OIL SANDS & NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY SECURITY February 21, 2012 Florida International University Janet Annesley, Vice President
Canada is a Global Energy Player #3 Canada is third in the world in natural gas production. #1 Canada has the world’s largest uranium reserves. #2 Canada is second in the world in hydro- electricity generation. #3 Canada is 3 rd to Saudi Arabia & Venezuela in crude oil reserves
Oil Sands Resource, Production, Markets
The Global Energy Context Significant energy demand growth: Population, standards of living Need all forms of energy: Increasing role for renewables Continuing reliance on hydrocarbons Increasing role for non- conventional crude oil & natural gas Technology is a key lever for sustainable growth Production Cost competitiveness Environmental performance Current Policies Scenario 4
Global Crude Oil Reserves by Country Source: Oil & Gas Journal Dec Includes 170 billion barrels of oil sands reserves Restricted (79%) Open to Private Sector Canada’s Oil Sands 56% Other 44% World Oil Reserves Open to Private Sector 5
Top 10 World Crude Oil Producers in 2010 Sources: U.S. Dept. of Energy, Energy Information Administration & CAPP 2025
Oil Sands Projects in Three Deposits
Two Methods of Oil Sands Recovery Photo: ConocoPhillips - Surmont Schematic: Devon - Jackfish Drilling: 80% of reservesMining: 20% of reserves 8
Canadian Oil Sands and Conventional Production Forecast ( ) ActualForecast In Situ Mining Conventional Heavy Conventional Light Pentanes/Condensate 9
Canadian & U.S. Crude Oil Pipeline Proposals 10
Canada’s Oil & Products Export to U.S. 16% 21% 15% 11
Potential Tanker Markets for Canadian Oil Sands Production China Persian Gulf Japan Taiwan ~ 8,600 N Miles ~ 4,500 N Miles Prince Rupert/Kitimat Jose/ La Cruz Los Angeles Japan Taiwan Target Markets ~ 5,400 N Miles 1,400 N Miles Far EastU.S West Coast Japan Taiwan Korea SantaCruz 1,790 Competitive travel distances for Canadian supply to both markets Source: Enbridge Pipelines 12
Environmental Performance
Global Energy Related Emissions GHG emissions from oil sands: just over 1/1000th of global GHG emissions 6.5% of Canada’s GHG emissions 29% reduction in intensity from 1990 Global EmissionsCanada’s 2% 14 Sources: 1. U.S. Dept. of Energy/EIA 2. Environment Canada
Full Cycle GHG Emissions Source: Jacobs Consultancy, Life Cycle Assessment Comparison for North America and Imported Crudes, June
North American GHG Emissions (2009): Coal-Fired Power and Oil Sands 15 megatonnes 50 megatonnes 100 megatonnes FL GA TX NC MI AL MO KY INOH NE NM ND CO SC KS IA TN WV WY VA MN UT OK WI AZ AR AK LA IL NV OR MT SD NJ NY NH MS Legend U.S. Coal fired power generating plants Canadian coal-fired power generating plants Canadian oil sands Sources: U.S. DOE/EIA & Environment Canada
Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Oil Sands Energy Efficiency Using less energy input Reducing energy waste/losses Capturing waste heat Cogeneration power/steam Improved recovery processes Lower temperature extraction Additives to reduce use of both water and energy (steam) Use of electricity rather than steam Underground combustion rather than steam Carbon capture & sequestration Most effective at upgraders Oil Sands GHG Emissions/bbl 29% g co2 eq./mj
Land Use and Reclamation in the Boreal Forest
Water Use and Quality Mining 2-4 bbl of water per bbl of oil 80-90% recycle Currently use 0.5 per cent of the annual flow of the Athabasca river To protect during low flow periods withdrawals are restricted Drillable (Insitu) bbls of water per bbl of oil 90-95% recycle No water from Athabasca River Shift to using saline water from sub-surface aquifers Newer projects are using 100% saline water for steam Enhanced monitoring systems Science based, transparent, credible Recent federal and provincial government reviews to enhance monitoring 19
Environmental & Social Performance Focus on both crude oil / oil sands & natural gas Reputation = Performance + Communication Continuous performance improvement More effective messaging (breadth, channels, transparency) Improved industry collaboration Key concerns expressed regarding oil & gas development: Local / regional environmental & social impacts (air, land, water, biodiversity) Global climate change Role of fossil fuels in future energy system
Royal Society of Canada Report Environmental & Health Impacts of Canada’s Oil Sands Industry Science-based, independent analysis of the environmental aspects of Canada’s oil sands Addresses many of the issues and perceptions of oil sands development: Reclamation is not keeping pace, but sustainable reclamation is achievable Water use does not threaten viability of the Athabasca River No impact on Athabasca water quality/ecosystem and no evidence of impact on human health in downstream communities Tailings technologies are emerging, but tailings inventory is growing GHG emissions per barrel are reducing but growing production creates a challenge in meeting international commitments Minimal impacts on regional air quality December 2010
Responsible Canadian Energy Oil Sands Report Principles & Performance Measurement & Reporting Transparency
Oil Sands Advertising - Communicating with the Public To demonstrate that industry takes these issues seriously and what is being done by “real people” to address them.
Success Stories
Summary “3Es” Environmental performance Energy security & reliability Economic growth Competitiveness & social license are “must haves” Reputation = Performance + Communication Technology is key performance lever We need to work together & we all need to step up! A great opportunity for Canada and the U.S.……needs innovative, creative, committed, determined people to make it happen!