.5% 13 Franklin 3.6% 14 Aroostook3.5% 14 Somerset 3.6% 15 Androscoggin2.9% 15 Washington 3.0% 16 Washington2.9% 16 Androscoggin 3.0%