9-0 Internal Rate of Return 9.4 This is the most important alternative to NPV It is often used in practice and is intuitively appealing It is based entirely.

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Presentation transcript:

9-0 Internal Rate of Return 9.4 This is the most important alternative to NPV It is often used in practice and is intuitively appealing It is based entirely on the estimated cash flows and is independent of interest rates found elsewhere LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-1 IRR – Definition and Decision Rule Definition: IRR is the return that makes the NPV = 0 Decision Rule: Accept the project if the IRR is greater than the required return LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-2 Computing IRR For The Project If you do not have a financial calculator, then this becomes a trial and error process Calculator Enter the cash flows as you did with NPV Press IRR and then CPT IRR = 16.13% > 12% required return Do we accept or reject the project? LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-3 NPV Profile For The Project IRR = 16.13% LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-4 Calculating IRRs With A Spreadsheet You start with the cash flows the same as you did for the NPV You use the IRR function You first enter your range of cash flows, beginning with the initial cash flow You can enter a guess, but it is not necessary The default format is a whole percent – you will normally want to increase the decimal places to at least two LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-5 Decision Criteria Test - IRR Does the IRR rule account for the time value of money? Does the IRR rule account for the risk of the cash flows? Does the IRR rule provide an indication about the increase in value? Should we consider the IRR rule for our primary decision criteria? LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-6 Advantages of IRR Knowing a return is intuitively appealing It is a simple way to communicate the value of a project to someone who doesn’t know all the estimation details If the IRR is high enough, you may not need to estimate a required return, which is often a difficult task Generally leads to the same answers as the NPV method LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-7 Disadvantages of IRR NPV and IRR will generally give us the same decision Exceptions: May result in multiple answers or no answer with non-conventional cash flows May lead to incorrect decisions in comparisons of mutually exclusive investments LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-8 IRR and Non-conventional Cash Flows When the cash flows change sign more than once, there is more than one IRR When you solve for the IRR, you are solving for the root of an equation. When you cross the x-axis more than once, there will be more than one return that solves the equation If you have more than one IRR, which one do you use to make your decision? LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-9 Another Example – Non- conventional Cash Flows Suppose an investment will cost $90,000 initially and will generate the following cash flows: Year 1: 132,000 Year 2: 100,000 Year 3: -150,000 The required return is 15%. Should we accept or reject the project? LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-10 NPV Profile IRR = 10.11% and 42.66% LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-11 Summary of Decision Rules The NPV is positive at a required return of 15%, so you should Accept If you use the financial calculator, you would get an IRR of 10.11% which would tell you to Reject You need to recognize that there are non- conventional cash flows and look at the NPV profile LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-12 IRR and Mutually Exclusive Projects Mutually exclusive projects If you choose one, you can’t choose the other Example: You can choose to attend graduate school next year at either Harvard or Stanford, but not both Intuitively you would use the following decision rules: NPV – choose the project with the higher NPV IRR – choose the project with the higher IRR LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-13 Example With Mutually Exclusive Projects PeriodProject AProject B IRR19.43%22.17% NPV The required return for both projects is 10%. Which project should you accept and why? LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-14 NPV Profiles IRR for A = 19.43% IRR for B = 22.17% Crossover Point = 11.8% LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

9-15 Conflicts Between NPV and IRR NPV directly measures the increase in value to the firm Whenever there is a conflict between NPV and another decision rule, you should always use NPV IRR is unreliable in the following situations Non-conventional cash flows Mutually exclusive projects LO5 © 2013 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited