Wider Context Some Key Issues Demography Differential Performance ‘The Gap’

Demography – projected trends population 212,541195,086172,868158,058 % decrease Post-Primary Age Population to decline by a fifth by 2020

Secondary:Grammar Ratios % Secondary % Grammar By 2020 grammar and secondary ratio will be 50:50

Impact on Secondary Schools Viability of some schools – closures, amalgamations, rationalisation Ability mix within schools Impact will be greater in particular areas

Impact on Grammar Schools Ability mix within schools ­In 16 Grammar Schools, 95% or more of admissions were As or B1s in September 2002 ­8% of admissions to grammar schools are Cs or Ds at present ­21 grammar schools with 10% admissions with Cs and Ds in Transfer Test ­ 10 schools with 20% or more Cs and Ds admitted

GCSE Point Scores for All Pupils

GCSE Point Scores for Secondary and Grammar Pupils

Average GCSE Point Scores MaleFemaleAll Pupils Northern Ireland England

% of Pupils entitled to Free School Meals Catholic Managed Other Managed Overall Grammar Secondary

5+ GCSEs A*-C for FSM and Non-FSM School Leavers 5+ GCSEs A*-C for FSM and Non-FSM School Leavers