1 By Assoc. Prof. Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat Assoc. Prof. Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat Thailand Economy Update : Mar 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

1 By Assoc. Prof. Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat Assoc. Prof. Dr.Somjai Phagaphasvivat Thailand Economy Update : Mar 2012

World Economy Forecast Note : Actual Source : IMF, World Economic Outlook (September 2011) (2) (%)

(3) World Economy Forecast Source : IMF, World Economic Outlook, Update January 2012 (3) (%)

Note: Update September 2011 Source: IMF,World Economic Outlook (September 2011) Thailand GDP Growth Forecast (%) (4) (%)

(5) Thailand GDP Growth (%) (Mil. Baht)

International Trade of Thailand (Bil. US$) Source : (6) (%)

(7) Trade Balance

Import Value : % change (US$) Source : (8) (%)

Export Value : % change (US$) Source : (9) (%)

Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Source : (10) (%)

Current Account Balance (Bil. US$) Source : (11)

Thailand International Reserves (Bil. US$) Note : As of Feb 2012 Source : : Table8 (12)

Thailand External Debt (Mil. US$) Note : As of Jan 2012 Source : : Table9 (13)

Thailand External Debt (Mil. US$) Note : As of Jan 2012 Source : Table9 (14)

External Debt per GDP (%) Note : As of Quarter 4/2011 Source : (15)

Thailand Foreign Direct Investment (Mil. Baht) Source : (16)

(17) Industrial Capacity Utilization Note : Average of Feb 2012 Source : : Table3.2 (17) (%)

(18) Manufacturing Production Index Note : Average of Feb 2012 Source : : Table3.1 (18) (%)

(19) Thailand Inflation Rate Note : Average of 2012 Source : Ministry of Commerce (19) (%)

(20) Consumer Price Index Source : Ministry of Commerce

(21) Private Consumption Index (%) Source : Bank of Thailand (BOT)

(22) Manufacturing Production Index Source : Bank of Thailand (BOT) (%)

(23) Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Source : Thai Chamber of Commerce

(24) Source : Bank of Thailand (BOT) Business Sentiment Index (BSI) The Index is equal to 50 means business sentiment is unchanged. The Index is above 50 means business sentiment is improved. The Index is below 50 means business sentiment is worsened.

(25) Private Investment Index (PII) Source : Bank of Thailand (BOT) (%)

(26) Public Debt (Mil. Baht) Note : As of Jan 2012 Source : (26)

(27) (%) (27) Note : As of Dec 2011 Source : Public Debt (% of GDP)

(28) Thailand Interest Rate of Commercial Banks Source : (28) (%)

(29) Deposits and Loans of Commercial Bank (Bil. Baht) Note : As of Feb 2012 Source : (29)

(30) Thailand NPLs : Financial Institution Group Note : * including New IBFs and Credit Foncier Companies since July 1999 ** Jan 2006 : Beginning data at end-December 2002 onwards, NPL data means loan classified as substandard, doubtful, doubtful of loss and loss, including the amount of doubtful of loss loan which has already been written off earlier but has not yet been written back. *** NPLs data is reported on quarterly basis i.e. Mar., Jun., Sep., Dec.. Therefore, there is no change in other period except for revision owing adjustment by financial institutions. From Aug.2007 onwards, NPLs will be reported at month ending q Source : (Mil. Baht) (Q1)

(31) Labour Force Survey (Thousand persons) Note : As of Jan 2012 Source : (31)

(32) Rate of Unemployment (%) Note : As of Jan 2012 Source : (32)