A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 1 Imagine… Small UAVs can follow an insurgent into a building and target that building for real-time coalition air strikes An.

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Presentation transcript:

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 1 Imagine… Small UAVs can follow an insurgent into a building and target that building for real-time coalition air strikes An ammunition supply team can re-direct deliveries to an unforeseen hot-spot A government buyer can find a new provider for a key component A disaster recovery team can add and dismiss critical participants from NGOs and business/industry as field conditions develop A re-tasked Commander can plan on-the-fly A training environment in which trainees can do virtual ride-alongs A spouse can establish a relocation plan despite a last minute change in orders A unit in the field can access information as soon as it is available and posted (without delays for extended analysis) Medical specialists can be located as battlefield wounds are being stabilized Assignments Officers can maintain pace with battlefield realities and academic opportunities …We’re beginning to see these happen today

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 2 NII Support for the Warfighter Achieving Net-Centric Operations John Landon Deputy to the ASD(NII) for C3ISR & IT Acquisition March 29, 2006

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 3 We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them. Albert Einstein

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 4 What does “Net-Centric” Ops Mean? People, processes, and technology working together to enable timely: –ACCESS to information – SHARING of information – A PERSISTENT COLLABORATION CAPABILITY available to those who need it, when they need it Better information leads to better decisions

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 5 In a Net-Centric Environment, Data, Value-Added Services, and Applications are: –Visible – e.g. easily discoverable to users and applications –Accessible – e.g. authorized users and applications have immediate access to data posted to the network –Understandable – e.g. metadata provides a rich semantic understanding

Net-Centric Environment Architecture *COI is Community of Interest*UDOP is User-Defined Operating Picture UDOP Net Centric Infrastructure Mission Applications Core Enterprise Services Information Assurance Computing Data Management Transport NetOps Value-Added Services App Data Sources Data Streams COI Services Interfacing Services OtherImagesFiles Context Alert Orchestration Edge Services Business Processes IntelligenceEIEWarfightingBusiness Enables visibility, accessibility, and understandability

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 7 UDOP vs COP A UDOP is a visual display of data sources which are available in common to the community –The information available is not pre-determined –The user selects the data sources, value-added services, applications, and presentation. A COP is a visual representation of a common database shared by some community –The information available is limited to pre-arranged data sources, COP: User “gets what somebody else decided he needs” UDOP: User “takes what he needs” and “contributes what he knows”

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 8 Google Earth and the Keyhole Markup Language provide an example of what a UDOP might be like Katrina Damage Assessment 14Sep-10am KMZ file Katrina Damage Assessment 14Sep-10am KMZ file

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 9 Net-Centric Ops Enablers? Net-Centric Data Strategy –Visible, accessible, usable A COI is … –a Community, of people, who are all Interested in something, and need to share information –Establish standards on how information will be exchanged Information Assurance –More than firewalls: keeps data secure, not just safe GIG –People, processes, technology

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 10 NCO Hurdles Get concepts turned into reality Get warfighter to realize value of Net-Centric Operations Get the Net-Centric Message Out

A Net-Centric DoD NII/CIO 11 Shifting Gears

12 Source: FY 2005 President’s Budget Defense Discretionary Non-Defense Discretionary Mandatory Net Interest 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Percentage of GDP Federal Spending by Category as a Percentage of GDP FY FY 2009

13 Total DoD Topline FY 2007 President’s Budget Fiscal Year $Billion FY06-11 Investment Averages 37% of Topline FY06-11 O&M Averages 35% of Topline FY06-11 Military Pay Averages 24% of Topline

14 PB07 Top 10 Investment Programs FY06-11 Cumulative Total = $233B Approximately 22% of total Investment consumed by Top 10 Programs FCS JSF BMDS Virginia Class Sub DD(X) F-22A V-22 CVN-21 F/A-18E/F TSAT

15 What’s the Message? Federal Budget seeks Equilibrium Mandatory Payments are Growing …..But Federal Topline remains at 20% GDP DoD Investment remains fairly stable

16 What’s Our Performance?

17 $42.1 B $47.9 B Additional investment needed under FY 2005 plan for completing the 8 programs FY 1998 plan for completing development of 8 programs FY ’05: $89.95 billion total Source: GAO Analysis of SAR data (12/31/96 and 12/31/03) on the 8 weapon systems among the highest R&D budget requests for FY Note: All dollars are in constant FY 2005 dollars. $ billions $0 $50 $100 '96'97'98'99'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12 FY 1998 PlanFY 2005 Plan 8 Programs: JSF, Comanche, SBIRS-H, F/A-22, V-22, EFV, DDG-51, SSN-774 Cumulative Effect of R&D Cost Growth on Developing Weapon Systems 1

18 DOD Programs Frequently Rebaseline GAO found that 49 of the 81 major defense programs (60 percent) reporting in 2003, rebaselined more than once during the life of the program. Programs with largest number of rebaselinings: Based on Analysis of DOD SAR Data Program Latest Rebaseline Number of Rebaselinings F/A-22 DDG 51 SM-2 Block V SSN-21 April 2004 August 2002 August 1999 April Year of Program Start Source: GAO Report , Defense Acquisition, March 2005

19 GAO Analysis of 26 DoD Acquisition Programs Source: GAO Report , Assessments of Selected Major Weapons Systems, March 2005 Cost and Cycle Time Growth for 26 Selected DoD Weapons Systems FY05 $ Billions Total Cost RDT&E Cost First Full Estimate Latest Full Estimate Percent Change $479.6 $102.0 $548.9 $ Simple Average Cycle Time 94.9 Months114.7 Months Programs Assessed: AESA, AEHF, APKWS, C-5 AMP, C-5 RERP, CH-47F, CEC, E-2 AHE, EA-18G, Excalibur, EFV, ERGM, F/A-22, FCS, Global Hawk, JASSM, JSOW, JSF, JTRS Cluster 1, Land Warrior,NPOESS, Tomahawk, SDB, V-22, WIN-T, and WGS Weighted Average Cycle Time: weighted estimate of average acquisition cycle time for the 26 programs based on total program costs for first and latest estimates. Weighted Average Cycle Time Months175.3 Months19.6

20 Total Cost Growth Distribution Source: OSD Cost Analysis Improvement Group (CAIG) Study: Cost Growth of Major Systems OSD CAIG Study January 2003 Cost Growth Summary 142 Systems <= -20% -20% to -10%-10% to 0%0% to 10%10% to 20%20% to 30%30% to 40%40% to 50%50% to 60%60% to 70% > 70% Cost Growth Percent Ranges Number of Systems 0%

21 Causes of Program Cost and Schedule Growth Immature Technology Design Instability Funding Instability & Budget Constraints Workforce Experience Poor Risk Estimation & Management Underestimating Integration Unrealistic Scheduling Unrealistic Requirements Requirements Instability Contractor Performance Parts Reliability Supporting System Readiness

22 Effects of Cost and Schedule Growth Delays Needed Capability to Warfighter Promotes Hardware and System Obsolescence Strains Service’s Support and Sustainment Systems Unnecessary Strain on limited O&M Funding Increases Sustainment Costs at Expense of Modernization Limits Number of Program New Starts Stretches-Out Procurement

23 Summary Discretionary funding is shrinking Programs are taking longer and costing more Investment appropriations are decreasing Bottomline: It’s Time to Change Our Behavior